Hypothetical SHS Football Question

[FreeDawg]

Starkville is currently 5-3 and end the season with Warren Central and Clinton. Looks like 6-5 and missing the playoffs from here. IF they miss the playoffs combined with the recruiting nonsense that staff has engaged in the last cpl years, will they run that whole staff like they should?

 

[patdog]

Region 2-6A is brutal. #1, #4, #5, #6, and #10 ranked teams in the state per MaxPreps all in 2-6A. The days when it was a cakewalk for Madison Central are gone.

 

[615dawg]

Yeah. A top 10 team in the state will not make the playoffs. Its crazy brutal. And Germantown will be joining that region next year replacing Callaway.

Starkville is most likely going to have to beat Warren Central to get to the playoffs. If they do that, they will travel to Tupelo first round. If they lose to Warren Central, its going to take some major upsets down the road.

Right now it looks like :

Region 2
1. Clinton
2. Madison Central-NW Rankin winner
3. Madison Central or Warren Central or NW Rankin(MC if lose to NWR, WC if beat Starkville AND MC beat NWR, NWR if lose to MC and WC lose to Starkville)
4. NW Rankin, Warren Central or Starkville (NWR if lose to MC, WC if beat Starkville and NWR beat MC, Starkville if beat WC)

Region 1
1. Tupelo
2. South Panola
3. Horn Lake- Hernando winner
4. Horn Lake, Hernando or Columbus (Horn Lake if lose to Hernando, Hernando if lose to HL and beat Columbus, Columbus if Horn Lake beat Hernando and Columbus beat Hernando)

It would not surprise me if all four Region 2 teams won their first round games and completely eliminated Region 1 in the opening round.

 

[dickiedawg]

No one is running off a coaching staff after two years when one was the State Championship.

 

[patdog]

And Germantown will be joining that region next year replacing Callaway.

Is that a done deal or just speculation. I figure if Germantown doesn't move up this cycle, they probably will in 2 more years. Question of when, not if.

 

[615dawg]

The smallest 6A school last classification was 1175. I was told Germantown was over 1300.

There are portables at the high school and middle school and they just finished a new elementary school. Plus, three neighborhoods of 300+ houses being developed in the zone. If it doesnt happen this cycle, it will next.

 

[J-Dawg]

Region 2-6A is brutal. #1, #4, #5, #6, and #10 ranked teams in the state per MaxPreps all in 2-6A. The days when it was a cakewalk for Madison Central are gone.

Was a cakewalk for WC when I was there.

Now looking like cakewalk for Clinton.

 

[patdog]

Damn. They were only 900 or so two years ago. But you're right, that is where a lot of growth is occurring.

 

[J-Dawg]

The Mighty Vikes take down Cam and the Arrows Friday. Book it!

 

[RocketDawg]

Is that a done deal or just speculation. I figure if Germantown doesn't move up this cycle, they probably will in 2 more years. Question of when, not if.

Isn't Germantown in Tennessee? Or is there one in Mississippi too?

 

[Maroon Eagle]

Germantown is a fairly new high school in the Gluckstadt community of Madison County that started up in 2011.

 

[J-Dawg]

The Mighty Vikes take down Cam and the Arrows Friday. Book it!

Bump.

 

[InTheIttaBenaHotSun]

11 brothers are hard to beat!

 

[wpmusm]

My guess on realignment: Germantown, Oxford, and some other school (maybe West Harrison) make the jump to 6A. Callaway, Columbus, and OB all drop.

 

[OleMissLogo]

Damn. They were only 900 or so two years ago. But you're right, that is where a lot of growth is occurring.

Opened at 600, at 1100 last year. Now it opened low because 11th & 12 graders in the new zone were allowed to choose either MC or GHS. So there were only 57 in the opening grad class, and 234 last year, and that's not indicative of the true growth.

So, as far as true growth, the original 9th grade was at 182 and last year's was 286. Looks like it will settle in around 300 per grade for the near future and then jump up since there's about 400-450 per grade in the feeder elementaries. A lot of the new developments in the district are starter homes with young families, so it's hard to predict exactly what the district split will look like in 10-15 years.

http://reports.mde.k12.ms.us/data/