Whats the latest projection from .....

mule_eer

Freshman
May 6, 2002
20,438
58
48
Nate Silver?
The "Now-Cast" has Trump in the lead. The Pols-Only and Polls-Plus still project a Clinton win, but those percentages are low to mid 50's for Clinton now. A few weeks ago it was pretty close to 80-20 Clinton.
 

Keyser76

Freshman
Apr 7, 2010
11,912
58
0
Looks like The Don is right where Mitt was at this point in 2012. Demographics did not change in the RNCs favor though, ignore them at your peril.
 

bornaneer

All-Conference
Jan 23, 2014
30,907
1,607
113
Looks like The Don is right where Mitt was at this point in 2012. Demographics did not change in the RNCs favor though, ignore them at your peril.
It is going to get real nasty. Clinton is not Obama and Trump is no Romney.
 

mneilmont

Sophomore
Jan 23, 2008
20,883
166
0
Looks like The Don is right where Mitt was at this point in 2012. Demographics did not change in the RNCs favor though, ignore them at your peril.
Could it be possible that you are the one wearing blinders. Hillary does her best imitation of Bill, but she looses ground every time she opens her mouth. I have faith that she could piss off the Pope within 90 days.
 

EEResistable

All-American
May 29, 2001
89,571
6,064
61
I think there's a good chance Hillary will have a stroke in the middle of a debate. Her bloodpressure will be sky high.
 

mule_eer

Freshman
May 6, 2002
20,438
58
48
Could it be possible that you are the one wearing blinders. Hillary does her best imitation of Bill, but she looses ground every time she opens her mouth. I have faith that she could piss off the Pope within 90 days.
Well, for starters, her main competitor has already pissed off the Pope. Also, her main competitor just finished his national convention. Historically, candidates see a spike in the polls in their favor coming out of their conventions. I'm not saying that anything has been decided one way or the other, but Trump currently has a demographics issue - as most R's have had in recent years. He can overcome it, but I'll be surprised if he does. I should note, I've been surprised by the outcomes of elections in the past, so this wouldn't be new territory for me.
 

Airport

All-American
Dec 12, 2001
86,146
6,779
113
Well, for starters, her main competitor has already pissed off the Pope. Also, her main competitor just finished his national convention. Historically, candidates see a spike in the polls in their favor coming out of their conventions. I'm not saying that anything has been decided one way or the other, but Trump currently has a demographics issue - as most R's have had in recent years. He can overcome it, but I'll be surprised if he does. I should note, I've been surprised by the outcomes of elections in the past, so this wouldn't be new territory for me.

Well, I'm not old enough to remember Dewey/Truman.:flush:
 

JLW71073

Redshirt
Aug 7, 2003
6,499
7
0
Polls don't mean much until Labor Day. As Keyser noted, the polls were similar in 2012.
 

mneilmont

Sophomore
Jan 23, 2008
20,883
166
0
Well, for starters, her main competitor has already pissed off the Pope. Also, her main competitor just finished his national convention. Historically, candidates see a spike in the polls in their favor coming out of their conventions. I'm not saying that anything has been decided one way or the other, but Trump currently has a demographics issue - as most R's have had in recent years. He can overcome it, but I'll be surprised if he does. I should note, I've been surprised by the outcomes of elections in the past, so this wouldn't be new territory for me.
And he got a boost out of his convention. She is pretty much locked into her sagging numbers. The Pope would not give her absolution because she is such a liar - and it is detectible by anyone who wants to look objectively. Her convention timing was poor. She needed time to let the bump from Repub smooth out. She had to kick her show off with an apology that that her parish priest could not overlook. Ladies night out has a new meaning.
 

mule_eer

Freshman
May 6, 2002
20,438
58
48
And he got a boost out of his convention. She is pretty much locked into her sagging numbers. The Pope would not give her absolution because she is such a liar - and it is detectible by anyone who wants to look objectively. Her convention timing was poor. She needed time to let the bump from Repub smooth out. She had to kick her show off with an apology that that her parish priest could not overlook. Ladies night out has a new meaning.
Look at how smoothly the R's convention went (sarcasm), and Trump got a bump. I don't think she has an option on when to hold the convention. The party not holding the office has their convention first, followed by the party holding the WH. She was locked in.

I'm not trying to defend anything Clinton has said or done - Trump either. I'm trying to look objectively at the numbers. Trump got a boost out of his convention. With history as my guide, I suspect Clinton will get a bump in next week's polls. I heard some D on the radio last week talking about how last week's convention might be the first time in history that a candidate went down in the polls following a convention. I thought that was horse hockey driven by wishful thinking. Your implication that Clinton won't gain ground after her convention sounds the same to me, no offense intended.
 
Sep 6, 2013
27,594
120
0
Hillary is going to have a terrible turnout giving Trump a YUUUGE victory

You're dreaming. Don't underestimate the number of people that show up at the polls to vote against Trump. The only hope Trump has if the Independent/Progressive/Green Party candidates take enough of Hillary's votes to make a difference.
 

WESTBGVA

Redshirt
Jan 25, 2002
13,041
35
28
Agree. Wouldn't it be funny (sort of, sort of not) to see Donald call Hillary a C word (Chachi) right in the middle of a debate?
I've decided that I'm not going to criticize Ms Clinton as much as I have been..It's really non-productive..and I don't want to trip down a flight of stairs with a plastic bag on my head and fall into a wood chipper.
 

wvu2007

Senior
Jan 2, 2013
21,220
457
0
You're dreaming. Don't underestimate the number of people that show up at the polls to vote against Trump. The only hope Trump has if the Independent/Progressive/Green Party candidates take enough of Hillary's votes to make a difference.

 

mneilmont

Sophomore
Jan 23, 2008
20,883
166
0
Look at how smoothly the R's convention went (sarcasm), and Trump got a bump. I don't think she has an option on when to hold the convention. The party not holding the office has their convention first, followed by the party holding the WH. She was locked in.
Comparatively speaking, why did you attempt to use sarcasm, the RNC went rather smoothly. Date of Dem convention was not locked in by anything Repubs did. That was a Dem party choice to only take a one week break between the two. I don't know what they saw as an advantage to have it so soon. Don't think there is a rule forcing such quick action. IMO, she needed more time to turn her downslide into positive and then have her day. Maybe time will tell us which was proper break time.