Just a heads up...

[constructiondog]

Doesn't have a name yet but expected to become a hurricane as soon as it hits the Gulf of Mexico.

 

[Chesusdog]

Joy of joys. I'd say we're overdue one of these in BR but we just got wrecked by an unnamed SOB.

 

[Uncle Ruckus]

Lots of projections have it going up the east coast so it's not panic mode down here yet. I do live on the coast though and I have a sick feeling in my stomach thinking about it.

 

[Chesusdog]

We're overdue to get wrecked. Haven't had a nasty one since Gustav. I guess we'll have a good idea by this weekend as to where this one is heading.

 

[EngDawg]

Dr. Jeff Masters take.

https://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/99l-poised-to-become-tropical-storm-hermine

 

[Digging dog]

Hope it fizzles out and esp avoids Lousianna by all means. They don't need anymore water.

 

[tatedog]

I'm already well prepared since NOAA has been predicting the worst hurricane season evah annually since Katrina.

 

[dawgatUSM]

I'm not a meteorologist but that crap has to be just to get their name in the news. They're wrong every year but eventually they'll be right and say "see. Told you"

 

[mcdawg22]

I'm already well prepared since NOAA has been predicting the worst hurricane season evah annually since Katrina.

Where did you see that. They predicted a near normal season. http://www.noaa.gov/media-release/near-normal-atlantic-hurricane-season-is-most-likely-year

 

[tatedog]

I did say NOAA and you corrected me as to their official prediction, but others have certainly been less conservative. I'm not sure why The Weather Channel needs a forecast independent of the NOAA one... just so they have all the bases covered so that somebody nails it I guess.

https://weather.com/storms/hurrican...-season-forecast-atlantic-the-weather-channel

 

[DerHntr]

I did say NOAA and you corrected me as to their official prediction, but others have certainly been less conservative. I'm not sure why The Weather Channel needs a forecast independent of the NOAA one... just so they have all the bases covered so that somebody nails it I guess.

https://weather.com/storms/hurrican...-season-forecast-atlantic-the-weather-channel

You don't know why? Ratings

 

[tatedog]

It's also odd that global warming is purported by some to be the cause of increased hurricane activity (over the past 100 or so years out of a possible few billion or so it could not be monitored), but lack of hurricane activity is always due to some other factor. I'm mostly looking at Al Gore and the Kennedys on this one.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/robert-f-kennedy-jr/for-they-that-sow-the-win_b_6396.html

The last paragraph/correction in that piece is priceless. And I'm no fan of Haley Barbour either.

 

[xxxWalkTheDawg]

Dr. Jeff Masters take.

https://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/99l-poised-to-become-tropical-storm-hermine

Which one of those models are historically more accurate? The GFS or the UKMET? Looks like the UKMET one is showing a lack anything steering it back east that the GFS one shows. That wouldn't bode well for the coast.

 

[mcdawg22]

This is my go to sight every July. http://spaghettimodels.com

 

[MaroonOldCrow]

Anytime there's a hurricane within 300 miles of landfall, the Hurricane Watch Net fires up (www.hwn.org) and you can listen to the ham radio operators passing information. Often, you'll hear some intrepid soul sending out reports while the hurricane is on top of them, and usually it's the first place to hear on the ground reports following one; Hugo springs to mind, when absolutely the only comms to and from Puerto Rico for the first few days was the ham operators. If you don't have a single side band capable shortwave radio, they usually have a live stream running when the net is active.


If you're on campus, you could also check with the MSU Amateur Radio Club (callsign W5YD).

 

[rem101]

It's like my boss said today - if we're in the bullseye now, that bodes well for us, because it's sure to change in a few days.

There's a guy named Rocco Calaci out of Pensacola that sends a daily weather update email that's pretty damn good. I'll see what it says tomorrow and the next few days.

 

[esplanade91]

Great thing we've got Steve Palazzo!!!!

 

[DesotoCountyDawg]

The Euro for the past few years is the gold standard and more trusted model on hurricane forecasting but it's been all over the place with this system too.

 

[DesotoCountyDawg]

Sometimes scientists and experts make valid points on global warming (now climate change) but then they start trying to justify every weather event as a result of climate change. It's weather, people, there's always going to be a drought or flood or some other terrible thing happening somewhere in the world with the weather.

A great example is the hurricane count over the past decade. 2005 was a horrible hurricane season with the most named storms ever. They even ran out of names and used Greek alphabet for naming storms. They started yelling that this would be the norm from now on with climate change. After that, the hurricane seasons started waning with less storms so then you had the same people claiming that less hurricanes was a result of climate change. So which is it?

 

[Dawg1976]

Jim Cantore is getting a boner.............

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iAViQCejISw