Nebraska double digit favorite
- Thread starter phatcat_rivals223240
- Start date
I think the Cats are a good bet at +10.5, but I can see how the line got there:
Home field advantage worth 3.
Last game comparison (Huskers win on road v. Illini, Cats struggle at home v. Howard), maybe 3 points positive for Huskers, 2 points negative for Cats, 5 points total.
Nebraska fan base line bias: Huskers have large following likely to see this game as easy win and bet on Huskers: maybe 2 points.
Add those factors up and you get Nebraska -10. Add half a point for Nebraska generally being a little better than the Cats over the first six games, and you get a 10.5 spread.
I do think the improvement Nebraska showed two weeks ago is real, and in this case home field is probably worth 3 ( Cats two road games have been dismal). Howard game has little bearing with Sullivan playing and Henning out, and Nebraska betting bounce is an easy pickup. I really think a rational spread is Cats as 6.5 underdogs.
Home field advantage worth 3.
Last game comparison (Huskers win on road v. Illini, Cats struggle at home v. Howard), maybe 3 points positive for Huskers, 2 points negative for Cats, 5 points total.
Nebraska fan base line bias: Huskers have large following likely to see this game as easy win and bet on Huskers: maybe 2 points.
Add those factors up and you get Nebraska -10. Add half a point for Nebraska generally being a little better than the Cats over the first six games, and you get a 10.5 spread.
I do think the improvement Nebraska showed two weeks ago is real, and in this case home field is probably worth 3 ( Cats two road games have been dismal). Howard game has little bearing with Sullivan playing and Henning out, and Nebraska betting bounce is an easy pickup. I really think a rational spread is Cats as 6.5 underdogs.
It probably comes down to the fact that they run the ball well and we don't defend it well and conversely they have a great run defense so we will have to rely on passing. If they put pressure on our quarterback we are in big trouble. 10-point spread is reasonable unfortunately.
I think a lot of Nebraska fans were surprised at the line as well. History alone shows us this line should never be more than a TD as the game is always close. Always an entertaining fun game.
I think we've come a long way since Rutgers, including our rookie head coach having 6 games under his belt now. True that Neb's strengths match up to our weaknesses, but if we can turn them over a few times (they've been a turnover machine so far) while protecting the ball ourselves, and dial up our passing game (Bryant please be healthy!) then we have a real shot at winning. I think our run D is better than the stats show.
Bryant must be really hurting, because this current spread for the game is rather large for two equally matched teams that are rather mediocre thus far. If this game is a loss, I highly doubt we make a bowl. Illinois seems to be improving as they knocked off Maryland last weekend. The only probable win left is against a hapless Boilermaker team. The team needs almost a quantum leap in terms of improvement to make a bowl. We will find out this Saturday how well they took advantage of the bye.
If only we could play them in Dublin....
I will be in Lincoln, hoping Jordan Westerkamp no longer plays for the Huskers. Loved visiting Lincoln, last time, despite the outcome of the game. Great place for a football weekend.
I will be in Lincoln, hoping Jordan Westerkamp no longer plays for the Huskers. Loved visiting Lincoln, last time, despite the outcome of the game. Great place for a football weekend.
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