Turns out, unless you're emergency/medical personnel, they don't want people heading west to help. Guess it would just slow down the workers that know what they're doing.
Texas Tech on the road in 2019-20? That was a fun one.When was the last meaningful game UK basketball won? It feels like years ago.
While looking like a tub of buttered popcorn -- fat, cheap, and greasy.He is about to become Blockbuster.
I would normally take those odds too but it would have helped had the ball actually hit the rim. A very difficult attempt (against two defenders). But guess it’s the best we can do anymore.* No problems at all with the last shot by Washington. He's our only perimeter playmaker and I like the odds of Oscar getting a miss at the basket.
WTF is all that, TLDR. Maybe some cliff notes, huh bub?A few stats and some math this Sunday morning, even though I know the "take more 3s" argument is well-trod territory:
- 29.1% of our shots come from three, making us 333rd out of 358 teams in the country in 3 point rate. Our 3 point shooting % has dropped down to 30.2, which is below average (269/358). We make 3s at a lower rate than all but 99 teams.
- 38.2% of our shots come from midrange, 16/358 in the country. In other words, only 15 teams take more shots from the midrange than we do. We have hit 41.6% of them, though, which is above-average (74/358). We make midrange 2s at a higher rate than all but 73 teams.
- The median three-point rate out of all 358 teams is 38%. Meaning half of teams take as many (or more) threes as we take midrange twos.
- The median midrange two rate is 26.2%.
- Even with our above-average midrange shooting and below-average three point percentage, we would score more points if we took 1,000 threes vs 1,000 midrange twos (906 vs 832).
- We take about 65 shots a game; at our current rates, that's about 6/19 from three and 10/25 on midrange twos. Reversing that is about 2 ppg better, or about 3 points per 100 possessions.
- If we were to reverse the relative percentage of threes vs midrange twos that we take, which would not be outlandish at all seeing as that would put us at about an average three-point rate and a still higher-than-average midrange rate, and were to continue shooting at the same percentages, this would take us from 20th AdjO (per KenPom) in the country to about 8th.
- lot of assumptions in the above, perhaps the biggest being that we would shoot the same percentage with reversed volumes. Obviously you can't just jack 3s without running at least a semblance of offense. I tend to think we would shoot better from each zone if we played this way, but would hear arguments otherwise.
- I also would wager that we end up with a higher 3P% and lower midrange% than we are at now by the end of the season.
That is great analysis that I enjoyed reading.WTF is all that, TLDR. Maybe some cliff notes, huh bub?
Someone quickly tag VernThat is great analysis that I enjoyed reading.
This is pretty much it in a nutshell. But I have zero confidence that Cal’s pride/ego will let this happen. I think his desire to innovate as a basketball coach is completely gone. Never thought it would happen to him, tbh, but here we are.We just have a ****** offense. You can write 35 paragraphs about why but our offense sucks. Either it gets revamped or the Cal era ends in very disappointing fashion.
We oversell on clogging the lane, which leads to rushing out to cover the three, which leads to blowing by the ball handler when they put it on the floor and drive.I'm no basketball, but stagnant offense aside, it seems like our real problem is on the other side of the ball. And has been for years. I'm mystified when I watch even mediocre teams get to the basket at fvcking will on us. With the athletes he brings in I don't understand how our defense is consistently this poor. I wish one of you that knows more about the game than I do could explain this to me (not being sarcastic)
This is pretty much it in a nutshell. But I have zero confidence that Cal’s pride/ego will let this happen. I think his desire to innovate as a basketball coach is completely gone. Never thought it would happen to him, tbh, but here we are.
He’s clearly not a great offensive coach and never has been, imo. I’m sure some will disagree. Even the dribble drive basically amounted to “get by your guy.” What I mean is that his ego won’t allow him to acknowledge that something fundamental has to change. In his defense, I would say that changing what you believe in is hard for most successful coaches. I mean, Nick Saban throwing in the towel and acknowledging that he had to start winning shootouts had to absolutely gut him as a defensive guy. But he did it.I dont agree at all. Pride/ego is us searching for some sort of deep soul searching meaning behind basketball. What if the actual answer is he’s just not a great offensive coach? I mean what if he’s just not that good at coaching it. And I have no idea if it’s fixable. It’s not as easy as in football where you just hire an offensive coordinator to change things. It requires a completely different approach, is that even possible? I don’t know honestly.
Long two-point shots are a sign of laziness and complacency. It is the easiest shot to settle for because it requires little effort.I guess you could say he thinks he poops ice cream.
What I am saying is that it absolutely was not an easy fix for Saban - he had to completely change his fundamental approach to football. An approach that won him multiple national titles. It wasn’t just a question of hiring a new guy - he basically gave up on what got him where he is. That’s incredibly radical imo. And something 99% of coaches seem incapable of doing.But what I’m saying is Saban had an easy fix - hire an offensive coordinator and tell him to run a different offense. Is that even possible in basketball? You only have 5 guys and they play both positions. Is it realistic to expect him to “revamp” the offense. Would that literally require him to become an entirely different person? That’s what I’m questioning, is it even realistic to expect of Cal. Are there examples of basketball coaches completely changing styles after coaching for 30 years? Hell Pitino still runs a damn press.
Saban’s mindset never changed though. He thought - and knew - what he needed to do to win championships. And as he saw that changing he adjusted accordingly. But the key part of it is that he was always assessing whether they were doing the right thing. Cal clearly doesn’t do that.What I am saying is that it absolutely was not an easy fix for Saban - he had to completely change his fundamental approach to football. An approach that won him multiple national titles. It wasn’t just a question of hiring a new guy - he basically gave up on what got him where he is. That’s incredibly radical imo. And something 99% of coaches seem incapable of doing.
Cal’s still got WCC!Losing Richie is like losing Cronkite.
For many apathy set in a few years ago but when it's ensnaring your most rabid fans, those who used to find a silver lining in damn near anything, your program has a problem.