Our only chance to get another win this year

knight82

All-American
Nov 4, 2002
8,534
9,155
113
is to take the air out of the ball. (No Tom Brady jokes please). In the few games where we played well, we ran out of gas at the end. We have to stop throwing up a shot with 20 plus seconds left on the shot clock. We have to be a Pete Carrill type team to have a chance at another win. We're just don't have enough bodies to play up tempo. Shorten the game. Like Lewis or not, he's our only 6'9 guy left and we need to give his legs a break. Keeps foul trouble down and keeps certain bench players from playing meaningful minutes.
 
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bac2therac

Hall of Famer
Jul 30, 2001
250,813
179,767
113
there is some truth to this...RU isn't going to win any track meets or games in the 80s. I thought at times RU did a good job at slowing things down rather than run every possession. Need to do more of that patience thing because we lose to every single team if we try and run, just don't have the defense to do it
 

ColonelRutgers

All-American
Dec 15, 2003
7,111
9,303
113
There's only a 30 second shot clock these days. We're not talented enough to run clock AND still find and make a good shot or create a shot (a la John Battle or Quincy Douby). If we get a good shot we need to take it. If you're saying don't just run down court and jack up a bad shot, then yeah.
 

RUJMM78

Heisman
Jul 25, 2001
26,262
12,545
113
is to take the air out of the ball. (No Tom Brady jokes please). In the few games where we played well, we ran out of gas at the end. We have to stop throwing up a shot with 20 plus seconds left on the shot clock. We have to be a Pete Carrill type team to have a chance at another win. We're just don't have enough bodies to play up tempo. Shorten the game. Like Lewis or not, he's our only 6'9 guy left and we need to give his legs a break. Keeps foul trouble down and keeps certain bench players from playing meaningful minutes.
The problem with that strategy is that Rutgers doesn't have players that can create and make shots with less than 10 seconds on the shot clock.Princeton always had those type of players especially a center who could make a jump shot from beyond the foul line.
 

Greene Rice FIG

Heisman
Dec 30, 2005
40,437
23,613
0
Sanders can absolutely penetrate with7 seconds left. If spacing is right and shooters on the floor Corey will find them.

The Iowa game made it clear to me what our problem has been......and I am not saying it.
 

RU-Choppin-Ohio

Heisman
Jul 31, 2011
33,066
37,970
113
Sanders can absolutely penetrate with7 seconds left. If spacing is right and shooters on the floor Corey will find them.

The Iowa game made it clear to me what our problem has been......and I am not saying it.

Shooting ? 4-17 on threes, Iowa was 11-29. That's a 21 point difference.

The team that makes their open shots normally wins.
 

blockm2

Senior
Jul 9, 2001
4,354
584
0
No. We need current guys to remain healthy. Our schedule is front loaded. Winnable games are ahead.

Per KenPom, Rutgers has at least a 25% chance of winning 3 individual games left on the schedule: homes games with Illinois, Penn State, and Minnesota. The Minnesota game to finish the year is a toss up with a current projected point spread of Rutgers +1.
 

Greene Rice FIG

Heisman
Dec 30, 2005
40,437
23,613
0
I hear you. However kenpom doesn't know Freeman is out for the year. It thinks he will play 1/2 of our remaining games.
 

blockm2

Senior
Jul 9, 2001
4,354
584
0
I hear you. However kenpom doesn't know Freeman is out for the year. It thinks he will play 1/2 of our remaining games.

Freeman has only played 6 games out of 19 this season. KenPom is heavily factoring that into the predictions, especially since it weights recent performance ahead of early season performance.
 

Greene Rice FIG

Heisman
Dec 30, 2005
40,437
23,613
0
Freeman has only played 6 games out of 19 this season. KenPom is heavily factoring that into the predictions, especially since it weights recent performance ahead of early season performance.

i didn't know that...i thought it just looked at adjusted effective data....i thought adjusted took in to consideration strength of schedule.

Are you sure it weights recent performance
 

blockm2

Senior
Jul 9, 2001
4,354
584
0
i didn't know that...i thought it just looked at adjusted effective data....i thought adjusted took in to consideration strength of schedule.

Are you sure it weights recent performance

yes. can't remember where but it was in one of his blog entries a few years ago. It's basically a combination of offense and defensive efficiency adjusted for tempo and strength of competition, but it weights recent games more heavily than early season games.
 

Greene Rice FIG

Heisman
Dec 30, 2005
40,437
23,613
0
yes. can't remember where but it was in one of his blog entries a few years ago. It's basically a combination of offense and defensive efficiency adjusted for tempo and strength of competition, but it weights recent games more heavily than early season games.

I have always wondered how he made his predictions early in the season with little and no data AND when in the season does he strictly use the data of the current season (as opposed to what he makes predictions with early in the season before he has data)
 

blockm2

Senior
Jul 9, 2001
4,354
584
0
I have always wondered how he made his predictions early in the season with little and no data AND when in the season does he strictly use the data of the current season (as opposed to what he makes predictions with early in the season before he has data)

he has explained his preseason rankings previously. It's a combination of previous seasons performance combined with returning talent and a little bit of accounting for incoming freshmen. As the season goes along he adds the current performance into the preseason prediction. I believe by January it is essentially all based on current season.
 
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