This season is almost over ...

ZinfanHeel

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Aug 30, 2025
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…and the 2025-26 season is down to its last few games. On Sunday, Carolina will learn who it will play and where in the NCAA Tournament. The tournament does provide for a maximum of six games, but for that a team would have to reach the final championship game. If UNC is selected as a host site, most likely at least three more games will be added. The Heels currently are at 26-7.

As is usually the case, there are people who are unhappy with the results of the season. If that is examined objectively, it would appear that most of the preseason objectives were reached. Finish in the top 20? Check. Finish in the top 4 ACC (and earn a double-bye in the ACCT)? Check. Host NCAA Tournament games? Maybe 50/50 between a 4-seed and a 5-seed and we will know Sunday. Note that for the last 25 seasons, every team with 14 or more conference wins (UNC is 14-4) has hosted. There is a huge difference between #3 (as last year) and #'s 4 or 5 that put a team into the same draw as a regional #1. Except for hosting, a #6 seed might actually be preferable.

On the statistics side, UNC performed well. In conference games the Heels were 7th (71.9 ppg) offensively but 2nd (59.9 ppg) defensively. The scoring margin was 11.9 ppg (4th). Across all games, UNC outscored its opponents by 543 points for a scoring margin of 16.5 ppg. In 3-point shooting UNC was .360 (2nd behind Notre Dame) and also 2nd in 3-point defense (.274, trailing only dook). The Heels also ranked 3rd on defensive rebounds (28.6 rpg). Carolina’s rebounding margin was the best in the league: 7.3 rpg.

Individually, Nyla Harris and Indya Nivar were 2nd Team All-ACC; Indya Nivar made the All-Defensive Team and Nyla Brooks the All-Freshman Team.

Looking back over the schedule there will always be high points and low points. Seven losses are bothersome. Keep in mind however that two of those losses were to UCLA (currently #2) and Texas (#3) nationally. Particularly frustrating was the first Louisville game, when UNC overcame a 7-point deficit in the 4th quarter to take a 3-point lead on a Lanie Grant layup and then could not close out the game, missing critical free throws with 00:05 on the clock. The game went to overtime, and UNC would have been better off if they had headed for the showers. Scoring zero (0) points in overtime is never acceptable.

Carolina also lost in overtime to Stanford, 71-77. The Heels were the better team. They lost by 23 a week later in South Bend to Notre Dame. The Irish certainly played better. That loss seemed to get the team’s attention as they closed out the season 12-1, losing only to dook in Durham. That streak included a 61-59 win over Moo U in Raleigh.

The less said about the Louisville game in the ACCT the better. Carolina was well off its usual game as admitted by the Head Coach postgame. Ciera Toomey quite possibly had her worst game as a Tar Heel. Hopefully that team performance will fire up the Heels for the NCAAs.

One observation more: this blather about “needing a new coach” is just dumb. We have the coach we need. Courtney Banghart has done a first-rate job with the transfer portal, and the players she brought in – Petra, Carlie, Eva, Maria, Lexi, Grace, Tray, Nyla H, Indya, and Elina – have either started or been valuable reserves. PS, you could add Steph Watts to that list as well

Recruiting hasn’t been bad, either. Coach CB saw something in a lightly recruited kid from Minnesota and that kid became our all-time leading rebounder (and a 1791-point scorer): Alyssa Ustby. Deja Kelly became an 1,858-point scorer. All-Freshman Lanie Grant, a career 39.3% 3-point shooter and 81.1% FTs. All-Freshman Nyla Brooks. Most recently, Kate Harpring. Yes, some players have left: Destiny Adams and Teonni Key, for example. In the era of the TP that will happen.

It might also be noted that Carolina’s home attendance is 3,250. The stated capacity of Carmichael is 6822. That’s 47.6% of capacity. If UNC wants to compete with the big kids, that needs to be improved. The Heels are 7th in the ACC. N° 1 is Louisville at 8108. BTW South Carolina regularly draws 16,000. Of course, there is little night life in Columbia SC.

If there is a fair criticism it would possibly be that Carolina’s post-season play has not been particularly rewarding. Between the ACCT and the NCAAT Carolina is 10-12

There are games to play. Hopefully the Heels will win. I'd like to write a few more previews.
 

CCHeel1

Senior
Jul 3, 2025
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Well, if you put it THAT way. LOL. JK. Great analysis and writeup once again, Zin. As usual. We need to win some in the post season. That is the next logical step in our progression. I would love to see it happen this year.
 
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6string

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Very fair assessment of where we are. Just a few pieces short of being in that top ten I think.
 
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UNC76

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It might also be noted that Carolina’s home attendance is 3,250. The stated capacity of Carmichael is 6822. That’s 47.6% of capacity.
I have seen that number listed as capacity in at least one article, but whenever we announce a sellout, official attendance is listed as 6319. In addition, this is from an article about Carmichael from goheels.com:

The state of the art facility now has a capacity of 6,319.


Your point is still valid whether our average attendance is 47.6% or 51.4% of capacity, Both are anemic numbers.
 

23UNC

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Jul 23, 2025
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We will actually find out if we are hosting today.

New this year: We’ll find out the Top 16 overall seeds in alphabetical order in advance. The reveal will be today on ESPN between the men’s SEC Semifinals (around 3:15pm EST).
 

TarHeelAlum05

Freshman
Aug 1, 2025
14
65
13
IMO we need to start beating teams we’re not expected to beat based off the media‘s “eye test.” Coaches KNOW we’re a hard team to play but the news media sticks with a narrative at the beginning of the year and runs with it. We play Oklahoma in Paris next year…beat them. The ACC/SEC Challenge (likely a top 10 team)…beat them. What ever classic/tournament we‘re invited to…beat them. Those things added to a top 3 finish in the ACC will get people talking. As an aside, the media also likes STARS. Talented yes, but they want the IT factor too. Personality. Swagger. Appeal. Deja was a draw for the news media after our first S16 run. Maybe that’ll be Kate…who knows. We have to market ourselves to force the media to talk.
 

FBIKen

Freshman
Sep 18, 2025
30
72
18
I love to watch our team. I've been to several games over the past few years. We are not a fun team to watch. Most of the time we come out flat to start the game. We play better in the last 3 quarters. We get a big lead and find a way to hold on for the win. At times we play ugly basketball. I think we get a lead and then start to chunk up bad shots and start to turn the ball over and I think a couple players start to play selfishly. I'd like to see us beat teams by 25 points or more. Play a more consistent game of basketball. This team is a very good team if we just take care of the basketball and hit our FT's and layups. I'd rather watch our women's teams than watch our men's teams. Go Heels.
 

Jriv23

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Yeah, I hope that we can host as well. It is now time to focus on the NCAAT. Let go heels!
 
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ZinfanHeel

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Aug 30, 2025
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We are indeed hosting but we will have to wait until tomorrow who will be coming to town. Also, to host we need to be a 4 seed at least. Be great if we could again be a 3 seed.
 
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Chris13x

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Aug 4, 2025
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This is a great summary as for the coach I like Coach Banghart a lot and no non-revenue coach is gonna get fired if she’s consistently making the NCAA tournament unless there’s some kind of off the court issue. I was gonna look up when the last time the heels had back to back top four seeds in the NCAA tournament. It’s been a while.
 
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akillesheel17

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Sep 15, 2025
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imo it's being understated how impressive it is for UNC to have gotten a host spot for the second year in a row after losing that frontcourt plus Donarski. we're probably the second-youngest team in the field and it's not like we have a national-level young superstar carrying that youth.

i remember the consensus, or at least something close to it, in this community 11 months ago was that this year would be Banghart's to prove she hadn't hit her ceiling, because it was going to take a legitimate actual coaching job to make this team good given that she was losing. if that was indeed the case, i'd say she's passed that test easily. even on the individual level, Toomey/Grant/Nivar have significantly leveled up their games in basically exactly the ways they needed to; I think this has easily been Banghart's best proof-of-concept year in terms of player development. as somebody who's always liked her but thought there was a decent chance that she just wasn't going to be able to ever get us into the elite conversations of this sport, i've been impressed and moved by the job she did this year and my estimation of her has risen significantly.
 

kystroup

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Mar 29, 2017
339
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imo it's being understated how impressive it is for UNC to have gotten a host spot for the second year in a row after losing that frontcourt plus Donarski. we're probably the second-youngest team in the field and it's not like we have a national-level young superstar carrying that youth.

i remember the consensus, or at least something close to it, in this community 11 months ago was that this year would be Banghart's to prove she hadn't hit her ceiling, because it was going to take a legitimate actual coaching job to make this team good given that she was losing. if that was indeed the case, i'd say she's passed that test easily. even on the individual level, Toomey/Grant/Nivar have significantly leveled up their games in basically exactly the ways they needed to; I think this has easily been Banghart's best proof-of-concept year in terms of player development. as somebody who's always liked her but thought there was a decent chance that she just wasn't going to be able to ever get us into the elite conversations of this sport, i've been impressed and moved by the job she did this year and my estimation of her has risen significantly.
100%. Give me a lot more hope that the upward trajectory will continue next year. I think we already have the bones of a championship level backcourt, just need a big who’s capable of hanging defensively with a Betts level player
 

3397char

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Jun 30, 2025
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imo it's being understated how impressive it is for UNC to have gotten a host spot for the second year in a row after losing that frontcourt plus Donarski. we're probably the second-youngest team in the field and it's not like we have a national-level young superstar carrying that youth.

i remember the consensus, or at least something close to it, in this community 11 months ago was that this year would be Banghart's to prove she hadn't hit her ceiling, because it was going to take a legitimate actual coaching job to make this team good given that she was losing. if that was indeed the case, i'd say she's passed that test easily. even on the individual level, Toomey/Grant/Nivar have significantly leveled up their games in basically exactly the ways they needed to; I think this has easily been Banghart's best proof-of-concept year in terms of player development. as somebody who's always liked her but thought there was a decent chance that she just wasn't going to be able to ever get us into the elite conversations of this sport, i've been impressed and moved by the job she did this year and my estimation of her has risen significantly.
I keep thinking about the youth of this team.

It is worth remembering that our JRs basically did not contribute this year: Kelly due to injury and Barker is a former walk-on.

And one of our seniors was a transfer. Yes, teams are built of transfers these days but it is rare for them to be a captain-like leader on the team even if they are a major contributor unless they are a superstar. It takes some coaching finesse to insert a workman-like senior transfer into a team with success.

We had another senior to medically retire.

And Nivar had to elevate her game to be a leader. She was 5th best on the team last season and was equally sharing minutes with a 17 year-old beneath a starter's normal minutes load. Many fans openly lobbied for her not to start last season.

This team relied heavily on first and second-year players. Yet they somehow melded that into the #14 defense in the country according to Torvik. That is pretty impressive.
 

Chris13x

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Aug 4, 2025
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I keep thinking about the youth of this team.

It is worth remembering that our JRs basically did not contribute this year: Kelly due to injury and Barker is a former walk-on.

And one of our seniors was a transfer. Yes, teams are built of transfers these days but it is rare for them to be a captain-like leader on the team even if they are a major contributor unless they are a superstar. It takes some coaching finesse to insert a workman-like senior transfer into a team with success.

We had another senior to medically retire.

And Nivar had to elevate her game to be a leader. She was 5th best on the team last season and was equally sharing minutes with a 17 year-old beneath a starter's normal minutes load. Many fans openly lobbied for her not to start last season.

This team relied heavily on first and second-year players. Yet they somehow melded that into the #14 defense in the country according to Torvik. That is pretty impressive.
I haven’t gone back and looked, but I think we’ve always had pretty good defense under Coach Banghart
 

3397char

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I haven’t gone back and looked, but I think we’ve always had pretty good defense under Coach Banghart
Torvik adjusted defensive efficiency ranks over recent seasons:
  • 2020-21: #51
  • 2021-22: #3
  • 2022-23: #9
  • 2023-24: #22
  • 2024-25: #8
  • 2025-26: #14
Our defense significantly outranked our offense every year except the first one.

I think this year is particularly impressive considering that Donarski, Ustby and Gakdeng were all defensive standouts and we basically built a team from scratch.

2021-22 was probably our best Banghart team on paper, and it was a year that we got screwed out of a hosting seed. The polls said we should be a 4 seed and the computers said we should be a 3 seed. We were hurt by a weak OOC schedule and basically the fact that we rose out of nowhere that year and never really got past the preseason lack of respect. We easily handled Arizona on their home court then were competitive with Champ UofSC in the S16.
 

kystroup

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Torvik adjusted defensive efficiency ranks over recent seasons:
  • 2020-21: #51
  • 2021-22: #3
  • 2022-23: #9
  • 2023-24: #22
  • 2024-25: #8
  • 2025-26: #14
Our defense significantly outranked our offense every year except the first one.

I think this year is particularly impressive considering that Donarski, Ustby and Gakdeng were all defensive standouts and we basically built a team from scratch.

2021-22 was probably our best Banghart team on paper, and it was a year that we got screwed out of a hosting seed. The polls said we should be a 4 seed and the computers said we should be a 3 seed. We were hurt by a weak OOC schedule and basically the fact that we rose out of nowhere that year and never really got past the preseason lack of respect. We easily handled Arizona on their home court then were competitive with Champ UofSC in the S16.
That '22 team finished 6th overall in Torvik. Just unbelievable that they didn't host
 

Jriv23

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I think that we only need a strong 5 from the portal next season. All the other positions are pretty much locked up. I would be pursuing a 5 very aggressively for next year.
 

tarboy

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Jul 7, 2025
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Hi Jriv, Unless Ciera, Noelle and Blanca can do the job. Also Queroz is there and Astakhova at 6'2 strong and athletic is a wild card.

If they all stay we have some potential. Coach B has the good fortune of having seen Bofia for this semester.

I was able to freeze frame a good look at NB's hand. She has the biggest hand I have ever seen on a girl.
I am almost positive she can palm the ball.
 

Jriv23

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I tarboy, I was just talking about the 5 spot. Toomey and Noelle are power forwards to be honest. BT is a true 5. I think we need to bring in a true 5 that is going to put pressure on BT next year to work her butt off and get better. As some one stated earlier, it appears Toomey numbers have gown down some as oppose to the beginning of the season. All the banging inside against other true 5's has taken a toll on her. I know Toomey can play the 5 but to me she is better off at the four. NB bio says she is a power forward. It does not say she is a true center. This is the only area of need for next season is bringing in a true 5.
 

uman1

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Aug 8, 2005
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Torvik adjusted defensive efficiency ranks over recent seasons:
  • 2020-21: #51
  • 2021-22: #3
  • 2022-23: #9
  • 2023-24: #22
  • 2024-25: #8
  • 2025-26: #14
Our defense significantly outranked our offense every year except the first one.

I think this year is particularly impressive considering that Donarski, Ustby and Gakdeng were all defensive standouts and we basically built a team from scratch.

2021-22 was probably our best Banghart team on paper, and it was a year that we got screwed out of a hosting seed. The polls said we should be a 4 seed and the computers said we should be a 3 seed. We were hurt by a weak OOC schedule and basically the fact that we rose out of nowhere that year and never really got past the preseason lack of respect. We easily handled Arizona on their home court then were competitive with Champ UofSC in the S16.
I would add that the yield CB managed from Nyla Harris was impressive.
 

tarboy

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Jriv, I agree that Toomey is a combo 4/5 but with another good summer and a stronger core and stronger hands I think she still has upside as a 5. CT was 3rd in the ACC in blocked shots and had good stats rebounding.

Noelle Bofia is a 5. I know her pub might say she is a PF but from looking at her film she is a natural
shot blocking defending the rim Center/5. I see her standing at the bench and I think she is as tall as
Blanca and has huge hands.

I might have to eat my words but for now I am pretty sure NB will be a 5 along with CT and BT.

If a great 5 enters the portal and wants to play at UNC I am sure we will take a hard look.

TH, NB, LH and Liza Astakhova can all play the 4 as well as CT who will get some time at the 4 .
 
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3397char

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I see Toomey as a full on tweener. On the negative side, she does not have the quickness against many 4s, does not have the strength against many 5s. But on the positive, when she is on she can be a tough matchup for others with range, height and driving ability.

I still see room a growth curve for both Thomas and Toomey, I expect they will get better. But if we do go portal shopping, and assuming no departures, a top big might be my first focus. But "best available" anywhere except PG really is top priority. If they are a star and want to come to UNC, then yes please. We have no position that cant be improved upon.
 

FanaticHeel

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Aug 1, 2021
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I'm no as high of BT as I was coming out of HS. TBH didn't really see much of a difference, if any, from last year. Unlike CT where there was a night/day difference with her in the post. If CT improves her FTs, become a little more consistent with the 3 and midrange and finally cut down of the block shot in the post she become an AA type player. I think she is knocking on that door.

Just wish I had confidence in BT. I think she has great size for the position but rarely creates disadvantages and misses way too many buckets in the paint
 

Mtns2Sea

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Aug 7, 2025
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I'm no as high of BT as I was coming out of HS. TBH didn't really see much of a difference, if any, from last year. Unlike CT where there was a night/day difference with her in the post. If CT improves her FTs, become a little more consistent with the 3 and midrange and finally cut down of the block shot in the post she become an AA type player. I think she is knocking on that door.

Just wish I had confidence in BT. I think she has great size for the position but rarely creates disadvantages and misses way too many buckets in the paint
I agree. Whatever injury she has been dealing with this year has not been kind to her progress on the court. Such a nice, nice young woman but she's really been going through quite a rough patch.
 
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kjcooper

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Nov 26, 2009
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It has been noted that if Blanca Thomas is on the team next season, CB will believe that she can contribute. But, if she goes after a 5 in the portal the hand writing is on the wall, and Blanca may be hitting the portal. If she does it needs to be a mid major, where playing time will be available.
Conditioning seems to be an issue, we understand that she had some injuries, but her on court demeanor is not what one would expect from someone who is 6' 6" tall or realistic 6' 5". JMHO.
 
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Jriv23

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This is my take on the BT issue. Our program is in the sweet sixteen two years in a row which indicates our program is on the rise now. We do not want to drop down or go backwards. With that being said, there is only one way our program will continue to raise. This can only be done by continually getting the top-level talent to come in year in and year out whether it be from the high school ranks or from the transfer portal. With that in mind, CB and staff are going to have to go after a top-level talent at the 5 spot. We are now spoiled as fans. We have to continue to set the standard and keep up with Duke and NC State; therefore, we cannot wait on BT anymore. She will be a junior next year. If she wants to hit the portal that is fine, if she wants to stay that is fine too; however, she must understand if she expects to play next season she must be willing to put the work in and she must understand that CB is going to be looking for top level talent at the 5 position no exceptions.
 
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