I'm guessing that RU will be giving 1 point to Michigan.
Guess the spread for the Michigan game
- Thread starter ScarletStateofNJ
- Start date
Simpson playing or not playing will have no impact on the spread. Michigan is a system program based on moving the ball, passing, cutting and creating space for 3s.
Neutral court for both teams....my guess is RU -1
Neutral court for both teams....my guess is RU -1
You are Michigan and you are playing Rutgers and Montez Mathis and Jacob Young are guarding the primary ball handler. Aren't you a little concerned not having Simpson being that guy.
David DeJulius or Eli Brooks can do fine vs. Cam Mack and Nebraska. I think Mathis is a major disruptor of a half court offense if there is no Simpson.
I'd be shocked if there isn't at least a 3 point difference in the spread. We probably will never know.
ESPN gives RU a 50.5% chance of winning.
RU is 13-5-1 ATS this year, Michigan is 9-10-1.
https://www.teamrankings.com/ncaa-b...et-knights-wolverines-2020-02-01/ats-analysis
RU is 13-5-1 ATS this year, Michigan is 9-10-1.
https://www.teamrankings.com/ncaa-b...et-knights-wolverines-2020-02-01/ats-analysis
Agree with you - Simpson is a difference maker worth at least 2-3 points in the spread. The other question is Livers - some speculating he reinjured the groin and could be out for several more games.
I hate to even say this.....Michigan has not been good in B1G play. I can't see how we wouldn't be favored.
They are 3-6 in B1G.
1 was Nebraska
1 was Purdue at home and it took 2 OTs
1 was Iowa 103-91 they were 10-24 from 3 and Iowa was 3-15
When I think Michigan and Howard as their coach I think Eddie Jordan, Chris Mullin and Patrick Ewing.....maybe that isnt fair.
They are 3-6 in B1G.
1 was Nebraska
1 was Purdue at home and it took 2 OTs
1 was Iowa 103-91 they were 10-24 from 3 and Iowa was 3-15
When I think Michigan and Howard as their coach I think Eddie Jordan, Chris Mullin and Patrick Ewing.....maybe that isnt fair.
It is so darn fortuitous for RU that this Michigan "away" game is being played at MSG.
But, lord knows, RU basketball deserves some breaks going its way.
But, lord knows, RU basketball deserves some breaks going its way.
Who cares what the line is or what ESPN thinks?
Just go there and focus on the fundas and you win.
I don't gamble so I never paid attention to all this nonsense before the game.
Just go there and focus on the fundas and you win.
I don't gamble so I never paid attention to all this nonsense before the game.
you are right...BUT...I'd rather he doesn't play.
and I think Howard should give Livers a few more days to rest up his groin. he should be fine to start playing again by Sunday morning
Simpson not playing will 100% impact the spread. Even if you dont think Vegad will factor it into the initial line, it will change how both the public and professionals bet on the game
What do you think the spread would be if we swapped resumes and Michigan was 16-5? Would people be saying Rutgers should be favored? Michigan has done nothing to make a case to be favored in this game
Michigan bettors will make it Michigan -3.5
check this out.. history shows Michigan disappoints bettors against the spread where Rutgers tends to win bets
Also looks like we are a risky 50/50 bet for the over/unders.. we seem to be 10 and 10.. 10 games over and 10 games under. Vegas oddsmakers must love that. But even without seeing the line I think we're gonna be OVER.. but teams will be PUMPED to play at MSG.
check this out.. history shows Michigan disappoints bettors against the spread where Rutgers tends to win bets
Also looks like we are a risky 50/50 bet for the over/unders.. we seem to be 10 and 10.. 10 games over and 10 games under. Vegas oddsmakers must love that. But even without seeing the line I think we're gonna be OVER.. but teams will be PUMPED to play at MSG.
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Agree right around here
Michigan was 4.5 faves at Penn State about a week ago. When we hosted Penn State couple weeks back, Penn State was favored by a point. True we have proven ourselves more since, but you get the idea
Found a place that says Rutgers is 6000:1 against winning the NCAA title.... Same as Meechigan... Don't know if that means there is anyplace you can place a bet like that... but plunking down $10 or $100 could make now until then very interesting.
I bet on Rutgers to win the title at +20000 before the season. Should be able to hedge out on that and make some money
Not a gambler.. but how do you hedge that? Place a bet on ANYONE but Rutgers winning it? Not sure I get it. If we get into the tourney and, say, make the sweet 16.. maybe. Just not sure what kind of bet can be placed to hedge that.
When you get really really good odds like this you have a lot of room to hedge. At +20000, 5 bucks gets you 1000. In the first round I could bet against Rutgers. If Rutgers, loses I would win money overall even if I only bet 10 bucks. If Rutgers wins, now I've bet a total of 15 bucks with a shot at 1000. Etc etc. Hopefully, that makes sense. I am not a complete expert but that's the general concept.
Interesting link there. Thanks. Don’t know why they show us 15-1 at home straight up however. But I hope you’re right about Mich bettors...would love to take their money.
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