Sanctions Prediction Thread

[UpTheMiddlex3Punt]

Template to fill in yourself.

Bowl Ban additional years:
Scholarships lost (total):
Show causes: Names & terms

Optional:
Official Visits Lost:
Probation Years:
Anything else you think the NCAA comes up with

Low score wins. Using absolute values. Prize is FREE CHAT for life, a SPS magazine subscription, and guest grill master opportunity at the next SPS tailgate.
B = | Additional Bowl Ban - Prediction | * 5
S = | Scholarships Lost - Prediction |
C = Sum(|Show cause term - Prediction| for each coach you correctly predict gets a show cause) + 5 points for each coach you predict gets a show cause but doesn't + 5 points for each coach you fail to predict getting a show cause but does

Score = B + S + C
Bonus deductions:
2 points if you correctly guess the number of probation years, 1 if you're off by one year
2 points if you are within 10 on the official visit total, 1 point if you're within 15
Any other correct prediction get you 1 point of deductions

Final Score = Score - Bonus deductions

 

[Willow Grove Dawg]

Hold On Tight - NCAA Coming in DRY

2 more years bowl ban (3 total)
30 plus scholarships over 4 years
45 official visits lost over 4 years
On campus compliance office (Ole Miss funded staffed by an NCAA employee)
4 year show cause for HF
4 year show cause for Barney
1 show cause each for Maurice Harris & Chris Kiffin (unless we find out Baby Kiff cooperated)
5 years probation
all wins vacated 2009 thru 2014 - SUGAR BOWL GONE!

Bonus - Bjork & Vitter will both be gone within 6 months

 

[UpTheMiddlex3Punt]

Bowl Ban additional years: 1
Scholarships lost (total): 36
Show causes: Freeze for 2 years, Barney for 1 year

Optional:
Official Visits Lost: 60
Probation Years: 5
On campus compliance office funded by Ole Miss

 

[Shamoan]

 

[57stratdawg]

1 more Bowl ban
Roster can transfer
27 Scholarships
7 year SC for Barney
5 year SC for Freeze
A **** load of official visits lost
2013 and 2014 seasons vacated

 

[TheStateUofMS]

Bowl Ban additional years: 1
Scholarships lost (total): 30
Show causes: Freeze-5yrs

Optional:
Probation Years:4
LOIC sticks

 

[Hump4Hoops]

I'll give it a shot

Totally schollys lost: 28
Bowl ban additional: 1 year
Show causes: Kiffin (5 years) Freeze (3 years) Barney (6 years)
Official visits lost: 25
Probation Years: 4
Most upset non-fan: McCready

 

[Xenomorph]

I consulted Mr. Lang... (I did not realize Mr. Lang had already been consulted)

 

[rem101]

Bowl Ban additional years: 1
Scholarships lost (total): 36 over 3
Show causes: Freeze - 4 years, Barney - 4 years, Harris - 1 year, Kiffin - 1 year

Optional: On campus compliance, vacate wins
Official Visits Lost: 45
Probation Years: 4
Anything else you think the NCAA comes up with - hopefully immediate transfer

 

[bulldognation]

PAIN TRAIN COMIN'!

WOO WOO!

 

[patdog]

Including what they've self imposed:
2 year bowl ban
35 scholarships lost over 4 years
don't really care about the show causes, but I bet Luke doesn't get one.

 

[DerHntr]

Bowl Ban: two years total
Scholarships lost (total): 36 over 3
Show causes: Freeze - 5 years, Barney - 7 years, Harris - 1 year, Kiffin - 1 year

Optional: vacate wins of Hugh’s tenure the season after the first big recruiting year
Official Visits Lost: 44 over 4
Probation Years: 5 years

Bjork is fired by next Friday.

 

[BulldogBlitz]

Letter of apology. 5 extra scholarships for 4 years. Auto placement in playoffs for 2.

 

[bsquared24]

View attachment 8943

 

[garndawg]

Ahem...

 

[OneParticularHarbor]

Ole Miss fans:

View attachment 8947

 

[Maroon Eagle]

Bowl Ban additional years: 2
Scholarships lost (total): 30
Show causes: Freeze 5, Barney 3

Optional:
Official Visits Lost: 20 percent
Probation Years: 5
Anything else you think the NCAA comes up with
Vacated seasons, non-penalized transfers for 2016 signees,

Bonus - Bjork is transferred to a nonspecific assistant to the chancellor position and quietly leaves within a year

 

[johnson86-1]

1 more Bowl ban
Roster can transfer
27 Scholarships
7 year SC for Barney
5 year SC for Freeze
A **** load of official visits lost
2013 and 2014 seasons vacated

This is what is missing from the prediction. I really don't think they're going to tack on an extra two years of bowl ban. But if they wanted to do a two year bowl game, I think they'll loosen up transfer restrictions even for people that would still have eligibility after the bowl ban ends b/c they don't want Ole Miss to benefit from misleading recruits and delaying the penalty process.

 

[00Dawg]

Hmmm....

Going with:

Bowl Ban additional years: 1
Scholarships lost (total): 33 initial counters
Show causes:
Barney - 6 years
Vaughn - 4 years
Bucky - 2 years
Harris - 2 years

Public reprimand/censure of university
Official Visits Lost: 40% of an average year's total (20% already served)
Unofficial visit ban: 20 weeks (12 already served)
Communications: 14-week ban on all communication with prospects
Off-campus recruiting restrictions: 55 day reduction in off-campus recruiting (38 already served)
Probation Years: 6

Vacation of:
All wins from 2010 - 2013
4 wins from 2014, including the Egg Bowl
All wins from 2015 except Bama and Vandy

 

[blacklistedbully]

21 violations...15 level 1. If they followed the matrix, the scholarships lost should be significantly more than anyone has predicted so far.

Are ya'll being pessimistic because you're used to UNM getting away with ****, and are reluctant to hope, or do y'all really think it's what they get based on the violations and penalty matrix?

 

[DerHntr]

21 violations...15 level 1. If they followed the matrix, the scholarships lost should be significantly more than anyone has predicted so far.

Are ya'll being pessimistic because you're used to UNM getting away with ****, and are reluctant to hope, or do y'all really think it's what they get based on the violations and penalty matrix?

I don’t think they follow the matrix very closely because the penalties would be worse than the death penalty. They probably group some of the violations together and give one penalty for the group instead of penalties associated with each level one individually.

 

[drail14me]

Less than Bulldogs want and more than Sharks want. I think we'll be disappointed.

 

[BiscuitEater]

Bowl Ban additional years: 2
Scholarships lost (total): 32 over 4 years
Show causes: Names & terms: Bucky 4 years; Barney 3 years; Maurice Harris 2 years; Chris Kiffin 1 year

Optional:
Official Visits Lost: 40 over 4
Probation Years: 4 years
Bonus points .. + LOIC; +Wins vacated 2013 - 2016; +NCAA allows ALL current players option to transfer w/out sitting out

 

[BulldogBlitz]

Anything short of death penalty will be disappointing.

 

[13thEagle]

They will remain total douche bags sanctions or no sanctions

 

[blacklistedbully]

Even then, there is enough in the matrix (aggravated category) to take away 50% of scholarships, give up to a 4-year bowl ban, etc, for just 1 level 1 violation, if aggravated.

It is hard to imagine them reducing 15 levels one's down to just a few and not have them at least be considered "aggravated", particularly since they are charged with LOIC.
https://www.ncaa.org/sites/default/files/Att2_Penalty+Guideline+Matrix+(Version+6)_101212.pdf

 

[IBleedMaroonDawg]

Bowl Ban additional years: 2
Scholarships lost (total): 40 over 4 years
Show causes: Names & terms: Bucky 4 years; Barney 3 years; Maurice Harris 2 years; Chris Kiffin 1 year

Optional:
Official Visits Lost: 36 over 4
Probation Years: 6 years
Bonus points .. Wins vacated 2013 - 2017
+NCAA allows ALL current players option to transfer w/out sitting out

ETA: The NCAA is forced to be tough on this one due to the high visibility of infractions such as Tunsil's Draft Day Fiasco. They may be even worse than any of us predict.

I also predict once the NCAA has handed this down you will start to hear rumblings about the number on Freeze's phone and the possibility of escorts for recruits being investigated. I think once the infractions are handed down athletes involved in this will hit the door running and be more inclined to talk about exactly what happened in their recruiting and Leo will be an afterthought compared to what else will come out. It may not happen but that little tidbit of easy ladies coming out is just too juicy to not be followed up by someone.

 

[guy from tweeter]

Template to fill in yourself.

Bowl Ban additional years:
Scholarships lost (total):
Show causes: Names & terms

Optional:
Official Visits Lost:
Probation Years:
Anything else you think the NCAA comes up with

Low score wins. Using absolute values. Prize is FREE CHAT for life, a SPS magazine subscription, and guest grill master opportunity at the next SPS tailgate.
B = | Additional Bowl Ban - Prediction | * 5
S = | Scholarships Lost - Prediction |
C = Sum(|Show cause term - Prediction| for each coach you correctly predict gets a show cause) + 5 points for each coach you predict gets a show cause but doesn't + 5 points for each coach you fail to predict getting a show cause but does

Score = B + S + C
Bonus deductions:
2 points if you correctly guess the number of probation years, 1 if you're off by one year
2 points if you are within 10 on the official visit total, 1 point if you're within 15
Any other correct prediction get you 1 point of deductions

Final Score = Score - Bonus deductions

0 year additional ban
SC - Barney
9 additional scholarships

 

[HammerOfTheDogs]

DEATH PENALTY, BITCHES!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

2 year death penalty, 2 more years playing club football, 2 more years in Divison III (where they build up a nasty rivalry with Millsaps), 2 more in Division II (where they compete with Delta State for "The Northwest Mississippi Delta Championship", then 2 more years Death Penalty just for ***** and giggles.

Show causes for everyone on the OM staff the past 10 years. Come to think of it, Show Cause for every coach to even breathe free air, after being convicted of transporting hookers over State lines.

Because of illegal players, every game since 2012 is forfeited. That means Dane Mulan never lost to them.

Replace om with Central Florida, put them in the East, and move Missouri to the West. Then, you'll have UCF poaching players from Floriduh along with Miami and Florida State. Dan will continue to get 1-* and 2-* talent. After he's fired, Melons can spend the rest of his life caddying for his son.

Template to fill in yourself.

Bowl Ban additional years:
Scholarships lost (total):
Show causes: Names & terms

Optional:
Official Visits Lost:
Probation Years:
Anything else you think the NCAA comes up with

Low score wins. Using absolute values. Prize is FREE CHAT for life, a SPS magazine subscription, and guest grill master opportunity at the next SPS tailgate.
B = | Additional Bowl Ban - Prediction | * 5
S = | Scholarships Lost - Prediction |
C = Sum(|Show cause term - Prediction| for each coach you correctly predict gets a show cause) + 5 points for each coach you predict gets a show cause but doesn't + 5 points for each coach you fail to predict getting a show cause but does

Score = B + S + C
Bonus deductions:
2 points if you correctly guess the number of probation years, 1 if you're off by one year
2 points if you are within 10 on the official visit total, 1 point if you're within 15
Any other correct prediction get you 1 point of deductions

Final Score = Score - Bonus deductions

 

[dickiedawg]

1 additional year bowl ban
35 total scholarships (their funny math leads to them having lost 7 scholarships already in 2015, 2016 and 2017, only 4 of which you could remotely count, so I added 28) over 7 years (again, 3 already behind us). So essentially they lose 7 initials for 2018, 19, 20 and 21.