Players’ Ages & Time Machine

[zebnatto]

Take your 12 best freshmen (18 yr olds) coming into NCAA hoops in Fall 2020.
Advance those same players five years, now 23 and going into their fifth NCAA season(of 22 yrs old going their fourth season, if you prefer).

The eighteen year olds play seasoned players four or five years down the line.

What would expect the final score to be?

 

[zebnatto]

Older Players: 90
Young Players: 65

 

[NickRU714]

Not sure the point of this exercise.
Players get better from 18 to 23?

Let's put names down for reference.
Top Class of 2020 recruits:
Cade Cunningham, Evan Mobley, Jalen Green, Jonathan Kuminga, Zaire Williams, Scottie Barnes, Jalen Suggs, Jalen Johnson


Cade Cunningham alone is potentially an All-NBA player this year.
The "older players" would blow out the younger players.

 

[rubigtimenow]

The initial answer is obvious as was pointed out above. Are you going somewhere further with this exercise?
What if we take 12 guys that are say 200-211 ranked and advanced them 4 years and they play against the top 12 guys in the original class.
Even if only 4 of them panned out, I think the older group still wins 8 of 10 times.

 

[NickRU714]

The initial answer is obvious as was pointed out above. Are you going somewhere further with this exercise?
What if we take 12 guys that are say 200-211 ranked and advanced them 4 years and they play against the top 12 guys in the original class.
Even if only 4 of them panned out, I think the older group still wins 8 of 10 times.

This is a good question.
How low could you go in the rankings before getting to an even game.

For example, I would guess guys 100-112 with 4 years experience together would beat freshman 1-12.

Is 200-211 the point we get to an even game?
Higher? Lower?

 

[dconifer0]

I don't really think there are any surprise outcomes to this hypothetical exercise. All things being equal, grown-*** men > teenagers in athletics. Maybe I'm missing something here...