Felt this was appropriate to link based on all the recent discussion on Dak.
https://thelandryhat.com/2019/09/04/dallas-cowboys-dak-prescott-contract-template/
First off, I personally don’t agree with everything in the article as far as how Dak is valued. The author, a Dallas fan, does place a lot more emphasis on recent performance and trend when setting Dak’s market value compared to his 2016 draft class contemporaries (Wentz and Goff). Decreasing emphasis on Dak’s rookie season (when he was wayyy better than both Goff and Wentz) and placing more value on 2017-2018 despite the lack of supporting cast Dak had in those years does slight him a bit, as does ignoring Wentz’s injury history. It also completely disregards how much Dak has outperformed his rookie contract compared to Goff / Wentz.
All that being said, this provides an excellent breakdown of how each of these guys measure up when comparing the key metrics (Passer rating, Pro football focus rating, ESPN QBR, # wins, # playoff wins).
Even if you take the article at face value, it “objectively” places Dak’s market value at $26.5 million annually. That means a 5-year extension signed to give him that 6-year annual average would have to pay him $31.4 million per year in new money. A 4-year extension required to give him the same 5-year average would have to be worth about $32.6 million per year in new money. And again, that is with Dak viewed as the clear #3 in terms of value between he, Goff, and Wentz, which I think makes it his absolute minimum value.
So, the overall point is that there is no way that a $31-$32 million per year extension should be viewed as anything less than a huge bargain for Dallas, and even a $33-$34 million per year extension should certainly not be off the table.
https://thelandryhat.com/2019/09/04/dallas-cowboys-dak-prescott-contract-template/
First off, I personally don’t agree with everything in the article as far as how Dak is valued. The author, a Dallas fan, does place a lot more emphasis on recent performance and trend when setting Dak’s market value compared to his 2016 draft class contemporaries (Wentz and Goff). Decreasing emphasis on Dak’s rookie season (when he was wayyy better than both Goff and Wentz) and placing more value on 2017-2018 despite the lack of supporting cast Dak had in those years does slight him a bit, as does ignoring Wentz’s injury history. It also completely disregards how much Dak has outperformed his rookie contract compared to Goff / Wentz.
All that being said, this provides an excellent breakdown of how each of these guys measure up when comparing the key metrics (Passer rating, Pro football focus rating, ESPN QBR, # wins, # playoff wins).
Even if you take the article at face value, it “objectively” places Dak’s market value at $26.5 million annually. That means a 5-year extension signed to give him that 6-year annual average would have to pay him $31.4 million per year in new money. A 4-year extension required to give him the same 5-year average would have to be worth about $32.6 million per year in new money. And again, that is with Dak viewed as the clear #3 in terms of value between he, Goff, and Wentz, which I think makes it his absolute minimum value.
So, the overall point is that there is no way that a $31-$32 million per year extension should be viewed as anything less than a huge bargain for Dallas, and even a $33-$34 million per year extension should certainly not be off the table.
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