Jobs.....

WVU82_rivals

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May 29, 2001
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FACT CHECK: President Trump's Record On Jobs And Stocks : NPR
https://www.npr.org/2017/12/.../fact-check-president-trumps-record-on-jobs-and-stocks
Dec 8, 2017 - With tax reform moving quickly through Congress, confidence in the strength of our economy remains high and families around the country are reaping the benefits. We're especially pleased to see the manufacturing sector roaring back to life, adding a total of 159,000 jobs since President Trump took office after averaging a ...


Manufacturing Jobs Soar Under Trump - UnemploymentData.com
https://unemploymentdata.com/employment/manufacturing-jobs-soar-under-trump/
Dec 9, 2017 - It's interesting that this month's BLS Commissioner's report said, "Since a recent low in November 2016, manufacturing employment has increased by 189000."

 

WVU82_rivals

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https://www.wsj.com/articles/tax-reform-will-pay-growth-dividends-1515110902

Tax Reform Will Pay Growth Dividends
The effects will be even larger thanks to last-minute cuts in marginal individual rates.


The recently enacted tax package promises to raise economic growth substantially over the short and long run. In a November letter to Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, eight other economists and I argued that the bill’s corporate tax provisions would increase business investment and expand the economy. But what about the changes to the individual tax code?

During the congressional debate, many of the proposals for individual income taxes did not seem designed to promote growth, simply because they did not cut marginal tax rates. But the final legislation signed by President Trump does significantly reduce these marginal rates. That means the bill will boost the economy, particularly in the short run, more than originally predicted.

The Tax Policy Center estimates that the weighted-average marginal tax rate from individual income and payroll taxes will fall in 2018 by 3.2 percentage points. By comparison, the cuts were 4.5 points from 1986-88 in the Reagan reform, 3.6 points from 1963-65 in the Kennedy-Johnson tax reduction, and 2.1 points from 2002-03 in the George W. Bush reform.

Moreover, the Tax Policy Center finds that marginal tax rates in 2018 will drop for taxpayers across the income distribution. Most cuts are near 3 percentage points, with the smallest being zero for incomes below $10,000 and 0.6 point for incomes between $500,000 and $1,000,000.

My research with Charles Redlick, published in 2011 by the Quarterly Journal of Economics, suggests that cutting the average marginal tax rate for individuals by 1 percentage point increases gross domestic product by 0.5% over the next two years. This means the tax bill’s average cut of 3.2 points should expand the economy by 1.6% through 2019, or extra growth of 0.8% a year. This growth effect is temporary, but what it adds to the level of GDP is permanent.

Expansionary effects from cutting marginal income-tax rates also appear in a recent study, forthcoming in the Quarterly Journal of Economics, by Karel Mertens and Jose Montiel-Olea. But their estimated effects are roughly twice as large as those that Mr. Redlick and I calculated. They also find that incomes expand across the distribution, not primarily among the wealthy.

My evaluation of the tax bill’s corporate provisions relies on the “user cost of capital.” This is a concept economists employ to gauge how much it costs businesses to acquire and deploy capital. The calculation starts with the expected return companies need to undertake investments. This return is high—around 8% a year in real terms—because investing entails large risks.

The tax system is also included, in two ways. First is the tax rate on corporate profits. The recent legislation cuts the main rate on corporations from 35% to 21%. A second factor is the degree of expensing allowed on business investments. This gets a bit complicated because of the need to distinguish between equipment and structures.

On equipment, the generous depreciation allowances in the current system suggest that the effective expensing rate is already high, around 80%. The new law raises this rate to 100%. That change is scheduled to lapse after five years, but I treat it as permanent on the assumption that Congress will extend it. I estimate that this lowers the user cost for equipment by 10%.

On structures, the existing recovery period is long, depreciation allowances are heavily discounted, and the effective expensing rate is only 30%. The new tax law does not change depreciation schedules for most structures, such as factories and office buildings. But the lower corporate tax comes into effect here because whatever output is generated by the investment is taxed at the new rate of 21%. Overall, I estimate that the user cost for structures falls by 14%. Surprisingly, this is larger than the drop for equipment, mainly because equipment already is effectively expensed at a high rate.

Lowering the user cost of capital increases the long-run ratios of corporate capital to labor—that is, companies are willing to provide each worker with more equipment and structures to do their jobs. My estimate is that the capital-labor ratio will rise in the long run (after 20 or more years) by 14% for equipment and 20% for structures. These changes imply a 7% long-run increase in both corporate output per worker and real wages paid to workers. This is “trickle-down economics” at its best—raising wages by cutting corporate taxes.

The long-run increase in GDP per worker will be less than 7% because corporations represent only about half of national income. But the effect won’t be much less, because the new law applies full expensing of equipment to all businesses, while also lowering tax rates on pass-through enterprises. My rough estimate is that GDP per worker will rise by about 6% over the long run. If labor supply does not change, this 6% increase applies also to GDP per capita.

I project the short-run effect by using estimates of how fast the economy moves toward its long-run position. A convergence rate of 5% a year implies that the corporate changes will increase GDP growth by 0.29 percentage point in 2018, and then by an average of 0.24 percentage point a year over Congress’s 10-year horizon.

As a bottom line, I estimate that the total tax package will create extra GDP growth of 1.1% a year through 2019. The main effect (0.8%) comes from changing the individual tax code, with the remainder from the corporate reform. Over the following eight years, the projected growth rate rises by 0.2 to 0.3 percentage point a year because of the law’s expansionary effects on long-run capital and GDP per worker.

In other words, cutting income taxes on individuals will power economic growth in the short run, and reforming them for businesses will do the same over the long haul. Together they add up to more investment, increased output and higher wages for millions of Americans.

Mr. Barro is a professor of economics at Harvard University and a visiting scholar at the American Enterprise Institute.


 

Brushy Bill

Hall of Famer
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They are brain damaged. If they don't show signs of rehabilitation after a few weeks of exposure to reality then they are hopeless.
 
Dec 7, 2010
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I know, it’s like you all can’t accept what a good job he’s actually doing economically. Here’s a hint, we know why. He’ll sleep walk to re-election if he can keep it moving through these next 2.5 years.
[roll]The guy has been exposed for what he is and his approval can’t crack 40%. Lowest ever recorded In the history of polling for a Prez at 11 months despite a good economy. Don’t quit your day job. Politics is not your forte.[poop]
 

Airport

All-American
Dec 12, 2001
86,238
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Even food stamps are decreasing! If we can find a way to repeal ACA, the hemmorhoid will completely disappear.
 

wvu2007

Senior
Jan 2, 2013
21,220
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[roll]The guy has been exposed for what he is and his approval can’t crack 40%. Lowest ever recorded In the history of polling for a Prez at 11 months despite a good economy. Don’t quit your day job. Politics is not your forte.[poop]

------------------------- Take your own advice eye doc -------------------------


I'd love to make a wager with you if the two win the nominations. Trump has no chance of beating Hillary. Only in the Fox News world of blinders does he.....:flush:

4-4 tie = win for public unions. Wingnuts better get used to the shift that's coming on the court. Once Obama or Hillary (with a Democratic majority in the senate) gets their nominee on the court, we'll be back to 5-4 good guys. In other news, Hillary will likely get to nominate at least one Supreme in her first term. Thomas isn't looking too good. How's 6-3 sound? Plus Ginsberg won't retire until Hillary can name her replacement locking in another non-wingnut for a generation. Times changing.

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/03/30/u...ion-union-fees-supreme-court-ruling.html?_r=0

This race isn't close. 5% lead for Hillary. She'll win by at least 7. probably get 10 million more votes and will probably win 350 electoral votes. If it wasn;'t for the idiot racists here in the South, Trump wouldn't get more than 100 electoral votes.

 

wvu2007

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Jan 2, 2013
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[roll]The guy has been exposed for what he is and his approval can’t crack 40%. Lowest ever recorded In the history of polling for a Prez at 11 months despite a good economy. Don’t quit your day job. Politics is not your forte.[poop]

with 341 electoral votes and a 49%-43% shellacking in popular vote. If the wingnuts in the gop had nominated anyone else on the planet, they'd have won this election. Well, maybe not Ted Cruz. [roll]
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

Julian Castro. Remember that name.

and Nate now has it at 86% probability that Hillary wins. 86%. Wow! Even more shocking to me is he now has it as 63% that the Democrats take control of the Senate. Incredible what a toxic candidate that only the kookiest of kooks (and angry racists) support can do to the rest of the ticket. But of course, if he loses, it is because of fraud! [roll]

When is the GOP ever going to learn? Are they going to have another autopsy (ala 2012) to tell them what we all already know....the GOP's platform is out of step with the mainstream. When the kooks control your party, you have to accept the asskicking that is inevitable. It serves you right for embracing the kooks to begin with....you know, the crazy evangelicals who want to force victims of rape and incest to carry to term and base their science on the premise that the earth is only a few thousand years old, the racists who actually believe that it is Whites who are being oppressed, the birthers who still claim that our President is illegitimate, the climate-change deniers..... As my wife would say, you guys are a hot mess.

As the President said yesterday so eloquently, the party of family values has nominated Donald trump? Really? Hot mess indeed. You guys have turned into the party of hate. Hate drives everything to the GOP base these days. How ironic for a bunch of religious kooks.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=2016-forecast
 

DvlDog4WVU

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Feb 2, 2008
47,206
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[roll]The guy has been exposed for what he is and his approval can’t crack 40%. Lowest ever recorded In the history of polling for a Prez at 11 months despite a good economy. Don’t quit your day job. Politics is not your forte.[poop]
I think you left out the part where him Obama have similar numbers at this point in their Presidencies.
 
Dec 7, 2010
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The three-day averages released on December 28, 2009 -- the day Trump cited in his tweet -- showed 51% approval for Obama with 43% disapproval. On December 28 of this year, Gallup released a three-day average showing 38% approval for Trump with 56% disapproval.
I think you left out the part where him Obama have similar numbers at this point in their Presidencies.
 

atlkvb

All-American
Jul 9, 2004
82,339
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I know, it’s like you all can’t accept what a good job he’s actually doing economically. Here’s a hint, we know why. He’ll sleep walk to re-election if he can keep it moving through these next 2.5 years.

I have posted and I'll post again Trump wins a huge re-election if two signature realities leave Americans with an affirmative and emphatic "YES!"

1) Are Americans economically secure with enough of the types of jobs they either need or desire paying them the kind of money they either need or desire?

2) Do Americans think the country is now safe and secure from either threats of invasion by illegal Aliens across our southern border or attacks overseas against our vital interests from radical Islamic terrorists or other hostile foreign enemies like North Korea?

If the answer to both of those questions is an affirmative and strong "Yes" from American voters, Trump wins re-election in a land slide and it doesn't matter what else the Left whines about him.
 

atlkvb

All-American
Jul 9, 2004
82,339
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I think you left out the part where him Obama have similar numbers at this point in their Presidencies.


OK wait...let me get this straight.

So the economy is doing well now according to this poster. However it's Obama's economy even though he's NOT in office right?

However the man who IS in office gets no credit for an economy that's currently doing better than it was under Obama right? So why didn't Obama get more credit for a worse economy when he was in Office than he's getting now for a better economy and he is NOT in office? Why is he (Obama) only now getting the credit for a much better economy?

So I guess Trump also is getting the blame now for Obama's worse economic numbers...is that how this works?:confused:
 
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WVU82_rivals

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May 29, 2001
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the biggest difference between Trump & owebamatraitor ?

Trump actually loves America and its people...
 

atlkvb

All-American
Jul 9, 2004
82,339
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the biggest difference between Trump & owebamatraitor ?

Trump actually loves America and its people...

Trump is a Capitalist and loves Capitalism.

Obama is a Socialist and adores Socialism.

To me, that is their biggest difference.

One worships freedom and entrepreneurship and the private market.

The other worships collectivism & income redistribution because "Hey, you didn't build that, Government did!"