Guess the spread @ Bama next week

[stateu1]

28

 

[stateu1]

Hell maybe 34

 

[IBleedMaroonDawg]

17

 

[57stratdawg]

21.5

 

[gymdawg.sixpack]

14.5

 

[UpTheMiddlex3Punt]

Bama -21.5

 

[civildawg88]

Not enough

 

[seshomoru]

Bama -24.5 O/U 24.5

 

[stateu1]

Keep in mind they were -14.5 AT LSU. And rolled them.

 

[msstate7]

18

 

[anon1787432961]

23.5

 

[GTAdawg]

27.5

 

[DesotoCountyDawg]

24.5

 

[Joe Schmedlap]

21

 

[karlchilders.sixpack]

....

 

[goindhoo]

-17.5

 

[Shamoan]

17.5

 

[stateu1]

No way it's 17.5. Again they were 14.5 at #3 LSU.

 

[Seinfeld]

Exactly, meaning the spread would have been 20+ pts on a neutral site against the #3 team in the country. It’ll be 24 minimum next week

 

[jackbaddawg]

23

 

[CookieMonster.sixpack]

Gonna be high. -24 or so. I think we can cover. A moral victory.

 

[fishwater99]

18.5

 

[Lettucexxxx]

17

 

[Leeshouldveflanked]

28.5

 

[HamSammich]

13. Right around our average points allowed

 

[klong-dog]

-22

 

[tatedog]

Bama -34.5
Over/under 36

side/total parlays not accepted for this game**

 

[MSUDawgFan86]

Exactly, meaning the spread would have been 20+ pts on a neutral site against the #3 team in the country. It’ll be 24 minimum next week

The difference between Home field and Neutral site is usually only 3 points.

 

[Beretta.sixpack]

doesn't matter....unless its more than 40, i'm going to Philly this week....

bama is going to cover....

 

[shotgunDawg]

LSU was -5 vs us.

That means that Vegas thinks LSU is 2 points better than us on a neutral field.

Bama was -14.5 at LSU, which means that Vegas thought Bama was 17.5 points better than LSU on a neutral field.

17.5 better than LSU
+
2 since LSU is 2 points better than us
+
3 for home field
=
Bama -22.5

 

[Longtime Lurker]

LSU was -5 vs us.

That means that Vegas thinks LSU is 2 points better than us on a neutral field.

Bama was -14.5 at LSU, which means that Vegas thought Bama was 17.5 points better than LSU on a neutral field.

17.5 better than LSU
+
2 since LSU is 2 points better than us
+
3 for home field
=
Bama -22.5

That's incorrect. Vegas doesn't try to place the line based on who they think is better. They base the line off who the betting public thinks is better, so they will have a 50/50 split on bets.

 

[Sienfield]

Bama -24.5 O/U 24.5

Exactly, although we may score a field goal.

 

[shotgunDawg]

That's incorrect. Vegas doesn't try to place the line based on who they think is better. They base the line off who the betting public thinks is better, so they will have a 50/50 split on bets.

Agree. I was just trying to find some logic by which to set a line. We'll see if it's right.

 

[Oak23]

I would say 23

 

[bruiser.sixpack]

No way it's 17.5. Again they were 14.5 at #3 LSU.

But..... we have a better team than LSU***

 

[thatsbaseball]

27.5

 

[was21]

-21

 

[Tall Dawg]

Opens bama around -25 and drops into the -21 to -23 range by Saturday. Our defense will be the best they have faced....yes...even better than LSU.
Hopefully, our offense can eat up some of the clock....

 

[Eleven Bravo]

21.5

 

[TheStateUofMS]

+16