High risk issued

[Hugh's Burner Phone]

Tornado outbreak expected in red shaded area.

 

[IBleedMaroonDawg]

I know it is the same song and dance as last week but people need to pay attention again.


]Up late waiting for our storms to roll through here.

 

[Drebin]

I know it is the same song and dance as last week but people need to pay attention again.


]Up late waiting for our storms to roll through here.

SPC wording on this is particularly alarming.

 

[IBleedMaroonDawg]

SPC wording on this is particularly alarming.

Yes it is. If it wasn't so long I would post it. Our line dropped below severe limits so I'm heading to bed to arm chair chase tomorrow.

Good luck y'all.

 

[Drebin]

Yes it is. If it wasn't so long I would post it. Our line dropped below severe limits so I'm heading to bed to arm chair chase tomorrow.

Good luck y'all.

Last week, lingering morning convection threw a wrench into the process and that's what really limited the bad stuff. Today, that is not going to be a problem.

The biggest threat for violent tornadoes, it seems to me, would be in area from Nashville down to below the GTR and toward Meridian, and over into NW Alabama. That's a little bit bigger than the current high risk issued by the SPC but I fully expect them to expand that north. Things look really bad for Southcentral Tennessee later.

SPC used the wording 'voilent.' I read on a weather forum that they've only used that wording four times in their history.

 

[MetEdDawg]

Last week, lingering morning convection threw a wrench into the process and that's what really limited the bad stuff. Today, that is not going to be a problem.

The biggest threat for violent tornadoes, it seems to me, would be in area from Nashville down to below the GTR and toward Meridian, and over into NW Alabama. That's a little bit bigger than the current high risk issued by the SPC but I fully expect them to expand that north. Things look really bad for Southcentral Tennessee later.

SPC used the wording 'voilent.' I read on a weather forum that they've only used that wording four times in their history.

Looks like there will be sufficient clearing today, setting the stage for some very concerning atmospheric conditions. Some of the parameters for the tornado setup are worse than last week's. You never play around with high risks. Just because last week was a bust doesn't mean squat for this event. Take it seriously no matter where you are in the severe.

 

[UpTheMiddlex3Punt]

I'm really hoping that Huntsville is like last week's Mobile

 

[PineGroveBully]

I used to consider myself an amateur archer but I sure would like to not be in the bullseye today. But that seems to be North Mississippi perpetual predicament.

 

[Hugh's Burner Phone]

The SPC updated their risk assessment about an hour ago and the wording they used was just flat out scary. If they are correct about what is going to unfold today then buckle your seatbelts and return your tray to its full upright position.

 

[J-Dawg]

Should we notify Mobile?

 

[horshack.sixpack]

Nah, he's still stewing about that volcano eruption he heard so much about, but he hasn't seen any signs of yet.

 

[Leeshouldveflanked]

Still in low 60’s in Union County... gonna have to warm up another 10-15 degrees for weather to get bad.... if we stay in 60’s we should be good.... if sun pops out and we get up to 75, it will be trouble.

 

[DesotoCountyDawg]

Just because it’s in the 60s doesn’t mean you avoid tornados.

 

[Hugh's Burner Phone]

Expect main storm initiation around noon. These storms are expected to rapidly go severe and then tornadic. The sun is just adding fuel to the fire.

 

[Col. Forbin]

Still looking north and east of 55/20

 

[IBleedMaroonDawg]

First Watch about to drop.

View attachment 19825

 

[Drebin]

Still looking north and east of 55/20

The high risk or hatched area is shifting a little bit to the east, but the supercell initiation zone is looking to be SW Mississippi. Given the dynamics in the atmosphere, everyone in the state needs to be weather aware for the next few hours, with the threat moving northeast as the day progresses. If you're in GTR, up through Huntsville and east through Tuscaloosa and Birmingham, you're under the high risk gun.

 

[UpTheMiddlex3Punt]

Mmmm.... PDS.... just what I wanted today

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0050.html

 

[IBleedMaroonDawg]

View attachment 19829

 

[Hugh's Burner Phone]

Storms developing in the Jackson area that could be the start of things. Tracking rapidly NE towards the golden triangle area.