Guess ppg for next year
- Thread starter Westcoast
- Start date
Now the bench
Jones 8 ppg
Mag 6 PPG
Palmquist 4 ppg
Miller 4 PPG
Totaling 79 PPG - which is probably about 5 pts more than we'll avg. But I think everyone will be within 2 pts of the prediction.
I don’t think you can predict this yet. Transfers will be going on or out until the summer. I also think there is no way Ron Harper is at the four again. It’s either going to be Rieber or a grad transfer starting.
Would love to get a 4 who can shoot the 3 that would change things dramatically !!
That’s a big ask. I’d settle for an above average defender and post player who can finish around the basket.
Bill Walton predicted 5 PAC12 teams in the Final 4. We have fans longing for a stretch 4, wanting Harrar to play the 4, and saying there is no way Harper should play the 4 next year.
This stretch 4 everyone wants is going to look a lot like Ron Harper. It is funny how all players not on our roster look so good and can do everything.
This stretch 4 everyone wants is going to look a lot like Ron Harper. It is funny how all players not on our roster look so good and can do everything.
Take McConnell Mathis and Mulchahy about 1.5 pts down from that. And Harper down half a pt.
So now you're at 74 ppg.
The problem with Ron Harper at the stretch four is that he is NOT a stretch four - just not tall enough. With his skill set he is a better three. I'd actually like to see him slim down about ten pounds and just be a 3 next year.
When you have one player (Harper), who can create his own shot, the team is not scoring 80 ppg., especially with our offense.
The concept of a stretch 4 is really about the ability to get 4 guys on the court who are a threat everywhere on the court facing the basket. Ron defensive rebounds like a “4” and is better equipped to guard a “4” then a “3”.
the thought process is to get another player like Ron who helps out on the defensive glass. The Yeboah situation from 19-20 is the example. Yeboah and Harper were interchangeable. Harper DREB better. They were both 3.5s
Some points of reference would be helpful:
Conference Only
2020-2021 PPG (Conference Games Only):
Team: 68.0
Harper: 13.8
Mathis: 7.4
McConnell: 5.6
Mulcahy: 5.6
Omoruyi: 3.3
https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/schools/rutgers/2021.html
We are potentially losing 3 of our top 4 scorers
Young: 14.2
Baker: 10.7
Johnson: 8.3
Conference Only
2020-2021 PPG (Conference Games Only):
Team: 68.0
Harper: 13.8
Mathis: 7.4
McConnell: 5.6
Mulcahy: 5.6
Omoruyi: 3.3
https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/schools/rutgers/2021.html
We are potentially losing 3 of our top 4 scorers
Young: 14.2
Baker: 10.7
Johnson: 8.3
There are 3 guys in the portal that could make up that scoring easy. The issue is how do these players impact other important areas
In the latter part of the season Rutgers was lucky to score 65 points a game. with Baker,Johnson and Young.The projections are too high.
Exactly.
I think people confuse "we could score 79pts in A game" with "we can average 79ppg over all games".
To average 79ppg we would have to score OVER 79 in half our games.
Last year we scored 79+ in 5 of 26 games (only 2 BIG10 games).
Same with the crazy "RHJ needs to average 20ppg" threads from this past season.
Last year we averaged 69.3ppg overall and finished 13th in the BIG 10 in ppg.
https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/conferences/big-ten/2021.html
Interesting and good comment because the announcers said the RU staff goal is to hold teams under 65 every game.
Not necessarily. Charles Oakley was a banger and definitely could pop out and shoot the 18 footer.
Back in his Knicks days. Watched so many games in the late 80’s early 90’s.
Yeah, I didn't start with a whole team PPG and work backwards. I just tossed out what I thought each guy would avg. Then I realized 79 was a bit too high. But not that much.