If you think the Basketball selection shows are extremely long, they have nothing on FIFA World Cup Draws. The ceremony began at 11, it's 11:43, and no draws have been made yet.
Statistically, expect the USMNT to be paired with Brazil or Argentina from Pot 1, Serbia or Poland from Pot 3, and the European playoff winner from Pot 4 (if we don't get Brazil or Argentina from Pot 1-- expect the Asia/South American playoff winner here).
Here are the ~probabilities, from @julienguyon1977, who ran 100,000 simulations.He has similar charts for other World Cup teams on his timeline, go find them pic.twitter.com/NqXabi2oVz— Henry Bushnell (@HenryBushnell) March 31, 2022
Statistically, expect the USMNT to be paired with Brazil or Argentina from Pot 1, Serbia or Poland from Pot 3, and the European playoff winner from Pot 4 (if we don't get Brazil or Argentina from Pot 1-- expect the Asia/South American playoff winner here).
Here are the ~probabilities, from @julienguyon1977, who ran 100,000 simulations.He has similar charts for other World Cup teams on his timeline, go find them pic.twitter.com/NqXabi2oVz— Henry Bushnell (@HenryBushnell) March 31, 2022