615 and resident bracketology guys

[msstate7]

Do we make NIT if we lose to LSU? Our rpi would most likely be mid-70s, right?

 

[Go Budaw]

Do we make NIT if we lose to LSU? Our rpi would most likely be mid-70s, right?

Yes.

 

[MSUDC11]

I would like one more win to feel safe. If we lose to LSU then lose to someone like Vandy or Ole Miss then I would worry a little bit. But yeah I do think 9-9 is good enough. Losing at LSU wouldn’t be a terrible loss.

 

[Hump4Hoops]

If we beat LSU and win 2 in St. Louis

We could break our own record for most wins for a major conference team left out of the NCAA tournament. Are there any teams we could beat in the tourney that could land us back on the bubble?

 

[MSUDC11]

Well yeah, go beat Kentucky and Auburn to get to the championship and it will be REALLY interesting.

 

[615dawg]

I think the NIT is a safe bet for us even if we lose to LSU and the first game of SECT.

NCAA - win over LSU and make the final and we're back on the bubble. But if we get there we might as well win it and make sure.

I just plugged in a win over LSU, then South Carolina, Kentucky, Auburn in St. Louis and our RPI would be 39th. A loss to Tennessee in the final would drop is to 41st.

 

[00Dawg]

Best RPI's in the SEC right now....

are Auburn at 7, UT at 8, and UK at 15.
At this point we almost want to be in the 8/9 game so we can get Auburn in the quarters.
Winning at LSU, beating Bama/Mizzou, and then finding a way to beat Auburn should put us on the right side of the bubble, although you'd want to win the next one as well to make sure.
Given last night's second half performance, I'm not getting my hopes up.

 

[DawgatAuburn]

I think we are well positioned for the NIT but we still need to take care of business. The average NIT at large team in the last five years has had a 69 RPI and a little better than 20 wins. Power five teams have been a little worse than that on the whole, at about 19.5 wins and 73 RPI. Our current profile is right in line with that. We need one more win to feel really good though.

 

[DawgatAuburn]

We are playing with fire if we lose to LSU and (for example) South Carolina. That would send our RPI into the 80s, we would be losers of three straight, and we would still have the weak schedule (not as big of a factor but still a data point). We might still slide in if we lose those two games, but one more win would make us look a lot more in line with what they have traditionally taken.

Just to be safe, we should also hope that regular season conference champions win their conference tournaments. Last year there were 22 at large teams in the NIT, which I think is tied for the most under the current selection model. But in 2016 there were only 17. Average is about 20.