I know Im getting ahead here, but

[MSUDAWGFAN]

What are the chances of us getting a national seed? What would we have to do?

 

[msstate7]

We have to win... A lot

 

[notoriousD_O_G]

If we can get through Florida and A&M 3-3 you have to like our chances.

 

[MSUDAWGFAN]

I know that. But being specific, would winning the series against A&M and Florida do it as long as we don't screw it up against the rest of the schedule?

 

[57stratdawg]

Our schedule actually might do us a favor here. TAM's schedule is a little tougher than ours down the stretch.

If we win the SECW, it's going to be tough to ignore.

 

[thekimmer]

Well we didn't domourselves any favors in non conference.

What are the chances of us getting a national seed? What would we have to do?

Based on prior years we would be safe at about 12 losses. Gets much tougher s that number goes up. Thus we do not do ourselves any favors in non con. Right now I'd say 30% chance of getting a nat seed. We have what stands to be the two toughest series coming up. If we can go 4-2 in those games I estimate 60% chance. 3-3 45%. 2-4 20%.

 

[WayboDawg]

The trend I've noticed the past 5 seasons or so is a 33 to 35 win regular season in the SEC gets you a regional spot, 40 wins usually means regional host, and 44 wins gets you a national seed. It varies based on RPI and how the rest of the field is doing of course, but I think what I said is pretty accurate. Right now we are on pace for 40 wins, so we would need to probably make it to or even win the SEC tourny finals in order to stand a chance to be a national seed. Its certainly possible.

 

[tatedog]

I have the feeling that our placement in the final conference standings will go a long way towards negating any early season non-conference deficiencies our resume has. We draw 2 of the 3 top contenders from the East (possibly the top 2--time will tell), both on the road, to go with the 6 weekend West meat grinder. Any team that finishes below us in the SEC standings should have no claim to hosting or a national seed over us.

 

[MSUDC11]

Go 5-4 or better in the 9 game stretch against Florida, A&M, and LSU. Then go 8-4 or better in our last 4 series.

That puts us somewhere in the 19 to 21 conference win range. If we don't lose another nonconference game (save maybe the Governor's cup), I think that would put us in great position to be a national seed.

 

[Raiderdawg.sixpack]

If history indicates anything, then

we have to win at least 21 more games in the regular season/SEC tourney to have a chance at a national seed.

Over the past 5 years, national seeds win on avg. 44.7 +/- 3.2 games. (Average record is ~45-13). No national seed has won less than 40 games (2 out of 40 have had 40 wins, both SEC schools; USC in 2012 & Florida in 2014). Only 1 national see lost 20+ games (Florida in 2014).

To be a regional host, we need 17 more wins. A regional host typically has 40.65 +/- 3 wins (average record is ~41 - 17). There have been a few outliers, both UCLA and Cal St. - Fullerton, host with 33 wins. I think that has to do with getting more west coast regional hosts than earning it.

If we get 38+ wins, I think we have a good chance at hosting. We really get in the national seed picture at 42 wins.