Weekly Mississippi Kung Flu Cases

[Fighting Irish.sixpack]

July 12-18: Total Cases = 6,351 Cases, Average Cases = 907 Cases Per Day
July 19-25: Total Cases = 9,666 Cases, Average Cases = 1,380 Cases Per Day
July 26- August 1: Total Cases = 8,249 Cases, Average Cases = 1,178 Cases Per Day
August 2-8: Total Cases = 6,620 Cases, Average Cases = 945 Cases Per Day
August 9-15: Total Cases = 5,063 Cases, Average Cases = 723 Cases Per Day

 

[msstate7]

Today 276 cases.

 

[Leeshouldveflanked]

Tuesday is usually biggest day...next couple of weeks will be interesting now that schools are reopening in most places.

 

[Xenomorph]

"Next two weeks will really tell the tale."

Been hearing that since March.

 

[ronpolk]

Hopefully things keep trending that direction. We are either reaching herd immunity**

Or maybe the mask mandate is helping a little bit. I do wonder if these numbers will make the crowd on here that says mask don’t work question that statement. The talking point about 2 weeks ago anyway was that there was no decline in cases after the mask mandate.

 

[DawgatAuburn]

Alabama:

July 12-18: Total Cases = 12,886 Cases, Average Cases = 1,840 Cases Per Day (statewide mask mandate started 7/16)
July 19-25: Total Cases = 12,134 Cases, Average Cases = 1,733 Cases Per Day
July 26- August 1: Total Cases = 10,466 Cases, Average Cases = 1,495 Cases Per Day
August 2-8: Total Cases = 9,833 Cases, Average Cases = 1,404 Cases Per Day
August 9-15: Total Cases = 6,744 Cases, Average Cases = 963 Cases Per Day

 

[Leeshouldveflanked]

Been hearing that since March.

And that has pretty much been the case... I think we are nearing Herd immunity...

 

[msstate7]

Alabama reported 571 today, which is lowest since June 28th

 

[engie]

Hopefully things keep trending that direction. We are either reaching herd immunity**

Or maybe the mask mandate is helping a little bit. I do wonder if these numbers will make the crowd on here that says mask don’t work question that statement. The talking point about 2 weeks ago anyway was that there was no decline in cases after the mask mandate.

It can be both. Slower case spread = lower overall percentage for effective herd immunity.

But yes I believe we’re far enough down the road now that if we can really get it back under control here, which is one or two more really good weeks imo, there won’t be enough vulnerability left to test the hospitals again

 

[kired]

Just from my limited personal experience - the masks do have an effect if you'll actually wear them all the time. We've had small groups at work get sick even though we have a mask mandate. The common theme - one person was sick (little or no symptoms) and the others who got it were around the sick person without masks at some point, either had lunch together or had closed door meetings together in an office where they weren't wearing masks.

But I don't know of anyone who's been infected by those groups that was wearing a mask 100% of the time they were around them. The problem is you can't come into my office and take your mask off just because we both look and feel healthy. You've got to commit to wearing it anytime you're around people.

 

[57stratdawg]

BTW, I think this is probably more like “wait 4 weeks”. I think there’s a lag in between government reducing, or implementing, restriction and people actually changing their behavior.

Take Georgia for instance. They started reopening mid May, but we didn’t see really see cases start to rise until mid June. I’m guessing people still stayed at home most of May despite the change in restrictions. Of course, effective 6/16, the GA eliminated party restrictions in restaurant, increased bar capacity from 35% to 50% and removed the mask mandate among food workers. That combined with a re-emerging public caused the results in July.

 

[Captain Ron]

Hopefully things keep trending that direction. We are either reaching herd immunity**

Or maybe the mask mandate is helping a little bit. I do wonder if these numbers will make the crowd on here that says mask don’t work question that statement. The talking point about 2 weeks ago anyway was that there was no decline in cases after the mask mandate.

I have always said there probably is some sort of benefit, but there is no consistency in the data when it comes to a “mandate.”

In other words, if the theory is the mandate in MS caused the decline over a 2 week period, one should be able to see similar trends in other states, counties and countries where mandates have been implemented. You should also be able to see basically the opposite in locals where the mandate has not been implemented assuming same level of reopening. The data does not back the theory.

There is a common data point relative to the states that are in the decline.........

 

[fishwater99]

I am not in MS anymore, but I just had 3 friends test positive in the last week in MS.
Luckily to this point, all are having mild cases so far.

I except cases to increase significantly with kids back in school. This is far from over!

 

[Fighting Irish.sixpack]

Tuesday will always have the highest per day total of new cases................

simply because alot of rural MS hospitals' clerical staff do not work on the weekend, and they do all of their weekend reporting on Monday, which we will see on Tuesday.

 

[HamSammich]

Add one more to the list. I just tested positive this morning. Very few symptoms but a coworker of mine tested positive and with the symptoms I was showing I just wanted to be safe. Last thing I need to do in my line of work is spread this mess.

 

[ChroamOneHundred]

You should also be able to see basically the opposite in locals where the mandate has not been implemented assuming same level of reopening. The data does not back the theory.

South Carolina: https://www.forbes.com/sites/nichol...dates-compared-to-areas-without/#2cab1a1f7123

Kansas: https://apnews.com/f218e1a38cce6b2af63c1cd23f1d234e

 

[RocketDawg]

Are you self-quarantining for two weeks? Hope you only have a mild case and all is well in a few days.

What sort of work do you do?

 

[HamSammich]

Me, my wife and our 6 year old and 3 year old are going to quarantine at our house. I’m a delivery driver for UPS

 

[Captain Ron]

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But Hawaii has an indoor and outdoor mandate and cases are climbing. 6 weeks mandatory wear in California (much longer in LA) and they are just starting to see a drop. Georgia has no mandate, but is following the exact same curve down. Florida on the way down. Sweden, bottoming out. South Korea and Japan on the way up and implementing more lockdowns.

New Zealand is going back into lockdown (Auckland Level 3). Bahamas have mandatory mask wear and it rolling again.

Either way, we now have evidence that we can’t “SIP” it away, or mask it away. In areas that have seen low exposure, once the reopening takes place, it has easy vectors to find a host. (Plenty of examples besides the ones above). So, if the mask is cause for the decline and not immunity, I guess we are masking until the vaccine arrives.

South Carolina: https://www.forbes.com/sites/nichol...dates-compared-to-areas-without/#2cab1a1f7123

Kansas: https://apnews.com/f218e1a38cce6b2af63c1cd23f1d234e

 

[Leeshouldveflanked]

Me, my wife and our 6 year old and 3 year old are going to quarantine at our house. I’m a delivery driver for UPS

Maybe all the housewife’s will make it without you for a couple of weeks.... or they may like the new guy better.

 

[ronpolk]

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But Hawaii has an indoor and outdoor mandate and cases are climbing. 6 weeks mandatory wear in California (much longer in LA) and they are just starting to see a drop. Georgia has no mandate, but is following the exact same curve down. Florida on the way down. Sweden, bottoming out. South Korea and Japan on the way up and implementing more lockdowns.

New Zealand is going back into lockdown (Auckland Level 3). Bahamas have mandatory mask wear and it rolling again.

Either way, we now have evidence that we can’t “SIP” it away, or mask it away. In areas that have seen low exposure, once the reopening takes place, it has easy vectors to find a host. (Plenty of examples besides the ones above). So, if the mask is cause for the decline and not immunity, I guess we are masking until the vaccine arrives.

I do agree with you on shelter in place not really being a real option. As much grief as “red” states get from the media, it’s hard to say they have not handled this the best. They shut down at first, didn’t really have a huge case load, and opened up. Once the numbers spiked, they asked people to wear mask and put some rules on bars, restaurants, etc. And now it looks like most southern states are started to see the curve being “flattened”.

The problem is places like New Zealand have shifted from flatten the curve to eliminate the virus, which won’t work. The best you can do is try to manage cases to not overwhelm the hospitals until a treatment or vaccine is here.