I smell a lot of predictions of 9, nay 10 wins come August from a lot of people who said they won't be fooled again. Hope springs eternal. Hope they are right this time.
Here is the problem with doggin on people for bad predictions. We finished:
4-8......1-5 in 1 score games...
5-7......2-4 in 1 score games...
If you believe in math and statistics you would know that one score games are toss-ups and even out over a large sample. We are 6 games under .500 in two years but also 6 game under in 1 score games. Statistically if we played this set up 1000x we would have finished 7-5 in a majority of simulations. For probability sake we should have finished with 7 wins.
It is equally possible to the actual outcome that we would have been 5-1 and 4-2 in 1 score games...that would have meant 9 wins in at least 1 but maybe both seasons. And you will notice that Bo often was + in close games which allowed him to win 9 often. Frost was 4-0 in 1 score games at UCF in his magical season...he should have finished with 2 losses...so we often make too much about record...you either are #1 are fall into the pit with the rest of the teams.