Rutgers -2 against Wisconsin

Scarlet Shack

Heisman
Feb 3, 2004
26,348
16,190
73
From a historical perspective …I think it’s the highest ranked team we have even been favorite against

1976 St. John’s was 16
1979 St. John’s was 19
2020 Penn state was 20

I don’t think we were favorite at home against Iowa or Illinois . And we were a slight underdog against 9th ranked Maryland in 2020

I don’t think we were the favorite in the final four game by the point spread …Michigan was 9
 

Plum Street

Heisman
Jun 21, 2009
27,306
23,010
0
From a historical perspective …I think it’s the highest ranked team we have even been favorite against

1976 St. John’s was 16
1979 St. John’s was 19
2020 Penn state was 20

I don’t think we were favorite at home against Iowa or Illinois . And we were a slight underdog against 9th ranked Maryland in 2020

I don’t think we were the favorite in the final four game by the point spread …Michigan was 9
Great analysis.
 

read option

All-Conference
Nov 12, 2013
2,835
3,236
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Vegas has taken a beating giving RU points at home lately. They’re trying to recoup some of those losses by not only forcing us to win, but do so by 3 or more.
 
Feb 18, 2022
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Rutgers shouldn't be favored in this game. I hope we win and cover, but let's be honest, a 22-5 Big Ten team should not be an underdog against an 11-loss opponent.
 
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BadgerInSpartyland

Sophomore
Mar 15, 2004
189
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The W-L records don't really matter. Vegas relies heavily on analytics to set the opening line, and then the line moves based on where the money comes in. The analytics show Wisconsin to be more like a team in the middle of the B1G (t-rank has them 7th). The reason for that is because a one-point win and a one-point loss are almost exactly the same by pure stats, and Wisconsin is 13-1 in games decided by 6 points or less.

All that is to say that it's a fair line from my POV.
 

fluoxetine

Heisman
Nov 11, 2012
23,529
16,898
0
The W-L records don't really matter. Vegas relies heavily on analytics to set the opening line, and then the line moves based on where the money comes in. The analytics show Wisconsin to be more like a team in the middle of the B1G (t-rank has them 7th). The reason for that is because a one-point win and a one-point loss are almost exactly the same by pure stats, and Wisconsin is 13-1 in games decided by 6 points or less.

All that is to say that it's a fair line from my POV.
I would've expected more like a pk but I 100% agree with your general statements.
 
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new jersey1_rivals661559

All-Conference
Oct 22, 2005
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Rutgers shouldn't be favored in this game. I hope we win and cover, but let's be honest, a 22-5 Big Ten team should not be an underdog against an 11-loss opponent.
I see it differently. RU is extremely difficult to beat at home. Our home court record matches up with the best teams in the country. This month we have beaten MSU, OSU an IL.
 

TonyLieske

All-Conference
Apr 25, 2008
8,801
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FWIW this doesn’t seem that unusual as I scan the games schedule for today. There are a few top25 teams playing away games were the home team is favored even though the home team is lower ranked. #16 USC (24-4) at unranked Oregon (18-10) and Oregon is favored by 4.5 points is pretty close to our situation.
 

wolve1972

Junior
Sep 3, 2018
779
281
18
Rutgers shouldn't be favored in this game. I hope we win and cover, but let's be honest, a 22-5 Big Ten team should not be an underdog against an 11-loss opponent.
There's not that much difference between the top 8 or 9 teams in the B1G - any team can win especially at home. An away game or neutral court is a whole different matter.
 

LeapinLou

All-American
Jul 24, 2001
13,392
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My biggest concern is that it's very difficult to beat a good team twice. With the Purdue loss today, I'm sure Wisconsin would love to win and take over sole possession of 1st place. Tough assignment.
 
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Scangg

Heisman
Mar 19, 2016
25,455
49,387
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My biggest concern is that it's very difficult to beat a good team twice. With the Purdue loss today, I'm sure Wisconsin would love to win and take over sole possession of 1st place. Tough assignment.
I agree about same team twice, but Rutgers needs this win more than Wisconsin does. Hard to picture Rutgers not bringing it today
 

blueoyster

All-Conference
Jan 28, 2007
901
1,459
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SIAP. Whisky now back in first place. I'd imagine a lot of Purdue, Illinois and Ohio State fans pulling for the scarlet knights at 6pm!!
 
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RUShea

All-Conference
Jan 31, 2017
1,085
1,971
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I so wanted to go big on Wisky today but I just couldn't do it in my heart. I can't bet RU games unless I'm betting them to cover or they're a big enough underdog, where I think they can at least cover.
 
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