Pre-conference tourney seeding predictions

[MSU Fan.sixpack]

The bracketmatrix.com aggregate still has us holding on to a 5-seed spot. It's my hunch that the brackets that have us at a 5-seed are largely basing on computer rankings; I think the NCAA will factor in conference rankings and record in a way computers do not. Our NET ranking is 21, so that is right on the cusp of a 5-seed.

So I think we are in the 6 spot right now, but could move up with a win vs Tenn. Among the bigger outlets, ESPN, CBS, and FOX have us in the 6 slot. SI has us in the 5. What are y'all thinking?

 

[Seinfeld]

Most likely a 6 with a 7 being possible as well. It’s just hard for me to see a 5 when we really don’t have a single marquee win on the resume. Some good ones, no doubt, but no “wow” wins

 

[DoggieDaddy13]

It's baseball season. Hope our improved men's basketball team enjoys the post season and that they play well enough to win a few games. Still think we end up as a 5, but not really sure it matters all that much.

Feels a lot like when the football team got to play Iowa in the whatever bowl.

 

[VegasDawg13]

I think the NCAA will factor in conference rankings and record in a way computers do not. Our NET ranking is 21, so that is right on the cusp of a 5-seed.

Everyone who is either on the inside or has been allowed to sit in on those meetings has insisted, emphatically and without exception, that conference record makes absolutely zero difference when it comes to bubble teams and seeding.

I still think a 5 is unlikely, though, unless we beat Tennessee. Our NET ranking says 6, and I assume others are bumping us up a bit due to our gaudy Q1 record. However, I expect the committee to notice that all of our Q1 wins are towards the lower end of Q1. As Seinfeld said, there's nothing there to wow anyone. Friday will provide an opportunity to change that, though.

 

[patdog]

Conference schedules are so wildly different, even within the same conference, they're not really a good indicator of how good a team really is anyway. It made sense to at least look at conference record between teams in the same conference back in the days when everyone played everyone else twice, but not today.

 

[MSUDC11]

I think 1-1 in Nashville is the most likely result. That probably gets us a 6 seed. 0-1 probably drops us to a 7, beating Tennessee on Friday could bump us up to 5. Win the tournament somehow and we could climb as high as a 4 seed.

 

[MSU Fan.sixpack]

Historically there is no difference between a 5 and 6

Interesting is that historically a 5-seed and 6-seed have an equal opportunity to make it to the Sweet 16. From there, the 6-seed actually has made more Elite 8s, no doubt because they have avoided a 1-seed to get there. So a 6-seed is actually better than a 5 if the hope is to make it to Elite 8.

https://www.betfirm.com/seeds-national-championship-odds/

 

[philduckworth]

we feel like an 8 or 9 seed without Nick, but our NET will get us a 6 seed. Truth is, there aren't that many really good teams this year. I'd say 6-8.

 

[fishwater99]

It's baseball season. Hope our improved men's basketball team enjoys the post season and that they play well enough to win a few games. Still think we end up as a 5, but not really sure it matters all that much.

Feels a lot like when the football team got to play Iowa in the whatever bowl.

It's basketball season...
March Madness!! Hop on the train!!

 

[DoggieDaddy13]

I'm not expecting much... so hopefully I will be pleasantly caught up in the madness.

 

[DAWG61]

Interesting is that historically a 5-seed and 6-seed have an equal opportunity to make it to the Sweet 16. From there, the 6-seed actually has made more Elite 8s, no doubt because they have avoided a 1-seed to get there. So a 6-seed is actually better than a 5 if the hope is to make it to Elite 8.

https://www.betfirm.com/seeds-national-championship-odds/

Hey a 6th seed won a natty before