Recovering Rhule Aid Drinker here. I used to buy into the Rhule 3 year rule, but it’s obvious he no longer has that same hunger:
Temple Wins
Year 1 -2
Year 2 - 6
Year 3 - 10
Baylor Wins
Year 1 - 1
Year 2 - 7
Year 3 - 11
Rhule’s prior success stories included increasing 2nd year win totals by 200% (Temple) & 600% (Baylor). There was a clear improvement from year 1 to 2. He is already failing to accomplish this. Rhule must win 2 out of next 3 to keep this illusion of year 3 miracle alive.
#1: He was in places that didn't care about football at that time--> Install young players, develop them...lose a lot of games, nobody cares and by year 3 you have a veteran qb and an experienced team but are still garbage on offense and still lose 4 games a season including to top 25 teams.
#2: No NIL or transfer portal. His qbs and developed players didn't just leave like they will in 2024.
#3: He didn't need to win now but he decided to go with veterans the last two years, including now--> we are the oldest team in the league I believe...so he will be rebuilding in year 3. Completely different scenario
#4: He will be fired after year 3, Dannen should already be looking for his replacement.