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Joe Lunardi's Updated NCAA Bracketology

NewJerseyHawk

NewJerseyHawk

Heisman
Jan 11, 2007
24,779
39,688
113
I stay away from the bracket stuff before February, too many teams without depth will cool off and too many teams playing with very short rotations that are getting by with so-so talent/scoring, are going to wear down and start to fall off by early to mid February.

The longer the season goes, the more talented/skilled rosters, start to separate themselves from the rosters that don't have elite talent, 1 on 1 scoring capabilities.

We have had RU fans fooled in the last 2 to 3 years, based on results in November through January, thinking that playing 20 games is enough of a signal of who is good enough. 30 games to 35 is a more true amount of games to get a real idea on what players are elevating or improving and which ones, level off or decline.
 
D

Degaz-RU

Heisman
Dec 19, 2002
22,834
27,795
88
One thing is for certain -- these next 4 games are HUGELY important. At Indiana is a winnable game, and then we have 3 straight home games. After that, we play 4 straight games away from the RAC -- 3 away games (Nebraska, PSU, and NW) plus the "home" game against MSU at the Garden.

That's 8 games in January, 5 of which are outside of the RAC. We certainly need to stack all 3 wins at home, win at MSG, and hope to go 2-2 in the away games. 6-2 in those games gets us to 14-7 and puts us back in the bubble "conversation."

It is a MUST to load up on wins in the first half of the conference season, as I'm still looking at the brutal stretch of 5 out of 7 games on the road from mid-Feb to early-March as a potential back breaker. Those away games are at Maryland, at Oregon, at Washington, at Michigan, and at Purdue. We could lose all of them. Heck, we might need to go 3-1 in the January away games in order to build up a buffer for this brutal 5 out of 7 away game stretch.
 
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R

RUJMM78

Heisman
Jul 25, 2001
26,291
12,573
113
RUChoppin said:
Win them.

We may need to go 7-3 over the next 10 to get back in the bubble conversation.
Click to expand...
Seven wins is a minimum to have any chance for a NCAA bid.There simply are too many BIG Ten teams that have better won/loss records and NET rankings.
 
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bac2therac

bac2therac

Hall of Famer
Jul 30, 2001
251,326
180,592
113
RUJMM78 said:
Seven wins is a minimum to have any chance for a NCAA bid.There simply are too many BIG Ten teams that have better won/loss records and NET rankings.
Click to expand...

Not just in big 10 but all of the power 3..i think only 4 schools out of 50 not in top 100 of NET
 
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R

RutgersClassof2004

All-Conference
Feb 23, 2020
3,450
3,255
113
RUJMM78 said:
Seven wins is a minimum to have any chance for a NCAA bid.There simply are too many BIG Ten teams that have better won/loss records and NET rankings.
Click to expand...
Agreed. Right now, probably 11 though because we have no signature OOC wins and some suspect losses. If it's just 7 and we end up at 19 wins, we better have beaten some real good BIG10 teams. Wait, I misread your post. We need to go 12-6 most likely. Minimum 11-7 with massive conference wins.
 
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