3/2 BACATOLOGY: NCAA TOURNAMENT ANALYSIS
- Thread starter bac2therac
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BAC'S MORNING UPDATE...
9: LOYOLA CHICAGO, MARYLAND, RUTGERS, NORTH CAROLINA
10: LOUISVILLE, MICHIGAN STATE, CONNECTICUT, GEORGIA TECH
11: SAINT BONAVENTURE, WICHITA STATE, UCLA, COLORADO STATE
12: WESTERN KENTUCKY, CAL-SANTA-BARBARA, VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH, DRAKE, XAVIER, BOISE STATE
FIRST FOUR BYES: CONNECTICUT, GEORGIA TECH, UCLA, COLORADO STATE
LAST FOUR IN: BOISE STATE, XAVIER, DRAKE, VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH
FIRST FOUR OUT: SAINT LOUIS, SYRACUSE, UTAH STATE, DUKE
NEXT FOUR OUT: SETON HALL, MISSISSIPPI, SAINT JOHN'S, MEMPHIS
9: LOYOLA CHICAGO, MARYLAND, RUTGERS, NORTH CAROLINA
10: LOUISVILLE, MICHIGAN STATE, CONNECTICUT, GEORGIA TECH
11: SAINT BONAVENTURE, WICHITA STATE, UCLA, COLORADO STATE
12: WESTERN KENTUCKY, CAL-SANTA-BARBARA, VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH, DRAKE, XAVIER, BOISE STATE
FIRST FOUR BYES: CONNECTICUT, GEORGIA TECH, UCLA, COLORADO STATE
LAST FOUR IN: BOISE STATE, XAVIER, DRAKE, VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH
FIRST FOUR OUT: SAINT LOUIS, SYRACUSE, UTAH STATE, DUKE
NEXT FOUR OUT: SETON HALL, MISSISSIPPI, SAINT JOHN'S, MEMPHIS
wow did they really....that loss will also ding the resume of the 3 A10 schools vying for bids as they were all leaning on their wins over Richmond as a so called quality win. However Duquense is certainly an easier first round opponent for St Bonnies than Richmond would have been.
Lunardi is crazy.
Its not hard to rank 1-7, Gonzaga, Baylor, UM, Illinois, Alabama, OSU, and Iowa after that, he is way off even if you project it out to everyone having 27 games.
8 Houston(NET 5) Q1 2-1 Q2 4-1 (6-2) Q3 9-1 (15-3)
9 WVU(NET 15) Q1 6-7 Q2 5-0 (11-7) Q3 4-0 (14-7)
10 Nova(NET 11) Q1 3-3.Q2 5-1 (8-4) Q3 7-0 (15-4)
11 Ark(NET 12) Q1 6-4 Q2 5-1 (11-5) Q3 3-0 (14-5)
12 FSU(NET 14) Q1 3-3 Q2 6-0 (9-3) Q3 2-1 (11-4)
13 Kansas(NET 11) Q1 7-8 Q2 2-0 (9-8) Q3 3-0 (12-8)
14 OkSt(NET 30) Q1.8-4 Q2 1-1 (9-5).Q3 3-1 (12-6)
15 Texas(NET 26) Q1 5-7 Q2 2-0 (7-7) Q3 5-0 (12-7)
16 Purdue(NET 21) Q1 6-6 Q2 6-1 (12-7) Q3 3-1 (15-8)
Houston.has 1 win in the top50, Texas Tech, @ SMU is their next biggest win in the 7th ranked AAC. Kansas win over Baylor alone would rank them above Houston and they have 7 Q1 wins to Houston 6 Q1/2 wins. WVU, Arkansas, OkSt, and Purdue has as many or more Q1 wins. Missouri has Q1 wins over N Oregon, H Illinois, @ Arkansas, @ Tenn, H Alabama, and @ Florida. Houston is not a top 16 team this year.
Its not hard to rank 1-7, Gonzaga, Baylor, UM, Illinois, Alabama, OSU, and Iowa after that, he is way off even if you project it out to everyone having 27 games.
8 Houston(NET 5) Q1 2-1 Q2 4-1 (6-2) Q3 9-1 (15-3)
9 WVU(NET 15) Q1 6-7 Q2 5-0 (11-7) Q3 4-0 (14-7)
10 Nova(NET 11) Q1 3-3.Q2 5-1 (8-4) Q3 7-0 (15-4)
11 Ark(NET 12) Q1 6-4 Q2 5-1 (11-5) Q3 3-0 (14-5)
12 FSU(NET 14) Q1 3-3 Q2 6-0 (9-3) Q3 2-1 (11-4)
13 Kansas(NET 11) Q1 7-8 Q2 2-0 (9-8) Q3 3-0 (12-8)
14 OkSt(NET 30) Q1.8-4 Q2 1-1 (9-5).Q3 3-1 (12-6)
15 Texas(NET 26) Q1 5-7 Q2 2-0 (7-7) Q3 5-0 (12-7)
16 Purdue(NET 21) Q1 6-6 Q2 6-1 (12-7) Q3 3-1 (15-8)
Houston.has 1 win in the top50, Texas Tech, @ SMU is their next biggest win in the 7th ranked AAC. Kansas win over Baylor alone would rank them above Houston and they have 7 Q1 wins to Houston 6 Q1/2 wins. WVU, Arkansas, OkSt, and Purdue has as many or more Q1 wins. Missouri has Q1 wins over N Oregon, H Illinois, @ Arkansas, @ Tenn, H Alabama, and @ Florida. Houston is not a top 16 team this year.
My seedings for Big 10 right now
Michigan 1
Illinois 1
Ohio State 2
Iowa 2
Purdue 5
Wisconsin 7
Rutgers 9
Maryland 9
Michigan State 10
Michigan 1
Illinois 1
Ohio State 2
Iowa 2
Purdue 5
Wisconsin 7
Rutgers 9
Maryland 9
Michigan State 10
UMass up 59-36 on St Joes at half taking all their Covid frustrations out at the half
RU fans become big UMass fans tomorrow for one day as they take on St Louis i the A10 quarters if this result holds
RU fans become big UMass fans tomorrow for one day as they take on St Louis i the A10 quarters if this result holds
The problem I have with Houston on the 3 line, even in this Covid year, they were 31-2 and lost in their finals to Cincy, NET #25, in 2018-19(31-3), and seed 9th, top 3 seed, NET #4, Q1 6-3 Q2 11-0 .850, 20 games out 34 games no losses outside Q1, but they are the 8-12th best team with 1 good win out of 22 games(19-3), 2-1 4-1 .750 and a Q3 loss, and no other team in the AAC is projected in the field. Pretty big difference between 20/34 58.8% to 8/22 36.4%.
they will be a 3 because the ACC, PAC 12, and Big East have failed to come up with a legit 2nd place team. SEC might have one in Arky but its not like their wins are overwhelming either. . They really are the only 4 right now I can argue taking Houstons place. Kansas I like as a 3 but if not them its another Big 12 replacing them, it will not be two Big 12 moving from 4 to 3. Purdue has not shot at a 3 barring some miracle B10 tourney championship.
Houston is a 3 because literally there is no one else
Houston is a 3 because literally there is no one else
yes this would actually be huge as it would basically kill Utah States at large chances. I know they are locked in as the 3 seed and can beat CSU but if they sustain another loss in this game or at Fresno before the MWC their hopes are really damaged.
Even as they are in the last 4 out, not so sure just a win over Col State gets them in.
Also Boise State looks paired up with San Diego State bracket in the MWC tourney, theyve lost to them 2x, if they lose that game, I think they are out. That is where a school like Cuse can sneak in and a RU/MD/MSU only one game above 500 can stay in
yeah, not close but they play again Sunday so we shall see
Sparty is still in for me. they probably get knocked a spot behind UConn on my 10 line
I don't see how Michigan State merits a NCAA bid if they only have 8 B1G regular season wins.My assumption is based on Michigan winning the rematch game.
All eyes on the A10 Tourney today: Bonnies vs Duquesne, UMass vs St. Louis and VCU vs Dayton. A lot of bubbles could burst today.
Dickie Doo was pushing for Michigan State and Izzo last night against Michigan despite everyone watching Michigan thumping them. Like a salesperson pushing an inferior product.
Drake vs Northern Iowa would also be a game to pay attention to. Drake is likely out if they don't at least make the MVC Tourney as low majors rarely get the benefit of the doubt or an at large bid.
The *edit* A10 teams that have the best chances of getting* "in" are the Bonnies, VCU, and St Louis. Dayton is a long shot at large first 4 only with 1 Q3 and 2 Q4 losses, maybe a finals loss would give them a chance. UMass, Duquesne, Davidson and George Mason can only get an auto bid, zero at large path.
Richmond loss is hurtIng all of their resumes.
Richmond loss is hurtIng all of their resumes.
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If Umass beats St Louis. St Louis is not getting selected. VCU lose to Dayton in quarters puts their selection in serious jeopardy
Its a 2 bid league in all liklihood however it could be 3 if we see St Louis/VCU championship
Drake needs to at least make the MVC Champ Game to get an at large. The Committee is very unforgiving to low majors who don't win their Tourneys.
SLU will probably be in the field if they beat the Bonnies. Right now they're really close.
Yeah. I dont think their profiles is particularly overwhelming but they did beat LSU...if they beat St Bonnies thats 2x. VCU could odd man out if tgey dont win today
This is where an A10 school can steal a bid from a one win above 500 Big 10 school like RU, MD, or MSU
This is where an A10 school can steal a bid from a one win above 500 Big 10 school like RU, MD, or MSU
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