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UK +800 to make Final Four meaning

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Jperry1987

Senior
Sep 23, 2019
397
420
63
bbncal02 said:
That doesn’t seem like it makes us a favorite right? That’s a decent sized return on a small bet.
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We are not, Gonzaga is.
Considering the field isnt set just yet and there will be 68 other teams I would say thats why the return is decent. The odds of any one team winning are always at a very low % considering the crap shoot a one and done tournament is. Lots of factors.....injuries, match-ups, upsets and so on.....
 
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point1zero

All-Conference
Apr 9, 2009
1,177
1,479
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I could understand it better in percentage terms such as “+800 means we have a 10% chance” of MAKING (not winning) the Final Four. Or as stated in fraction terms like “we have a 1 in 5 chance” of making the Final Four.

Asking because I’m going to be out of the dang country during the F4. Can’t freakin believe I have this conflict! Maybe there’s a Wildcat bar in London, lol! But games would be on in the middle of the night, lol. So probably watching in the hotel if we make it that far.
 
G

GonzoCat90

Heisman
Mar 30, 2009
32,377
34,559
0
I believe that’s the equivalent of about 11% probability. Against an entire field of 68 that isn’t even set yet, those are pretty good odds.
 
CELTICAT

CELTICAT

Heisman
May 21, 2002
19,342
19,125
113
point1zero said:
I could understand it better in percentage terms such as “+800 means we have a 10% chance” of MAKING (not winning) the Final Four. Or as stated in fraction terms like “we have a 1 in 5 chance” of making the Final Four.

Asking because I’m going to be out of the dang country during the F4. Can’t freakin believe I have this conflict! Maybe there’s a Wildcat bar in London, lol! But games would be on in the middle of the night, lol. So probably watching in the hotel if we make it that far.
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I watched UK play Travis Ford’s EKU team in the first round back in 2005 from a bar in Covent Garden, so it’s possible.
 
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Rupp'sRunt

Heisman
Apr 19, 2008
14,675
20,094
0
UK is +800 to win the NCAAT. To make the Final four is closer to +225. We are the second biggest favorite to cut down the nets along with Auburn.


Gonzaga+400
Kentucky+800
Auburn+800
Arizona+900
Purdue+1200
Duke+1400
Kansas+1600
Baylor+1600
UCLA+2500
Villanova+2500
Houston+2800
Illinois+3300
Texas+3300
Texas Tech+3300
Tennessee+3300
Rutgers+5000
Alabama+5500
This is the list to save you a click.
 
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T

tls

Heisman
Nov 7, 2007
7,877
14,477
81
Champ will be from the top 7 on that list and I think Auburn is the least likely of those.

You could $100 on each of those and make a return unless Zags win. But as a Rafters reader you know that can’t happen.

If I was a gambler I’d put 100 on Zags, UK, Zona. and Duke. Maybe another 100 on KU.
 
R

RSUK5022

Senior
Dec 31, 2021
602
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Yeah, if you got +800 to make Final Four, too good to be true odds wise. On FanDuel it was like +190 the other day. Guess they think Final Fours grow on trees.
 
Son_Of_Saul

Son_Of_Saul

Hall of Famer
Dec 7, 2007
45,705
100,988
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RSUK5022 said:
Yeah, if you got +800 to make Final Four, too good to be true odds wise. On FanDuel it was like +190 the other day. Guess they think Final Fours grow on trees.
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They only have Kentucky at +160 now to make the Final Four.

Gonzaga at -110.

Iowa at +2,000.


I wish I had Marty McFly's Sports Almanac from the future, but have it through the year 2022 (his only went from 1950-2000).
 
L

LowCountryCat

Heisman
Apr 17, 2010
117,188
22,769
0
point1zero said:
I could understand it better in percentage terms such as “+800 means we have a 10% chance” of MAKING (not winning) the Final Four. Or as stated in fraction terms like “we have a 1 in 5 chance” of making the Final Four.

Asking because I’m going to be out of the dang country during the F4. Can’t freakin believe I have this conflict! Maybe there’s a Wildcat bar in London, lol! But games would be on in the middle of the night, lol. So probably watching in the hotel if we make it that far.
Click to expand...
1 in 5 is 20%.

But neither of those figures is correct. +800 means 8 to 1, which is 12.5%.
 
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HerrosHeroes

Heisman
Aug 16, 2018
27,234
38,040
0
Jperry1987 said:
We are not, Gonzaga is.
Considering the field isnt set just yet and there will be 68 other teams I would say thats why the return is decent. The odds of any one team winning are always at a very low % considering the crap shoot a one and done tournament is. Lots of factors.....injuries, match-ups, upsets and so on.....
Click to expand...
Cheatin Rooferees are also a factor.
 
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JonathanW_rivals

Heisman
Jan 3, 2003
145,534
15,709
0
bbncal02 said:
That doesn’t seem like it makes us a favorite right? That’s a decent sized return on a small bet.
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There are 68 teams, ok maybe only 30 or so with any chance to win it, and probably more like a dozen with a legit chance to win it. That is probably one of the 4 or 5 smallest returns on 100 bet.
 
bbnkat02

bbnkat02

Heisman
Nov 14, 2017
47,700
71,064
113
JonathanW said:
There are 68 teams, ok maybe only 30 or so with any chance to win it, and probably more like a dozen with a legit chance to win it. That is probably one of the 4 or 5 smallest returns on 100 bet.
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Still a decent return. If UK makes it you get an 700% increase on your investment? Pretty good for a reasonable investment. Heck if I invest $400 and Zags, UK, Zona, and AU make the final four? $2900 bucks. Not bad at all.
 
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