Why were we only +14 against aTm when the line came out and now it is moving our way? The public is obviously all over aTm and it is still moving down to +13. Some sharps must believe we are going to keep it close or something.
I Need Help Understanding Something
- Thread starter PonderThis1
- Start date
Vegas believes that the smoke created from Dale's seasoning used at numerous tailgates before game time will obviously cause TAMU backs and receivers to become asthmatic.
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Even with that nugget... I'm taking the Aggies to fund my Christmas gifts this year.
Even with that nugget... I'm taking the Aggies to fund my Christmas gifts this year.
It opened at 10.5 and moved to 14 now it's down to 13. There's an old trend about not betting on double digit road favorites in conference play in November.
Also, they only beat South Carolina by 11. Tenn by 7. And we have kept every game but AU within 14 points. Only lost by 3 at LSU. So the computers are confused.
Personally, I think A&M is a matchup nightmare for us with their Receivers against our DB's and their DE's against our Tackles.
Also, they only beat South Carolina by 11. Tenn by 7. And we have kept every game but AU within 14 points. Only lost by 3 at LSU. So the computers are confused.
Personally, I think A&M is a matchup nightmare for us with their Receivers against our DB's and their DE's against our Tackles.
Thank you for talking me out of throwing the mortgage on us. Usually, when the public is all over one team and the spread moves the other way, that is indicative of a "gotcha" bet.
I hope I am wrong, but because of Rec/Def back match ups and the fact we frequently don't get enough DL pressure I expect it to be at least 28 pt difference.
I agree. I'm just stating why the line is so low. There's not a better group of receivers than Noil, Reynolds, Kirk, and Seals-Jones. And the computers and others around the country don't know our team as well as we do. Of course you never know what's going to happen with 18-22 year olds, but I expect us to lose by 20+.
If I were still a betting man and I could bring myself to betting against the Dogs on this one, I would have Christmas and a bottle of Pappy paid for by Saturday afternoon.
We may get blown out but trust me those in Vegas know our team(and our opponents and their opponents etc) better than we do. Actual people set Vegas lines-granted they want action on both sides-not computers.
Did any one else here think Auburn -10 vs Arky was too high in Auburn's favor? Look how that turned out. There have been some definite head scratchers in the SEC this year and most have gone in the opposite direction than one would think.
Did any one else here think Auburn -10 vs Arky was too high in Auburn's favor? Look how that turned out. There have been some definite head scratchers in the SEC this year and most have gone in the opposite direction than one would think.
Dead on... add in their DEs and you may see Damian having to finish the game because Fitz is in a body cast.
That is what I was thinking. I made a lot of $ on Auburn that day because the public was all over Arkansas and the line moved the wrong way. That is usually a sign.
They covered. There is usually a play we can point to helped a team cover or not. Thats the name of the game.
I mentioned in another thread that a bunch of money will be lost on this game. We have zero business keeping this within two td's, but we could easily be blown out. I got folks laying the farm down on A&M and they lose all the time. However, they could end up looking real smart in the end...I don't know. I do know the odds are against them. My only advice on this game is stay away.
I mentioned in another thread that a bunch of money will be lost on this game. We have zero business keeping this within two td's, but we could easily be blown out. I got folks laying the farm down on A&M and they lose all the time. However, they could end up looking real smart in the end...I don't know. I do know the odds are against them. My only advice on this game is stay away.
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I've been burned by a game like this several times, and it's about to happen again. Don't care where the smart mony is, mine is going on A&M at any spread 14 and below.
You know, it would be the most Mullen thing ever to go 3-1 in November, squeak into a bowl game, then listen to fans for 8 months say "if he had gotten his **** together earlier we'd have won the SEC!"
Not likely but I would laugh.
Not likely but I would laugh.
Yep. I had a crappy feeling about my bet all morning. And I can't tell you how happy I am to lose the bet now.
Proof that Vegas has some smart dudes setting those lines. From opening kick to end your bet was safe if you took state.
Won $100. Went with the sharps. That line was weird n moved in the wrong direction. That's always a sign to throw money on the team that the line is moving away from (state).
The line was +14 on Monday and +10 on Saturday.
Wouldn't that indicate that more money was being placed on state?
I took aTm on the money line. Didn't think we would win. Lost a fair amount. Worth every cent but I'm done for the year.
Wouldn't that indicate that more money was being placed on state?
I took aTm on the money line. Didn't think we would win. Lost a fair amount. Worth every cent but I'm done for the year.
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