Clay Travis picks for week 4. What do you think?

[mount lefroy]

I think some folks are going to be really pissed at him.

https://www.outkickthecoverage.com/outkick-gambling-picks-for-week-4-2018/

 

[AssEndDawg]

Link: https://www.outkickthecoverage.com/outkick-gambling-picks-for-week-4-2018/

 

[MarkDallas]

Makes sense. UK has a running game. That will shorten the game some. It's on the road.

 

[MSUDC11]

I get where he is coming from, but I think he is wrong. I don’t see them having much success at all in the running game.

 

[Rezdog]

He just Barrett Sallee'd that pick.

 

[dickiedawg]

Not going to get upset when he's predicting us to win on the road by a touchdown.

eta: I think it's at least 2 touchdowns

 

[hatfieldms]

He is usually pretty good with his picks

 

[patdog]

UK's running game translates into a bad matchup for them against our defense. And our offense is explosive. We've probably got more TDs in less than 2 minutes in 3 games this year than we did in the last 3 seasons (that's a bit of an exaggeration, but the offense is completely different this year).

 

[mstatefan91]

I generally like Clay and he does a decent job, but I don't think he's even close to right with MSU/UK. I just don't see UK scoring on us and it only takes a few explosive plays from Kylin, Fitz and Guidry to make this a 14+ game.

 

[Jeffreauxdawg]

This is silly. Everyone wants so badly for the east to have good teams they start grasping... This is Georgia VS South Carolina all over. Talent gap wise it is very similar. Dogs roll, unless 4-5 turnovers are involved. This will be a bigger margin than anyone is predicting.. 25+.

 

[msstate7]

If we treat this game as a passing tune up for upcoming games, maybe. If we come out and run fitz, Kylin, and aeris 65-70% of the time, they may not stop us the whole game. Our oline is gonna maul them run blocking

 

[Bulldogg31]

Kansas State supposedly had a very good, experienced O Line and very good running game behind it. I said at the time any team that is 60-70% Run-vs-Pass is not going to have a very good day against us and that proved to be right. KState’s OLine was completely exhausted after 60 minutes of our 3-deep DL pushing and leaning on them and it showed.

I think our offense, with Moorhead calling plays, is good for 30+ points per game against most every team on our schedule. Excluding turnovers that means a predominantly running team is going to need four or five 70+ yard drives a game (including 200-300 rushing yards) to outscore us.

Considering we’ve given up less than 250 TOTAL rushing yards this season, I just don’t see that happening very often.

 

[Seinfeld]

Between UK, UF, and A&M, I think at least one of these teams will play us a lot harder than we’re expecting, but I don’t believe it will be this weekend.

In order to keep this one close, Kentucky will need to win the TO battle, rush the ball effectively, and hit 3-4 big offensive plays. I mean... it could happen, but it’s very unlikely, and they will have zero margin for error.

 

[MarkDallas]

So I'm assuming that everyone lambasting this take is putting several bills on State this weekend. If you're so sure it's going to be a 2 touchdown game, then why not make a healthy profit?

 

[Southern Law Dawg]

How many gambling experts picked KSU against the spread because Bill Snyder always beats the spread at home?

 

[mstatefan91]

So I'm assuming that everyone lambasting this take is putting several bills on State this weekend. If you're so sure it's going to be a 2 touchdown game, then why not make a healthy profit?

How do you know that some of us haven't? Quite the assumption there

 

[Jeffreauxdawg]

So I'm assuming that everyone lambasting this take is putting several bills on State this weekend. If you're so sure it's going to be a 2 touchdown game, then why not make a healthy profit?

I will bet you 1 month of no posting on SixPack that State wins by 15+. Loser can comeback and eat a turd after the LSU game. So you get Kentucky and 15 points... Deal?

ETA, if it's a push we both take a month off...

 

[DesotoCountyDawg]

I think that’s pretty spot on.

 

[MarkDallas]

I will bet you 1 month of no posting on SixPack that State wins by 15+. Loser can comeback and eat a turd after the LSU game. So you get Kentucky and 15 points... Deal?

ETA, if it's a push we both take a month off...

Well my point is that I'm not confident in how the game will turn out. Could be close, could be a blow out. But sure, that sounds like a fun friendly wager. I'll take it.

Push means we both stay.

 

[campshelbydog842003]

So I'm assuming that everyone lambasting this take is putting several bills on State this weekend. If you're so sure it's going to be a 2 touchdown game, then why not make a healthy profit?

I for one did put down a little bit.

 

[Jeffreauxdawg]

Well my point is that I'm not confident in how the game will turn out. Could be close, could be a blow out. But sure, that sounds like a fun friendly wager. I'll take it.

Push means we both stay.

Deal.... I am getting a gambling rush... Unfortunately you and me are two of my favorite posters on here...

 

[Hugh's Burner Phone]

When he's talking about UK he talks about they dominated the LOS against Florida. When he talks about the FL game he talks about how bad their offense is. Seems to me if you have a bad offense it should be fairly easy to dominate the line. We don't have a bad offense. We have an offense that's borderline nuclear and a defensive line that makes opposing OC's soil themselves at the dinner table.

 

[Cooterpoot]

If he was getting rich gambling, he wouldn't be writing crappy articles for Out Kick.

 

[TrapGame.sixpack]

If Snell goes over 75 yards on the ground I'll be impressed. Our strength on defense is stopping the run, yet Snell is going to run on us. And UK's defense dominated FL's OL b/c they suck not b/c UK has a talented defense.

 

[IBleedMaroonDawg]

UK's running game translates into a bad matchup for them against our defense. And our offense is explosive. We've probably got more TDs in less than 2 minutes in 3 games this year than we did in the last 3 seasons (that's a bit of an exaggeration, but the offense is completely different this year).

I was about to add that he has evidently not really watched our games. The defense stopped a good KSU OL. Our offense has put up a lot of yardage in many different ways with each part of the game progressing steadily.

I thnk Mr. Clay may be surprised when we beat them by 20+.

Of course, what do I know? I'm just the guy who said KSU would wear down and not be able to handle our defense the entire game.

 

[MarkDallas]

Deal.... I am getting a gambling rush... Unfortunately you and me are two of my favorite posters on here...

Holy cow. I didn't know that anybody paid attention to what I said.

 

[Jeffreauxdawg]

Holy cow. I didn't know that anybody paid attention to what I said.

They won't be after Saturday...