OT: Major Winter Storm for Philly-NJ-NYC Area (12-24" very likely) for late Sun (1/31) into Tues (2/2)

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Tango Two

Heisman
Aug 21, 2001
60,063
38,146
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newell138

Heisman
Aug 1, 2001
38,814
51,702
112
Temps trending warmer the rest of the day here up to mid 40s so likely just lots of rain
 

TGonzRU_rivals

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Sep 30, 2019
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How is he supposed to know if your street will flood? It’s such a local thing as street flooding varies from block to block in any town
I didn’t ask him if my street will flood but rather the certainty of flooding based on the forecast. Numbers gave his answer and I moved on but thanks for taking a simple question and being a smart *** about it.
 
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newell138

Heisman
Aug 1, 2001
38,814
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I didn’t ask him if my street will flood but rather the certainty of flooding based on the forecast. Numbers gave his answer and I moved on but thanks for taking a simple question and being a smart *** about it.
Agreed on the smart *** but some of the questions people ask him are a little silly. He’s not Nostradamus.
 

goru1869

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Nov 16, 2005
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Long Valley thru Mt Olive and into Sussex always seemed to get the worst when I lived up that way.
Long Valley is a great part of the state . I come home thru there from work most days . My family and I like taking rides on Rt, 24 in Chester down thru Califon and beyond . We also enjoy going to The Long Valley Pub and Brewery . We went there for a good new years eve dinner .
 

e5fdny

Heisman
Nov 11, 2002
115,603
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Long Valley is a great part of the state . I come home thru there from work most days . My family and I like taking rides on Rt, 24 in Chester down thru Califon and beyond . We also enjoy going to The Long Valley Pub and Brewery . We went there for a good new years eve dinner.
A lot of my cousins who grew up in Long Valley have worked there over the years.

I love living at the beach and Monmouth County in general and wouldn't trade it for anything but Morris County is very nice.
 
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TGonzRU_rivals

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Sep 30, 2019
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Agreed on the smart *** but some of the questions people ask him are a little silly. He’s not Nostradamus.
I understand. That wasn’t my intention. I never participate in these weather threads and just wanted an opinion on the situation.
 

Loyal_2RU

Heisman
Aug 6, 2001
15,358
11,291
113
A lot of my cousins who grew up in Long Valley have worked there over the years.

I love being at the beach and Monmouth County in general and wouldn't trade it for anything but Morris County is very nice.
Metuchen/South Plainfield with 30-45 minutes of snow. Much be 4-5 inches but now!! Uh I mean it is sticking, with a solid dusting thus far.

I tried to stop this thing by staking my driveway yesterday but it clearly didn't work.
 
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RU848789

Heisman
Jul 27, 2001
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More of just a weird observation. Storm is approaching from the South and West. Yet towns 30 + miles North and West have been reporting snow for an hour.
Was just busting chops - oddly, we're getting light snow all the way up here with a light dusting on the ground. None of the snow that falls before 7 pm should amount to more than an inch north of the Raritan, but we might see a couple of inches by then from Philly to Toms River and south of that (even more towards Balt/DE/AC by 7 pm). But with cold temps and everything accumulating on untreated surfaces, even an inch can be an issue on backroads and for walking.
 

RU848789

Heisman
Jul 27, 2001
65,459
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Long Valley is a great part of the state . I come home thru there from work most days . My family and I like taking rides on Rt, 24 in Chester down thru Califon and beyond . We also enjoy going to The Long Valley Pub and Brewery . We went there for a good new years eve dinner .
Once our son outgrew our small sledding hill across the street by about age 10-11, Schooley Mountain in Long Valley became our sledding hill. As I'm sure you know, it's got about a 150 foot vertical with hay bales to keep sledders from hitting the tree line and it's about a 1/4 mile run down the hill. I'd pile my son and 2-3 of his friends into the car and we'd have a blast sledding for hours up there and ate more than a few meals at the Long Valley Pub. My son's now 26 and living back at home during COVID and we were just talking about going back up there after the snow stops, for old time's sake (it's probably been since he was 18 and went off to college).
 

chickenpatty2

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Mar 21, 2013
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Once our son outgrew our small sledding hill across the street by about age 10-11, Schooley Mountain in Long Valley became our sledding hill. As I'm sure you know, it's got about a 150 foot vertical with hay bales to keep sledders from hitting the tree line and it's about a 1/4 mile run down the hill. I'd pile my son and 2-3 of his friends into the car and we'd have a blast sledding for hours up there and ate more than a few meals at the Long Valley Pub. My son's now 26 and living back at home during COVID and we were just talking about going back up there after the snow stops, for old time's sake (it's probably been since he was 18 and went off to college).


Snow Snow Snow!!

Ok, now about the beer in Long Valley. Just yesterday, I went through there and picked up a Crowler from Chilton Brewing (next to Valley Restaurant). Got the Louisiana Breakfast Stout -- 8%. Really good, IMO. Never saw how they closed the tops on those things, so that was cool. Hope to get back there when the outdoor patio is open.
 

WhiteBus

Heisman
Oct 4, 2011
39,520
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Snow Snow Snow!!

Ok, now about the beer in Long Valley. Just yesterday, I went through there and picked up a Crowler from Chilton Brewing (next to Valley Restaurant). Got the Louisiana Breakfast Stout -- 8%. Really good, IMO. Never saw how they closed the tops on those things, so that was cool. Hope to get back there when the outdoor patio is open.
If you think a single Crowler top being put on is cool go visit a brewery with their own canning line. That's very cool with the speed it's done.
 

RU848789

Heisman
Jul 27, 2001
65,459
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Not a bad prediction of what the NWS would do. They issued warnings for almost everywhere (Hunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Somerset is for 13-18") went to 12-18" for most of CNJ/NNJ/NYC/LI/NEPA, with 18-24" swaths embedded in that area and they also went up to 8-12" for south of 276/195 and less towards the coast. I like how they've worked up to this rather than going right to these amounts 24 hours ago, when they could have just based on models. Hard to imagine getting less than 12" along/NW of 95, from Trenton to NYC at this point or north of 195 and west of about Howell to Highlands.

Time for a prediction: I'll be bold and go for 19" at my house, which is roughly the average from the 0Z models tonight. Maybe not that bold looking at the latest 6Z NAM (21" for my house), 3KNAM (25") and RGEM (19"). I'm sure there will still be some surprises though - some will likely get more than what's shown (where the best bands are) and some will get less (especially if more rain/sleet mixes in for the coast and even towards 95, which can't be ruled out). And more or less precip could make a signficant difference, obviously. Time for some sleep, as I'm sure there's little sleep in store the next two nights.

https://www.weather.gov/phi/





12Z models still bombing the entire area with 12-24" of snow (north of 276/195 in all models and down to Philly and interior SNJ in some models). Will update that later. But for now, the NWS-Philly has updated their snowfall map and the regional one has been updated with both showing several more inches of snow in the forecast. Basically, everyone north of a line from about Ewing to Freehold (and up to about Highlands, as several inches less will likely fall on the immediate Monmouth coast) is in their 18-24" swath, with 12-18" extending north of a line from about Philly to NW Ocean County and up to about Asbury Park up to the line above. My 19" forecast for my house isn't looking so bold now, lol.



 
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goru1869

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Nov 16, 2005
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Once our son outgrew our small sledding hill across the street by about age 10-11, Schooley Mountain in Long Valley became our sledding hill. As I'm sure you know, it's got about a 150 foot vertical with hay bales to keep sledders from hitting the tree line and it's about a 1/4 mile run down the hill. I'd pile my son and 2-3 of his friends into the car and we'd have a blast sledding for hours up there and ate more than a few meals at the Long Valley Pub. My son's now 26 and living back at home during COVID and we were just talking about going back up there after the snow stops, for old time's sake (it's probably been since he was 18 and went off to college).
Oh yea, the hill still has the hay bales and A LOT of people use the hill . I have taken my son up there a few times . A great place to sled !
 
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Degaz-RU

Heisman
Dec 19, 2002
23,020
28,277
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12Z models still bombing the entire area with 12-24" of snow (north of 276/195 in all models and down to Philly and interior SNJ in some models). Will update that later. But for now, the NWS-Philly has updated their snowfall map and the regional one has been updated with both showing several more inches of snow in the forecast. Basically, everyone north of a line from about Ewing to Freehold (and up to about Highlands, as several inches less will likely fall on the immediate Monmouth coast) is in their 18-24" swath, with 12-18" extending north of a line from about Philly to NW Ocean County and up to about Asbury Park up to the line above. My 19" forecast for my house isn't looking so bold now, lol.




Yeah, when I click on northern Somerset County on the NWS map, the daily forecast for Bridgewater adds up to 15-25 inches from tonight through Tuesday morning.
 

newell138

Heisman
Aug 1, 2001
38,814
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A lot of my cousins who grew up in Long Valley have worked there over the years.

I love living at the beach and Monmouth County in general and wouldn't trade it for anything but Morris County is very nice.

I have a lot of first cousins who grew up in Long Valley, most of them were either members of the rescue squad or police dept. My one cousin was chief of police in Roxbury for many years, so they likely know each other.
 

Njbound1

Junior
Jan 29, 2020
293
345
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Smaller court and you can the the ball if it bounces off the netting ( like raquetball except netting and not walls). Look at it on YouTube.
Started playing both platform tennis and pickleball about a year ago. Both are great fun. In my opinion, any four reasonably athletic people could walk off the street and quickly be adept at playing a fun, competitive game of pickle. Paddle, on the other hand, has a considerably longer learning curve to be above average.
 

goru1869

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Nov 16, 2005
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Snow Snow Snow!!

Ok, now about the beer in Long Valley. Just yesterday, I went through there and picked up a Crowler from Chilton Brewing (next to Valley Restaurant). Got the Louisiana Breakfast Stout -- 8%. Really good, IMO. Never saw how they closed the tops on those things, so that was cool. Hope to get back there when the outdoor patio is open.
One of the best things about winter is the selection of stouts.
 

fsg2_rivals

Heisman
Apr 3, 2018
10,881
13,184
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Once our son outgrew our small sledding hill across the street by about age 10-11, Schooley Mountain in Long Valley became our sledding hill. As I'm sure you know, it's got about a 150 foot vertical with hay bales to keep sledders from hitting the tree line and it's about a 1/4 mile run down the hill. I'd pile my son and 2-3 of his friends into the car and we'd have a blast sledding for hours up there and ate more than a few meals at the Long Valley Pub. My son's now 26 and living back at home during COVID and we were just talking about going back up there after the snow stops, for old time's sake (it's probably been since he was 18 and went off to college).

If it's the hill I'm thinking of, that thing is legit for sledding.

Always wanted to get my sled up there, but folks didn't really drive us to sled so had to stick within walking distance.
 
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Joey Bags

All-American
Sep 21, 2019
5,175
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Moderate to heavy snow here in Raritan already. Ant to think Mt. Holly was still pushing a 10 pm start time as of 7am this morning 🙄
 
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goru1869

All-Conference
Nov 16, 2005
7,242
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If it's the hill I'm thinking of, that thing is legit for sledding.

Always wanted to get my sled up there, but folks didn't really drive us to sled so had to stick within walking distance.
Never too late or too old to go sledding. But I am not 60 yet so it is easy for me to say. But the hill is great !
 
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Retired711

Heisman
Nov 20, 2001
19,972
10,154
58
Precipitation has started here in Cherry Hill. There appears to me to be sleet mixed in, but it's increasingly snow. Nothing is sticking yet. The NWS local forecast says 7 to 14 for us; we'll see.
 

Sweet Pea's Corner

All-American
Sep 10, 2001
17,890
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The Hillsborough Deli just sent an email blast. They will be closing at 2 today and remain closed until Tuesday morning. They said if venturing out make sure you protect yourself. It will get mushy out. Don't forget the gloves and rubbers.
 

DJ Spanky

Heisman
Jul 25, 2001
51,216
63,302
113
The Hillsborough Deli just sent an email blast. They will be closing at 2 today and remain closed until Tuesday morning. They said if venturing out make sure you protect yourself. It will get mushy out. Don't forget the gloves and rubbers.
Yes, protection is always important, especially with 10 inches or more.
 

rurichdog

Heisman
Sep 30, 2006
116,807
14,390
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The Hillsborough Deli just sent an email blast. They will be closing at 2 today and remain closed until Tuesday morning. They said if venturing out make sure you protect yourself. It will get mushy out. Don't forget the gloves and rubbers.
15 to 25 inches...going to be slippery
 

knightfan7

Heisman
Jul 30, 2003
97,432
71,144
113
A lot of my cousins who grew up in Long Valley have worked there over the years.

I love living at the beach and Monmouth County in general and wouldn't trade it for anything but Morris County is very nice.

Flanders was fine but tough trying to commute or at least it was anywhere east of there.

For me I'd go back to The Hills in Bedminster. Loved it but family started to outgrow the condo.
 
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