Magic number is...
- Thread starter Knight Owl
- Start date
one more win might do it
2 more wins WILL do it
2 more wins WILL do it
Virginia’s NET is 56 right now. But every game they have down the stretch is winnable...including home games against Duke and Louisville. People that think the NET is the end-all be-all (especially at this point) are wrong.
Two more and were in. And that includes any combination of regular season and Big Ten tournament. One win and were sweating on selection sunday
Just keep on playing like we’re playing and the wins will follow.. I think we beat Michigan if we play like we did tonight. Very encouraging.
1 might not do it. You can't go 1-4 down the stretch, especially with a bad league road record with the only win at lowly Nebraska.
Well yeah, I said 1 might do it, which also means that it might not lol. But I agree I will be concerned with a 1-4 finish unless we also pull out a game in the B1G tournament... Then I think were in.
It also depends on how they do it. If they won the next 2, and then lost the last 3 regular season games and their first game in the B1G Ten Tournament, I don't see the committee looking at a finish like that positively.
the committee , if they had any sense about them, would want us in
Yep 1 may be good enough. Especially with how resounding this win was. Very eye catching result.
Fify. Answer is usually........nope.
We have had 0..... ZERO blowout losses in 26 games, our biggest loss was by 12(down 5 with 5 left) and 11 in early Dec. There is probably less than 10 teams that can make that claim. Stop with the magic number stuff, we have been competitive in 26 out of 26 games which the committee looks at and we will finish 31 out of 31 games in one of the top 3 conferences. You know the team this season reminds me of is that 7th seed South Carolina team that finished 22-9, and got to the Final Four, they have that capability. This team has shut down any team for 5-10 minutes stretches and the ability to match offenses when necessary like Iowa. They are a matchup nightmare in the dance and can't see them missing it in any scenario. If they follow today's game with another strong game against Michigan and win convincingly, watch out.
Yo. Get real. We are not losing at the RAC so that is 2 more wins and I can almost feel 1 or 2 road wins coming. You are worried about getting in and I am hoping for either a 6 or 7 seed so we can advance to the Sweet Sixteen. Get on board. All the negative nellies can go root for another team. Our team was a top 10 team today. Get that through your head
Because beating Maryland on your own floor is easy. Just ask Michigan State...
The magic number, as in the number that ALMOST guarantees we make it, is 2.
The number that gets us a >50% chance of making it is 1.
At this point, we should have loftier goals. Like a double bye in the Big Ten Tournament.
The number that gets us a >50% chance of making it is 1.
At this point, we should have loftier goals. Like a double bye in the Big Ten Tournament.
Maryland is not beating us. We should have beat their team at Maryland except for the last 3 minute meltdown. No one and I mean no one, just did to Illinois what we just did to a ranked team. We were up 20 with a minute left and it ended at 15. Even a blind squirrel can figure out Rutgers is one good damn team that will be a tough out in the tourney. Hopefully you like nuts.
AGAIN every prognosticater, bracktologist and sport show hosts have been saying for the last couple of weeks the Big 10 will get between 9 and 11 teams in the tourney. We will not finish 10th in the Big. They all know the Big is arguably the best conference in America and each team beats up on each other. Look at the number of road wins for the entire conference it is a little over 33%.
We lost to Illinois at their place by 3 we beat them here by 15. Our road losses are - if a loss can be called impressive - are impressive. Who we play and how we lost will go further than our away in conference record
Since every team we play the remainder of the season is a ncaa bound or bubble team ...
19 wins ...10/11 seed
20 wins.... 9 seee
21 wins.....8 seed
22 wins ....7 seed
23 wins.....6 seed
24 wins.....5 seed
25 wins ....3/4 seed
26 wins.....2/3 seed
19 wins ...10/11 seed
20 wins.... 9 seee
21 wins.....8 seed
22 wins ....7 seed
23 wins.....6 seed
24 wins.....5 seed
25 wins ....3/4 seed
26 wins.....2/3 seed
Exactly - feel like a broken record, but I've been saying 19-12/10-10 (with a loss in the B1G tourney) puts us on the right side of the bubble, but is not an absolute lock (depending on how we lose and who we lose to in the tourney) , while 20-11/11-9 is an 8/9 seed, even with a loss in the tourney. But I'm thinking about 21-10/12-8 and at least one win in the tourney and a 6 seed.
Agree, except that to me the magic number is the one that DOES guarantee we're in, no ands ifs or buts. I think that number is 3. That includes both regular season and B1G Tournament.
That’s not how it works. You can’t leave out an 11 win B1G team. I get what you’re saying and that this is a hypothetical, but you’re not going to punish a team for losing at PSU, home against a top 10 Maryland, and then at Purdue, then leave them out for losing game four in that stretch in the conference tournament. No team outside the B1G has a tougher stretch. That’s called a Monday in our conference
Anyone, including the committee is high and on drugs if we need three more wins. Not with this schedule.
It is no longer making the tourney , as that is almost a given, it is getting a 6 or 7seed where we have a real chance to make the Sweet Sixteen. I am with you about the double bye, as I think that is really in play. The Penn State and Maryland wars will be epic and hopefully for top seeding.
I ag
I agree that 2 more wins would probably be enough...barring lots of upsets in conference tourneys. The 11 conference wins officially wouldn’t matter (they’re supposed to ignore conference records) but a winning record in a solid and deep league won’t hurt.
Agreed. It would have to be anarchy in the conference tournaments to get us bounced
Sure, but it's pretty unlikely to get a bid stealer from, for example, the Big Ten.
A10
ACC
American
Big Ten
Big 12
Big East
Missouri Valley - maybe
Mountain West
Pac 12
Southern - maybe
SEC
West Coast
So 12 conferences. 10 of them the top team would definitely get an at-large, the other 2 are maybes.
ACC
American
Big Ten
Big 12
Big East
Missouri Valley - maybe
Mountain West
Pac 12
Southern - maybe
SEC
West Coast
So 12 conferences. 10 of them the top team would definitely get an at-large, the other 2 are maybes.
I’m basically saying that if UNC wins the ACC tourney, Duke is still getting a bid. And there are more than a few conferences in that same boat.
Good luck
Next time give me the profiles of the bubble schools and compare them to Rutgers
If UNC wins the tournament lol. Try not to think too much. If this is what you’re worried about, you’re gonna hurt yourself