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Chances each player returns

U

Uk2k4

All-Conference
Jul 24, 2017
1,924
4,167
25
At this point it wouldn’t shock me to see Riley Welch test the waters with plans of going to play professionally in Greece. Mass exodus to get a bunch of 17 year olds in here who can’t wait to leave themselves! 2021 Kentucky Basketball.
 
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Dead Cat Bounce

Dead Cat Bounce

All-American
Jan 8, 2003
2,808
5,007
113
Just a wag:

EJ 50
Nick 0
IQ 2

The only way I see otherwise is if Covid makes the draft or NBA get wonky, or some other oddball variable such as injury.
 
A

arenk

Senior
Jan 3, 2003
2,108
927
0
Dead Cat Bounce said:
Just a wag:

EJ 50
Nick 0
IQ 2

The only way I see otherwise is if Covid makes the draft or NBA get wonky, or some other oddball variable such as injury.
Click to expand...

Who says there will even be a college or NBA season in 2020-21? Maybe they don't get drafted until the second round (EJ probably not at all) and by the time basketball returns, the draft is loaded and none of them except maybe Nick ends up in the NBA unless he gets guaranteed money.
 
B

BBallin23

All-American
Sep 1, 2009
16,326
7,886
67
arenk said:
Who says there will even be a college or NBA season in 2020-21? Maybe they don't get drafted until the second round (EJ probably not at all) and by the time basketball returns, the draft is loaded and none of them except maybe Nick ends up in the NBA unless he gets guaranteed money.
Click to expand...
Oh there will be a season. Hell theyre thinking of finishing this season.
 
F

FrankUnderwood

Heisman
May 26, 2017
15,912
27,971
0
ULisnotmyman said:
At this point it wouldn’t shock me to see Riley Welch test the waters with plans of going to play professionally in Greece. Mass exodus to get a bunch of 17 year olds in here who can’t wait to leave themselves! 2021 Kentucky Basketball.
Click to expand...


The sooner you accept it for what it is the better.
 
B

bradscats

All-Conference
Mar 28, 2007
4,154
1,617
0
BBUK said:
I always wondered how that was done. Seems to be just a WAG...
Click to expand...
There is actually a formula for it. You take the players total points for the season, field goal percentage, and assists, and subtract their rebounds, if they had more rebounds or do the same but add rebounds and subtract assists if they had more assists. Then you divide by their opposite projected draft position according to the most accurate draft projection sites.

So for Richards you have 435+64+7 = 516
516-241= 275
275/26= 10.58% chance

IQ
482+41+56= 579
579-126=453
453/36= 12.58% chance

EJ
171+52+17=240
240-151= 89
89/1 (lowest you can go)= 89% chance

Looks like we have a good shot at getting EJ back, although it’s not certain, while Nick and IQ are likely gone.
 
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B

BBUK_anon

Hall of Famer
May 26, 2005
52,358
124,843
0
bradscats said:
There is actually a formula for it. You take the players total points for the season, field goal percentage, and assists, and subtract their rebounds, if they had more rebounds or do the same but add rebounds and subtract assists if they had more assists. Then you divide by their opposite projected draft position according to the most accurate draft projection sites.

So for Richards you have 435+64+7 = 516
516-241= 275
275/26= 10.58% chance

IQ
482+41+56= 579
579-126=453
453/36= 12.58% chance

EJ
171+52+17=240
240-151= 89
89/1 (lowest you can go)= 89% chance

Looks like we have a good shot at getting EJ back, although it’s not certain, while Nick and IQ are likely gone.
Click to expand...

[laughing]

 
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