Tropical Depeession has formed off FL coast

Hugh's Burner Phone

All-American
Aug 3, 2017
5,495
6,492
113
What’s the chance it gets to a major Hurricane before Wednesday as did Laura ?

Some of the latest model runs are taking it up to a cat 2, but most are keeping it a cat 1. It's coming off the west coast of FL now and storm bands are starting to wrap around the center as it looks to be getting ready of intensify.
 

Cooterpoot

Redshirt
Aug 29, 2012
4,239
2
0
Landfall looks like it's possibly pushed back to Wed from what I'm seeing. And that's not good. Chance of hailing sting rays and sharknadoes.
 

Hugh's Burner Phone

All-American
Aug 3, 2017
5,495
6,492
113
Now officially tropical storm Sally. Expected to be a hurricane. Starting to see some hints storm may, not will...may, undergo rapid intensification as it enters a very favorable environment. Some models are tapping into this and blowing Sally up to a strong cat 2 to cat 3 intensity. Other issue is the expected slowing down of movement. Could mean a prolonged period of heavy rain and wind for coastal areas.
 

mcdawg22

Heisman
Sep 18, 2004
13,703
12,230
113
I think everyone the coast has been expecting a bad storm since mid 2020.
 

RocketDawg

All-Conference
Oct 21, 2011
20,125
2,888
113
I may be misremembering, but wasn't Michael 2 years ago, at this point in the development cycle, predicted to be fairly minor, then turned out to be a Cat 5?
 

SwampDawg

Sophomore
Feb 24, 2008
2,193
122
63
They are predicting a possible 11 ft storm surge. We are at 14 kinda close to the water. Fingers crossed.
 

Russ Wheeler

Redshirt
Aug 3, 2020
2,430
0
0
They are predicting a possible 11 ft storm surge. We are at 14 kinda close to the water. Fingers crossed.
I hate that it looks like it's going to trap a bunch of water at the mouth of the river then sit there and churn while it turns east, which will probably just push the surge up. Come on God, give us a break, geez.
 

dawgoneyall

Junior
Nov 11, 2007
3,431
210
63
Now officially tropical storm Sally. Expected to be a hurricane. Starting to see some hints storm may, not will...may, undergo rapid intensification as it enters a very favorable environment. Some models are tapping into this and blowing Sally up to a strong cat 2 to cat 3 intensity. Other issue is the expected slowing down of movement. Could mean a prolonged period of heavy rain and wind for coastal areas.

Sally does Biloxi.
 

Hugh's Burner Phone

All-American
Aug 3, 2017
5,495
6,492
113
Track has now changed to a landfall Tuesday evening around Bay St Louis. It is possible the track may shift further east as more data comes in. Storm is also slowing down so some areas may see prolific rainfall totals.
 

Xenomorph

Heisman
Feb 15, 2007
16,153
10,733
113
This one is going to catch a lot of folks off guard..

 

Russ Wheeler

Redshirt
Aug 3, 2020
2,430
0
0
Seems like it's slowing, which will probably track it farther east. And literally ALL the activity from it is on the East side.
 

She Mate Me

Heisman
Dec 7, 2008
15,335
14,935
113
I find weather fascinating to observe first hand, but don't get deep at all into the details. That's my excuse for the ignorance of this question.

Are the moderately breezy conditions with occasional gusts I'm experiencing north of Jackson actually outer wind bands from the storm off the coast?
 

mcdawg22

Heisman
Sep 18, 2004
13,703
12,230
113
Yeah, I think low lying areas are going to have a lot to deal with. It seems like it’s intensifying pretty quickly. If there is a solid eye by the 1 o’clock update we may be looking at a strong 2. And as someone else said a little more shift East seems very possible. Maybe Mobile?
 

Hugh's Burner Phone

All-American
Aug 3, 2017
5,495
6,492
113
Sally has now rapidly intensified to a hurricane with winds of 85mph. That's a 20mph increase over the last hour.
 

Xenomorph

Heisman
Feb 15, 2007
16,153
10,733
113
I'd get the hell out if I lived between Biloxi and PCB. 984 mb now.. falling 6.5 mb/hr. That's a crazy trend.
 

rem101

Sophomore
Jan 22, 2008
3,201
186
63
Slowing is an understatement. It's damn near stalled. The latest had this thing coming in at 5 mph.

I can't wait to go maintain the ditch behind my house the city won't keep up with during the middle of it.**
 
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