Median NET win for Rutgers is...

[Knight Owl]

129 and the average is 135. A win over Northwestern drops the median win to 88. Three more wins after Northwestern would at least get the median to below 50 and give RU fans a more solid argument for a bid.

 

[Rhuarc]

129 and the average is 135. A win over Northwestern drops the median win to 88. Three more wins after Northwestern would at least get the median to below 50 and give RU fans a more solid argument for a bid.

I don't know what a median win is but do you honestly think that they wouldn't earn a bid if the season ended today?

 

[Knight Owl]

I don't know what a median win is but do you honestly think that they wouldn't earn a bid if the season ended today?

Median NET ranking (simply the opponent’s NET ranking of your 8th best win if you have 16 wins). A low number for your median NET of wins shows that you’ve beaten more than a couple good teams. RU’s mean NET win will remain high because of all the quad 4 wins.

 

[Knight Owl]

I don't know what a median win is but do you honestly think that they wouldn't earn a bid if the season ended today?

Season doesn’t end today so that’s irrelevant.

 

[BigLou]

Median NET ranking (simply the opponent’s NET ranking of your 8th best win if you have 16 wins). A low number for your median NET of wins shows that you’ve beaten more than a couple good teams. RU’s mean NET win will remain high because of all the quad 4 wins.

The fallacy of the math here is that most our games with low ranked opponents were in the early part of the season leading to a median ranking that improves as the season progresses.

 

[bac2therac]

Median NET ranking (simply the opponent’s NET ranking of your 8th best win if you have 16 wins). A low number for your median NET of wins shows that you’ve beaten more than a couple good teams. RU’s mean NET win will remain high because of all the quad 4 wins.

but RU fits right in with everyone else at this point

 

[ScarletDave]

Median would be a better factor in-season if your OOC games were spread out proportionately across the entire season with the B1G games. But since they are front loaded, Median means squat until the regular season and conf tourney ends

 

[Knight Owl]

Median would be a better factor in-season if your OOC games were spread out proportionately across the entire season with the B1G games. But since they are front loaded, Median means squat until the regular season and conf tourney ends

That was kinda my point. The mean might not drop to a good number but if your median looks good you may have an argument. The team only has one road/neutral win and might not get another the rest of the way.

 

[Mikemarc]

That was kinda my point. The mean might not drop to a good number but if your median looks good you may have an argument. The team only has one road/neutral win and might not get another the rest of the way.

that will be the killer if we are a bubble team and don’t make it. our road record.

 

[Greene Rice FIG]

Median?

Are we going to look at the standard deviation of NET wins next?

average. Maybe
Median. Don’t see it

 

[Knight Owl]

Median?

Are we going to look at the standard deviation of NET wins next?

average. Maybe
Median. Don’t see it

It will have to be RU’s argument if they win no more road/neutral games. Mean isn’t necessarily a great measure since it doesn’t take into consideration an actual single game result. Instead it just throws all games into a pot and makes soup with them.

 

[Scangg]

Meaningless

 

[fluoxetine]

It will have to be RU’s argument if they win no more road/neutral games. Mean isn’t necessarily a great measure since it doesn’t take into consideration an actual single game result. Instead it just throws all games into a pot and makes soup with them.

Be RU’s argument? We don’t send lawyers to the committee room to argue our case afaik.

 

[fluoxetine]

Win 3 more games and we are good to go unless we lose to Nebraska or Northwestern in the first round of the Big Ten Tournament. Don’t overthink it.

 

[Knight Owl]

Win 3 more games and we are good to go unless we lose to Nebraska or Northwestern in the first round of the Big Ten Tournament. Don’t overthink it.

Yeah 18-13 with 1 road win will be a compelling argument I’m sure.

 

[bac2therac]

the ooc schedule is actually rated 48, 37 overall

 

[Knight Owl]

Rutgers and Indiana have similar results except Indiana has the easier schedule down the stretch.

 

[bac2therac]

Rutgers resume is better than Indiana

 

[biazza38]

Stop it. Win and we’re in. Lose and we’re out. Our wins against SHU and PSU are impressive. Same with the win against Purdue. Our schedule is a gauntlet. Stop bringing up more useless metrics. Just win. Everyone has major flaws. If we end up being a bubble team, no other bubble team will have played a tougher conference schedule. The B1G is very deep this year

 

[bac2therac]

beat Illinois, Maryland and Penn State and it will probably not matter what else happens

 

[Knight Owl]

Rutgers resume is better than Indiana

Really? Look at their schedule compared to what RU has left(after today). Lone road win at Nebraska...

 

[bac2therac]

their resume is simply better right now...not sure why you are talking about game remaining, I dont see Indy going better than 4-4 and my prediction would be 3-5

 

[Night Man]

Median?

Are we going to look at the standard deviation of NET wins next?

average. Maybe
Median. Don’t see it

Kurtosis of our NET wins or GTFO

 

[biazza38]

beat Illinois, Maryland and Penn State and it will probably not matter what else happens

It definitely will not matter if that happens.

 

[fluoxetine]

Yeah 18-13 with 1 road win will be a compelling argument I’m sure.

“Compelling argument” isn’t the language I’d use, but good enough to sneak into the tournament, yes, probably.

I would like one additional win to really feel safe.