Rasmussen: Generic ballot a statistical tie
- Thread starter TarHeelEer
- Start date
People talk about how the 2016 POTUS predictions were wrong but in terms of total vote they were pretty close. Good national polls don't badly miss total votes very often. And most of the polls (Rasmussen is an outlier) have the Dems getting like 5, 6, 7, 8 more points in terms of total votes. No way it's going to be basically a tie like Rasmussen. As someone said, a tie means a blowout for the GOP in terms of seats. That's not going to happen.
Hey, this gives me an idea for a prediction thread on the matter. Perhaps I'll start one today or tomorrow.
Hey, this gives me an idea for a prediction thread on the matter. Perhaps I'll start one today or tomorrow.
Nate Silver is not a pollster.Yep, the one pollster that got the '16 elections correct.
Butttttttt.... Nate SILVER!