THE OFFICIAL RUTGERS-MICHIGAN PREDICTION THREAD

[bac2therac]

Michigan 72 RUTGERS 57

 

[Mr. Magoo1]

Michigan 76
Rutgers 59

Unfortunately, I expect this one to be done early.

 

[leftoright]

pt spread?

 

[HeavenUniv.]

Catholepistemiad of Michigania (Detroit) 74

Rutgers 71

 

[BillyC80]

Rutgers wins, 68-67.

 

[GimmeSomeMore]

I think RU takes them down to the wire before falling short

UM 68-RU 64

 

[RUJMM78]

Michigan 74 Rutgers 62

 

[NewJerseyHawk]

Have not participated in the selection thread all year but my guess is Michigan will be about a 8.5 point favorite (Iowa was 6.5 last week and banked a late 3 to make a 10 point margin 13.

8.5 seems like a lot of points to me, but can see a friendly whistle helping Michigan get over 70 points.

My initial thought is always how can RU win and unlike past years, where it involved the opponent letting down or not playing well, there are 3 paths for RU to win.

A) keep game in the 60s

B) Make Michigan play defense for every possession.

C) Avoid cheap turnovers that lead to layups.....make Michigan execute their offense in half court.

None of these are involving Michigan just being overwhelming more talented than RU....I fully believe player for player, Illinois, Iowa and Ohio State are all better than Michigan.

So why not pick RU.....?? There is still a slight fog or mystique that comes with certain programs....it impacts how the game is called by the refs and we saw how in 2 separate and somewhat different circumstances on the road against OSU and Iowa, how some fouls not called on Iowa and some very soft calls against Myles Johnson vs OSU, can impact the path of game.

If I am RU, I would crowd the 3 point line and if any guards try and sag to help out in the post and wind up giving up a 3, that's still a losing strategy. Garza, Fredrick and Bohannon didn't beat RU, Weiskamp did from 3 and he made tough shots.

I would crowd Wagner and Brooks and Livers and make Dickinson get 30+ points against Myles and Cliff to beat RU.....I'm not double teaming the post and leaving shooters open, playing traditional trapping/help defense.....if Myles and Cliff foul out because Dickinson gets going, so be it, I would even rather take my chances with 2s beating RU vs 8 to 10 3s from Michigan....2s will not kill you, but 3s will bury you.

I think RU can pull out a close game in the mid 60s but I don't think RU needs to empty the tank to prove anything at Michigan. RU has a likely streaking Maryland coming in Sunday and that is the key game for RU this week. Win the last 2 home games vs Maryland and Indiana and don't place anything dramatic on this game if RU loses by 7 to 15.

Michigan 68, RU 63....

 

[Scarlet Shack]

Geo........

Rutgers 68
Michigan 67

 

[BillyC80]

Geo........

Rutgers 68
Michigan 67

We picked the same score (see above). The funny thing is, I had also started to write that Geo would win it at the end, and thought better of it. We are of the same mind on this.

I’m curious why some on here are picking a close loss for RU. My attitude is, if we can keep it close then we can win.

 

[Rutgers56_rivals]

Michigan 76
Rutgers 61

 

[zappaa]

Rutgers 80
UofM 70
Somehow we get hot

 

[YoucancallmeRay]

No pressure on RU, but they want to prove they can hang with Michigan. However, they'll need everyone to step it up on offense to do so and I don't think Michigan's defense will allow that. It'll be a fun game to watch, imo, but RU will fall short. And the refs won't have anything to do with it.

Mich 75
RU 66

 

[Rokodesh]

Rutgers 72
Michigan 69

 

[RUPete]

Rutgers 73-67. What the hell- gotta beat them sometime.

 

[snowboarder]

RU 81
UM 75
2 things must happen
RHJ gets untracked
They let Miles play
If Miles does not get in foul trouble, he can handle almost anyone in the country in the paint
RHJ has to be a factor and eventually he is going to get his shot back
Caleb matches up to Livers pretty well
Jacob matches up to any point guard they can throw at us
Rutgers has to shoot well to win but we are do
Its a year of firsts for RU
First win over UM
UM is number 3 in the country right now.
The first time RU ever lost to UM, we were number 3 in the country
Things seem to work out that way sometimes

 

[Degaz-RU]

Michigan does EVERYTHING well. 50% FG, 38% threes, 76% FTs, 39-31 rebounding differential, 79-65 scoring differential.

They're one potential "weakness" is TOs. They average about 12.5 TOs per game, and only cause opponents 10.8 TOs per game.

I think their size up front is going to take away Myles' offensive game -- not going to be many lobs or alley oops -- making us a jump shooting team, which is not good considering our outside shooting has been awful lately.

It will take a monumental effort on the road, our best game of the season, to beat UM. We will need at least 10 3-pt FGs on no more than 25 attempts. It's not going to happen. We will struggle to reach 60.

Michigan 74
Rutgers 61

 

[zappaa]

I think we need to play them from the center court line and make the UM guards work to get to the top of the key, make them pick up their dribble and pass.
No hockey power play defense that allows time and space

 

[RUONTHERISE]

Rutgers wins

76 to 74

 

[RutgHoops]

My daughter is a freshman at Michigan. I hope we win.

 

[zebnatto]

RU 71
UM 67

 

[GimmeSomeMore]

We picked the same score (see above). The funny thing is, I had also started to write that Geo would win it at the end, and thought better of it. We are of the same mind on this.

I’m curious why some on here are picking a close loss for RU. My attitude is, if we can keep it close then we can win.

Free throws, for one.

Of course we can win a close game, but so can UM....

 

[RUich]

Could be that the lack of anyone really thinking they can win may work in their favor. A lot less pressure to play loose. But, if this happens and the game is close in the closing minutes...I think we have a really tough time hanging on.

 

[RU#1fan]

If Ron hustles and play defense and we shot better than 60% on FT we win.

 

[dfr1966]

RU 74-70, OT

 

[RUSCFORMERLYRULOU]

If we have the same ol lineup and substitution patterns, Michigan blows us out. Otherwise we lose by 5.

 

[zappaa]

If we have the same ol lineup and substitution patterns, Michigan blows us out. Otherwise we lose by 5.

If we’re getting killed on the boards yet Myles is holding his own as always....play Reiber with him, we might need it to compete.
Or Cliff and Reiber together, we might not score, but we may be able to get defensive rebounds

 

[RUSCFORMERLYRULOU]

If we’re getting killed on the boards yet Myles is holding his own as always....play Reiber with him, we might need it to compete.
Or Cliff and Reiber together, we might not score, but we may be able to get defensive rebounds

Rieber or Cliff.

 

[RUBlackout]

RU 82
UM 76

This will be one where we get out ahead early and a ton of lead changes throughout the game but then we pull away in the end with some clutch shots by RHJ and Geo to seal the victory. We wil see our 3s fall in this game and get us back on track.

The year 202-1 (1 being a lot of firsts and this time we beat Michigan for the 1st time); then we seal our 1st trip to the NCAA in 30yrs

 

[NickKnight 1]

My daughter is a freshman at Michigan. I hope we win.

Is we, you and your daughter? or Rutgers ?

 

[Freddy Stubbs]

Michigan is super athletic, and they shoot the ball very well. Not looking forward to this one.
MU 80
RU 65

 

[mikeyoc]

No pressure on RU, but they want to prove they can hang with Michigan. However, they'll need everyone to step it up on offense to do so and I don't think Michigan's defense will allow that. It'll be a fun game to watch, imo, but RU will fall short. And the refs won't have anything to do with it.

Mich 75
RU 66

Unfortunately I agree. We have only broken the pattern (beat the teams you should beat, lose to the ones who are as good or better) twice --
win vs Illinois, loss vs Penn State. It'll take a monumental effort
to win Thursday. But I bleed scarlet red, so I'll be glued to the
screen as usual.

 

[zebnatto]

Rieber or Cliff.

Reiber doesn't look at all ready, maybe in a couple of years, maybe not. But wow could we use a 6'10" forward who can step outside.

 

[zappaa]

Rieber or Cliff.

If be worried about the fouls playing Cliff and Myles together.

 

[Plum Street]

This is a tall order . On the road . Michigan is good . We won’t get any calls . I would be surprised if it’s ever in doubt . This has getting run out of the gym all over it .
Survive and move on
Michigan 79, rutgers 64

 

[zappaa]

This is a tall order . On the road . Michigan is good . We won’t get any calls . I would be surprised if it’s ever in doubt . This has getting run out of the gym all over it .
Survive and move on
Michigan 79, rutgers 64

That’s never being in the game for the most part.
I find it ironic our board vigorously defends our team against posters who voice themselves in a concerned fashion.
Relax and enjoy the ride, or you’re a worrywort, be happy.
Then in the same breath predict we get blown out, and the outcome is pretty much a foregone conclusion.
The normal excuse and justification for it, is for lack of any explanation “we don’t match up well against them “

 

[Plum Street]

That’s never being in the game for the most part.
I find it ironic our board vigorously defends our team against posters who voice themselves in a concerned fashion.
Relax and enjoy the ride, or you’re a worrywort, be happy.
Then in the same breath predict we get blown out, and the outcome is pretty much a foregone conclusion.
The normal excuse and justification for it, is for lack of any explanation “we don’t match up well against them “

Yep, Michigan is just really good. We are good, but not really good.

 

[zappaa]

Yep, Michigan is just really good. We are good, but not really good.

If Iowa and Michigan were playing today on a neutral court, I’d have no clue who to bet on in a pick-em scenario.
Indiana beat Iowa twice?

 

[Plum Street]

If Iowa and Michigan were playing today on a neutral court, I’d have no clue who to bet on in a pick-em scenario.
Indiana beat Iowa twice?

That’s why we watch and enjoy sports .

 

[zappaa]

That’s why we watch and enjoy sports .

You’re a good fan Plum, no question about that.
You started a thread “One more Win”
Do you really believe we are in the National Tournament in March playing meaningful games if we end up the season 1-5 ?