Bowl Picture

Go Budaw

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Aug 22, 2012
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Taking a break from the Moorhead talk for a second. Barring a crazy USC upset of Clemson and a backdoor by them into the APR bowl picture with a 5-7 record, we now know there will be 9 bowl eligible teams from the SEC. There are 11 tie-ins, with two bowls (Bham, Indy) picking a a tier below the Outback, MCB, Belk, Gator, Texas, Liberty tier. So, it looks like Bham / Indy will both have to go outside the SEC to get teams. For each additional SEC team that makes the CFP, you have one bowl in that “mid-tier” that will also have to go outside the SEC to fill their slots.

SEC will get minimum of one CFP team, possibly up to 3 if things get real crazy (but not likely). Two teams is still a pretty strong possibility.

In any case, there will be some combo of LSU, UGA, Bama, and maybe UF in the CFP, Sugar, and Citrus Bowls.

If only one SEC team makes the CFP, you have one of the 4 teams above dropping to the mid tier, and you have full slots at that tier. Probably would be Florida, and I think you’d be looking at Outback for them. Texas Bowl makes sense for A&M, Auburn probably looks good for the Gator, Tennessee / UK split the Belk and MCB, then we would head to the Liberty.

Honestly I think Cohen will lobby strongly for Memphis. We’ve seen enough of this team to know we aren’t cut out for a major challenge from a decent ACC / Big 10 / Big 12 team, and I think its the one location we could be expected to have a good turnout. If two SEC teams make the CFP, we may have a choice between Memphis and another location, but I still think it will be Memphis.
 

was21

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May 29, 2007
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Might be Kansas State....don't see that attracting much attention as a redo
 

Go Budaw

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Aug 22, 2012
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Might be Kansas State....don't see that attracting much attention as a redo

I don’t see it. Not sure how the Big 12 assigns its teams, but KSU jumps up to the 4th slot in they beat Iowa State at home tomorrow. In a chalk selection process, that would send them to the Texas Bowl. If OU somehow gets into the CFP, they would be the #3 team, and go to the Camping World Bowl, and still be #4 / #5 even with a loss to Iowa State. Also of note, they will NOT send Texas to the Texas Bowl if A&M is the opponent, so that helps KSU get a better slot than they maybe deserve even if they and UT both finish 7-5. They could also drop down to the Cheezit Bowl if they want to avoid a repeat match up.

The Liberty Bowl knows where its bread is buttered, the SEC team is going to bring in 80% of the revenue and ticket sales. I fully expect them to cater to us and make it a good and attractive matchup if we are selected. And based on our turnout from 6 years ago, I expect that they would be fairly happy to have us again.
 
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Duke Humphrey

All-Conference
Oct 3, 2013
2,783
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Liberty Bowl isn’t expecting a SEC team.

Taking a break from the Moorhead talk for a second. Barring a crazy USC upset of Clemson and a backdoor by them into the APR bowl picture with a 5-7 record, we now know there will be 9 bowl eligible teams from the SEC. There are 11 tie-ins, with two bowls (Bham, Indy) picking a a tier below the Outback, MCB, Belk, Gator, Texas, Liberty tier. So, it looks like Bham / Indy will both have to go outside the SEC to get teams. For each additional SEC team that makes the CFP, you have one bowl in that “mid-tier” that will also have to go outside the SEC to fill their slots.

SEC will get minimum of one CFP team, possibly up to 3 if things get real crazy (but not likely). Two teams is still a pretty strong possibility.

In any case, there will be some combo of LSU, UGA, Bama, and maybe UF in the CFP, Sugar, and Citrus Bowls.

If only one SEC team makes the CFP, you have one of the 4 teams above dropping to the mid tier, and you have full slots at that tier. Probably would be Florida, and I think you’d be looking at Outback for them. Texas Bowl makes sense for A&M, Auburn probably looks good for the Gator, Tennessee / UK split the Belk and MCB, then we would head to the Liberty.

Honestly I think Cohen will lobby strongly for Memphis. We’ve seen enough of this team to know we aren’t cut out for a major challenge from a decent ACC / Big 10 / Big 12 team, and I think its the one location we could be expected to have a good turnout. If two SEC teams make the CFP, we may have a choice between Memphis and another location, but I still think it will be Memphis.

Or at least they weren’t a couple of weeks ago. Friend of mine is on their board, and he said he thought we would go to Music City if we got eligible.
 

Go Budaw

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Aug 22, 2012
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Or at least they weren’t a couple of weeks ago. Friend of mine is on their board, and he said he thought we would go to Music City if we got eligible.

The only way they won’t get one is if the SEC gets two in the CFP. Otherwise, they have to take an SEC squad. Weirdly, its probably going to be our choice which one we want between those two under that scenario.
 

bruiser.sixpack

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Aug 13, 2009
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Music City would definitely like UT, but they may have UK fatigue. If UT bumps up one, I could see us in Nashville, and UK in Memphis. I bet the Belk would also love to have UT with Their proximity.

Personally, I would prefer a Nashville to Memphis or Charlotte, but wouldn’t be upset with any of those 3.

Texas Bowl could still be in play if A&M gets a Florida Bowl again.
 

The Peeper

Heisman
Feb 26, 2008
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This thread is a perfect example of why bowl predictions all season long are just really stupid. We've played our last game already and have NO clue where we will be
 

Go Budaw

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Aug 22, 2012
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Not necessarily..... SEC could have one in CFP, and 3 in group of 6 bowl (Bama, UGA, UF). Brett McMurphy (who is best at bowl projection) had us in MCB before last night, and SEC slots at LIberty Bowl and Texas empty

https://watchstadium.com/news/brett...ll-bowl-projections-after-week-13-11-25-2019/

That’s true. Forgot about the other NY6 tie-ins. The universal consensus on campus yesterday was that most people seemed to actually want the Liberty. I’m OK with either one...MCB is actually a lot easier trip for me.
 

bruiser.sixpack

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Aug 13, 2009
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After studying the selection process, there is no rank in the Tier 2 Bowls, so through team, conference and ESPN negotiations, any 2 of those six could go without an SEC team.

Now the smart money would say that the top 4 payouts would get the 4 remaining SEC teams and the lowest 2 would be without an SEC team. If there was ever a reason to step up your payout, seems 6 bowls competing to get 4 teams would be the time to do it.
 

olblue.sixpack

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Aug 14, 2012
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Music City would definitely like UT, but they may have UK fatigue. If UT bumps up one, I could see us in Nashville, and UK in Memphis. I bet the Belk would also love to have UT with Their proximity.

Personally, I would prefer a Nashville to Memphis or Charlotte, but wouldn’t be upset with any of those 3.

Texas Bowl could still be in play if A&M gets a Florida Bowl again.

Belk would be happy with UK or UT.
 

bruiser.sixpack

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Aug 13, 2009
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Here’s a possible arrangement

LSU or UGA in FCS PO

Loser between those 2, Bama, and Florida in the NY6.

Auburn, best record and highest rated SEC team not in PO or NY 6: Capital One Bowl ($8 mil payout)

Texas A&M, Next best record In this group:
Texas Bowl (next highest payout $6.35 mil)

Tennessee, 3rd best Record in this group:
Outback Bowl($5.8 mil payout)

Mississippi State: Music City ($4+ mil payout)

Kentucky: Belk Bowl ($4+ mil payout)

Gator Bowl $3.3 mil payout gets UCF to fill SEC spot

Liberty Bowl $2.5 mil payout gets an AAC or CUSA team to fill SEC spot.

Birmingham and Independence scramble to get somewhat local teams to fill SEC spots.
 
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