Do players shoot worse under Pike?

fluoxetine

Heisman
Nov 11, 2012
23,529
16,898
0
Inspired by the discussion in this thread: https://rutgers.forums.rivals.com/threads/ot-mag.289563/

I looked at players who have played at Rutgers under Pike and also for other schools. In the beginning there were a couple players who played a year under Eddie Jordan, then under Pike, and then elsewhere. For these players I did not count their Eddie Jordan numbers.

-----
TLDR:
Weighted Averages
3p% under Pike: 32.45%
3p% elsewhere: 32.61%
Conclusion: No significant difference

FT% under Pike: 67.59%
FT% elsewhere: 70.76%
Conclusion: Worse under Pike

-----

Here is the raw data:
PlayerRut 3pMRut 3pARut FTMRut FTAOther 3pMOther 3pAOther FTMOther FTARut 3p%Other 3p%Rut FT%Other FT%
Aundre Hyatt
107​
352​
135​
192​
22​
85​
18​
23​
30.4%​
25.9%​
70.3%​
78.3%​
Paul Mulcahy
74​
207​
126​
176​
15​
48​
33​
43​
35.7%​
31.3%​
71.6%​
76.7%​
Montez Mathis
57​
203​
128​
220​
29​
90​
66​
103​
28.1%​
32.2%​
58.2%​
64.1%​
Cam Spencer
72​
166​
76​
85​
204​
493​
211​
242​
43.4%​
41.4%​
89.4%​
87.2%​
Jacob Young
46​
143​
98​
146​
81​
301​
97​
141​
32.2%​
26.9%​
67.1%​
68.8%​
Derek Simpson
33​
131​
116​
139​
36​
115​
45​
58​
25.2%​
31.3%​
83.5%​
77.6%​
Nigel Johnson
43​
119​
64​
91​
53​
170​
91​
139​
36.1%​
31.2%​
70.3%​
65.5%​
Gavin Griffiths
31​
111​
18​
30​
7​
28​
0​
0​
27.9%​
25.0%​
60.0%​
Akwasi Yeboah
35​
104​
57​
73​
179​
499​
262​
330​
33.7%​
35.9%​
78.1%​
79.4%​
Peter Kiss
29​
99​
18​
32​
121​
382​
274​
346​
29.3%​
31.7%​
56.3%​
79.2%​
Mawot Mag
26​
99​
82​
116​
20​
53​
23​
31​
26.3%​
37.7%​
70.7%​
74.2%​
Noah Fernandes
29​
81​
43​
52​
94​
250​
152​
201​
35.8%​
37.6%​
82.7%​
75.6%​
Tyson Acuff
28​
72​
13​
17​
137​
414​
190​
235​
38.9%​
33.1%​
76.5%​
80.9%​
Zach Martini
24​
66​
13​
19​
80​
229​
21​
27​
36.4%​
34.9%​
68.4%​
77.8%​
Jeremiah Williams
16​
62​
65​
91​
23​
86​
79​
124​
25.8%​
26.7%​
71.4%​
63.7%​
Eugene Omoruyi
14​
61​
164​
260​
41​
108​
91​
119​
23.0%​
38.0%​
63.1%​
76.5%​
PJ Hayes
16​
49​
6​
8​
66​
167​
48​
61​
32.7%​
39.5%​
75.0%​
78.7%​
Jordan Derkack
11​
41​
70​
94​
40​
153​
234​
324​
26.8%​
26.1%​
74.5%​
72.2%​
Dean Reiber
12​
36​
20​
33​
18​
94​
12​
21​
33.3%​
19.1%​
60.6%​
57.1%​
Clifford Omoruyi
7​
35​
232​
393​
0​
1​
42​
63​
20.0%​
0.0%​
59.0%​
66.7%​
Austin Williams
6​
16​
15​
38​
54​
186​
209​
343​
37.5%​
29.0%​
39.5%​
60.9%​
Jonathan Laurent
4​
13​
17​
23​
48​
124​
95​
117​
30.8%​
38.7%​
73.9%​
81.2%​
Antwone Woolfolk
1​
6​
29​
63​
1​
7​
25​
38​
16.7%​
14.3%​
46.0%​
65.8%​
Jalen Miller
0​
3​
7​
10​
43​
103​
44​
63​
0.0%​
41.7%​
70.0%​
69.8%​
C.J. Gettys
0​
0​
41​
60​
0​
0​
65​
101​
68.3%​
64.4%​
Ibrahima Diallo
0​
0​
3​
6​
0​
0​
4​
10​
50.0%​
40.0%​
Mamadou Doucoure
0​
0​
21​
37​
0​
1​
24​
37​
0.0%​
56.8%​
64.9%​
Myles Johnson
0​
0​
71​
181​
0​
0​
24​
45​
39.2%​
53.3%​
Ralph Agee
0​
0​
9​
14​
8​
34​
64​
104​
23.5%​
64.3%​
61.5%​

I am not 100% certain how to weight it for comparison purposes, but I think assigning each player a weight of MIN(Rutgers attempts, other attempts) is reasonable.

Using that, here is 3-point comparison:
PlayerRut 3pMRut 3pAOther 3pMOther 3pAWeightRut 3p%Other 3p%
Cam Spencer
72​
166​
204​
493​
166​
43.4%​
41.4%​
Jacob Young
46​
143​
81​
301​
143​
32.2%​
26.9%​
Nigel Johnson
43​
119​
53​
170​
119​
36.1%​
31.2%​
Derek Simpson
33​
131​
36​
115​
115​
25.2%​
31.3%​
Akwasi Yeboah
35​
104​
179​
499​
104​
33.7%​
35.9%​
Peter Kiss
29​
99​
121​
382​
99​
29.3%​
31.7%​
Montez Mathis
57​
203​
29​
90​
90​
28.1%​
32.2%​
Aundre Hyatt
107​
352​
22​
85​
85​
30.4%​
25.9%​
Noah Fernandes
29​
81​
94​
250​
81​
35.8%​
37.6%​
Tyson Acuff
28​
72​
137​
414​
72​
38.9%​
33.1%​
Zach Martini
24​
66​
80​
229​
66​
36.4%​
34.9%​
Jeremiah Williams
16​
62​
23​
86​
62​
25.8%​
26.7%​
Eugene Omoruyi
14​
61​
41​
108​
61​
23.0%​
38.0%​
Mawot Mag
26​
99​
20​
53​
53​
26.3%​
37.7%​
PJ Hayes
16​
49​
66​
167​
49​
32.7%​
39.5%​
Paul Mulcahy
74​
207​
15​
48​
48​
35.7%​
31.3%​
Jordan Derkack
11​
41​
40​
153​
41​
26.8%​
26.1%​
Dean Reiber
12​
36​
18​
94​
36​
33.3%​
19.1%​
Gavin Griffiths
31​
111​
7​
28​
28​
27.9%​
25.0%​
Austin Williams
6​
16​
54​
186​
16​
37.5%​
29.0%​
Jonathan Laurent
4​
13​
48​
124​
13​
30.8%​
38.7%​
Antwone Woolfolk
1​
6​
1​
7​
6​
16.7%​
14.3%​
Jalen Miller
0​
3​
43​
103​
3​
0.0%​
41.7%​
Clifford Omoruyi
7​
35​
0​
1​
1​
20.0%​
0.0%​
Weighted Average
32.45%
32.61%

I get a weighted average of 32.45% at Rutgers and 32.61% elsewhere. So slightly better elsewhere but effectively the same.

Here is the FT comparison:

PlayerRut FTMRut FTAOther FTMOther FTAWeightRut FT%Other FT%
Jacob Young
98​
146​
97​
141​
141​
67.1%​
68.8%​
Eugene Omoruyi
164​
260​
91​
119​
119​
63.1%​
76.5%​
Montez Mathis
128​
220​
66​
103​
103​
58.2%​
64.1%​
Jordan Derkack
70​
94​
234​
324​
94​
74.5%​
72.2%​
Nigel Johnson
64​
91​
91​
139​
91​
70.3%​
65.5%​
Jeremiah Williams
65​
91​
79​
124​
91​
71.4%​
63.7%​
Cam Spencer
76​
85​
211​
242​
85​
89.4%​
87.2%​
Akwasi Yeboah
57​
73​
262​
330​
73​
78.1%​
79.4%​
Clifford Omoruyi
232​
393​
42​
63​
63​
59.0%​
66.7%​
C.J. Gettys
41​
60​
65​
101​
60​
68.3%​
64.4%​
Derek Simpson
116​
139​
45​
58​
58​
83.5%​
77.6%​
Noah Fernandes
43​
52​
152​
201​
52​
82.7%​
75.6%​
Myles Johnson
71​
181​
24​
45​
45​
39.2%​
53.3%​
Paul Mulcahy
126​
176​
33​
43​
43​
71.6%​
76.7%​
Austin Williams
15​
38​
209​
343​
38​
39.5%​
60.9%​
Antwone Woolfolk
29​
63​
25​
38​
38​
46.0%​
65.8%​
Mamadou Doucoure
21​
37​
24​
37​
37​
56.8%​
64.9%​
Peter Kiss
18​
32​
274​
346​
32​
56.3%​
79.2%​
Mawot Mag
82​
116​
23​
31​
31​
70.7%​
74.2%​
Aundre Hyatt
135​
192​
18​
23​
23​
70.3%​
78.3%​
Jonathan Laurent
17​
23​
95​
117​
23​
73.9%​
81.2%​
Dean Reiber
20​
33​
12​
21​
21​
60.6%​
57.1%​
Zach Martini
13​
19​
21​
27​
19​
68.4%​
77.8%​
Tyson Acuff
13​
17​
190​
235​
17​
76.5%​
80.9%​
Ralph Agee
9​
14​
64​
104​
14​
64.3%​
61.5%​
Jalen Miller
7​
10​
44​
63​
10​
70.0%​
69.8%​
PJ Hayes
6​
8​
48​
61​
8​
75.0%​
78.7%​
Ibrahima Diallo
3​
6​
4​
10​
6​
50.0%​
40.0%​
Weighted Average
67.59%
70.76%

Here I get a weighted 67.59% at Rutgers and 70.76% elsewhere. This actually looks significant.
 
Last edited:

RUChoppin

Heisman
Dec 1, 2006
19,270
13,695
0
Inspired by the discussion in this thread: https://rutgers.forums.rivals.com/threads/ot-mag.289563/

I looked at players who have played at Rutgers under Pike and also for other schools. In the beginning there were a couple players who played a year under Eddie Jordan, then under Pike, and then elsewhere. For these players I did not count their Eddie Jordan numbers.

-----
TLDR:
Weighted Averages
3p% under Pike: 32.45%
3p% elsewhere: 32.61%
Conclusion: No significant difference

FT% under Pike: 67.59%
FT% elsewhere: 70.76%
Conclusion: Worse under Pike

-----

Here is the raw data:
PlayerRut 3pMRut 3pARut FTMRut FTAOther 3pMOther 3pAOther FTMOther FTARut 3p%Other 3p%Rut FT%Other FT%
Aundre Hyatt
107​
352​
135​
192​
22​
85​
18​
23​
30.4%​
25.9%​
70.3%​
78.3%​
Paul Mulcahy
74​
207​
126​
176​
15​
48​
33​
43​
35.7%​
31.3%​
71.6%​
76.7%​
Montez Mathis
57​
203​
128​
220​
29​
90​
66​
103​
28.1%​
32.2%​
58.2%​
64.1%​
Cam Spencer
72​
166​
76​
85​
204​
493​
211​
242​
43.4%​
41.4%​
89.4%​
87.2%​
Jacob Young
46​
143​
98​
146​
81​
301​
97​
141​
32.2%​
26.9%​
67.1%​
68.8%​
Derek Simpson
33​
131​
116​
139​
36​
115​
45​
58​
25.2%​
31.3%​
83.5%​
77.6%​
Nigel Johnson
43​
119​
64​
91​
53​
170​
91​
139​
36.1%​
31.2%​
70.3%​
65.5%​
Gavin Griffiths
31​
111​
18​
30​
7​
28​
0​
0​
27.9%​
25.0%​
60.0%​
Akwasi Yeboah
35​
104​
57​
73​
179​
499​
262​
330​
33.7%​
35.9%​
78.1%​
79.4%​
Peter Kiss
29​
99​
18​
32​
121​
382​
274​
346​
29.3%​
31.7%​
56.3%​
79.2%​
Mawot Mag
26​
99​
82​
116​
20​
53​
23​
31​
26.3%​
37.7%​
70.7%​
74.2%​
Noah Fernandes
29​
81​
43​
52​
94​
250​
152​
201​
35.8%​
37.6%​
82.7%​
75.6%​
Tyson Acuff
28​
72​
13​
17​
137​
414​
190​
235​
38.9%​
33.1%​
76.5%​
80.9%​
Zach Martini
24​
66​
13​
19​
80​
229​
21​
27​
36.4%​
34.9%​
68.4%​
77.8%​
Jeremiah Williams
16​
62​
65​
91​
23​
86​
79​
124​
25.8%​
26.7%​
71.4%​
63.7%​
Eugene Omoruyi
14​
61​
164​
260​
41​
108​
91​
119​
23.0%​
38.0%​
63.1%​
76.5%​
PJ Hayes
16​
49​
6​
8​
66​
167​
48​
61​
32.7%​
39.5%​
75.0%​
78.7%​
Jordan Derkack
11​
41​
70​
94​
40​
153​
234​
324​
26.8%​
26.1%​
74.5%​
72.2%​
Dean Reiber
12​
36​
20​
33​
18​
94​
12​
21​
33.3%​
19.1%​
60.6%​
57.1%​
Clifford Omoruyi
7​
35​
232​
393​
0​
1​
42​
63​
20.0%​
0.0%​
59.0%​
66.7%​
Austin Williams
6​
16​
15​
38​
54​
186​
209​
343​
37.5%​
29.0%​
39.5%​
60.9%​
Jonathan Laurent
4​
13​
17​
23​
48​
124​
95​
117​
30.8%​
38.7%​
73.9%​
81.2%​
Antwone Woolfolk
1​
6​
29​
63​
1​
7​
25​
38​
16.7%​
14.3%​
46.0%​
65.8%​
Jalen Miller
0​
3​
7​
10​
43​
103​
44​
63​
0.0%​
41.7%​
70.0%​
69.8%​
C.J. Gettys
0​
0​
41​
60​
0​
0​
65​
101​
68.3%​
64.4%​
Ibrahima Diallo
0​
0​
3​
6​
0​
0​
4​
10​
50.0%​
40.0%​
Mamadou Doucoure
0​
0​
21​
37​
0​
1​
24​
37​
0.0%​
56.8%​
64.9%​
Myles Johnson
0​
0​
71​
181​
0​
0​
24​
45​
39.2%​
53.3%​
Ralph Agee
0​
0​
9​
14​
8​
34​
64​
104​
23.5%​
64.3%​
61.5%​

I am not 100% certain how to weight it for comparison purposes, but I think assigning each player a weight of MIN(Rutgers attempts, other attempts) is reasonable.

Using that, here is 3-point comparison:
PlayerRut 3pMRut 3pAOther 3pMOther 3pAWeightRut 3p%Other 3p%
Cam Spencer
72​
166​
204​
493​
166​
43.4%​
41.4%​
Jacob Young
46​
143​
81​
301​
143​
32.2%​
26.9%​
Nigel Johnson
43​
119​
53​
170​
119​
36.1%​
31.2%​
Derek Simpson
33​
131​
36​
115​
115​
25.2%​
31.3%​
Akwasi Yeboah
35​
104​
179​
499​
104​
33.7%​
35.9%​
Peter Kiss
29​
99​
121​
382​
99​
29.3%​
31.7%​
Montez Mathis
57​
203​
29​
90​
90​
28.1%​
32.2%​
Aundre Hyatt
107​
352​
22​
85​
85​
30.4%​
25.9%​
Noah Fernandes
29​
81​
94​
250​
81​
35.8%​
37.6%​
Tyson Acuff
28​
72​
137​
414​
72​
38.9%​
33.1%​
Zach Martini
24​
66​
80​
229​
66​
36.4%​
34.9%​
Jeremiah Williams
16​
62​
23​
86​
62​
25.8%​
26.7%​
Eugene Omoruyi
14​
61​
41​
108​
61​
23.0%​
38.0%​
Mawot Mag
26​
99​
20​
53​
53​
26.3%​
37.7%​
PJ Hayes
16​
49​
66​
167​
49​
32.7%​
39.5%​
Paul Mulcahy
74​
207​
15​
48​
48​
35.7%​
31.3%​
Jordan Derkack
11​
41​
40​
153​
41​
26.8%​
26.1%​
Dean Reiber
12​
36​
18​
94​
36​
33.3%​
19.1%​
Gavin Griffiths
31​
111​
7​
28​
28​
27.9%​
25.0%​
Austin Williams
6​
16​
54​
186​
16​
37.5%​
29.0%​
Jonathan Laurent
4​
13​
48​
124​
13​
30.8%​
38.7%​
Antwone Woolfolk
1​
6​
1​
7​
6​
16.7%​
14.3%​
Jalen Miller
0​
3​
43​
103​
3​
0.0%​
41.7%​
Clifford Omoruyi
7​
35​
0​
1​
1​
20.0%​
0.0%​
Weighted Average
32.45%
32.61%

I get a weighted average of 32.45% at Rutgers and 32.61% elsewhere. So slightly better elsewhere but effectively the same.

Here is the FT comparison:

PlayerRut FTMRut FTAOther FTMOther FTAWeightRut FT%Other FT%
Jacob Young
98​
146​
97​
141​
141​
67.1%​
68.8%​
Eugene Omoruyi
164​
260​
91​
119​
119​
63.1%​
76.5%​
Montez Mathis
128​
220​
66​
103​
103​
58.2%​
64.1%​
Jordan Derkack
70​
94​
234​
324​
94​
74.5%​
72.2%​
Nigel Johnson
64​
91​
91​
139​
91​
70.3%​
65.5%​
Jeremiah Williams
65​
91​
79​
124​
91​
71.4%​
63.7%​
Cam Spencer
76​
85​
211​
242​
85​
89.4%​
87.2%​
Akwasi Yeboah
57​
73​
262​
330​
73​
78.1%​
79.4%​
Clifford Omoruyi
232​
393​
42​
63​
63​
59.0%​
66.7%​
C.J. Gettys
41​
60​
65​
101​
60​
68.3%​
64.4%​
Derek Simpson
116​
139​
45​
58​
58​
83.5%​
77.6%​
Noah Fernandes
43​
52​
152​
201​
52​
82.7%​
75.6%​
Myles Johnson
71​
181​
24​
45​
45​
39.2%​
53.3%​
Paul Mulcahy
126​
176​
33​
43​
43​
71.6%​
76.7%​
Austin Williams
15​
38​
209​
343​
38​
39.5%​
60.9%​
Antwone Woolfolk
29​
63​
25​
38​
38​
46.0%​
65.8%​
Mamadou Doucoure
21​
37​
24​
37​
37​
56.8%​
64.9%​
Peter Kiss
18​
32​
274​
346​
32​
56.3%​
79.2%​
Mawot Mag
82​
116​
23​
31​
31​
70.7%​
74.2%​
Aundre Hyatt
135​
192​
18​
23​
23​
70.3%​
78.3%​
Jonathan Laurent
17​
23​
95​
117​
23​
73.9%​
81.2%​
Dean Reiber
20​
33​
12​
21​
21​
60.6%​
57.1%​
Zach Martini
13​
19​
21​
27​
19​
68.4%​
77.8%​
Tyson Acuff
13​
17​
190​
235​
17​
76.5%​
80.9%​
Ralph Agee
9​
14​
64​
104​
14​
64.3%​
61.5%​
Jalen Miller
7​
10​
44​
63​
10​
70.0%​
69.8%​
PJ Hayes
6​
8​
48​
61​
8​
75.0%​
78.7%​
Ibrahima Diallo
3​
6​
4​
10​
6​
50.0%​
40.0%​
Weighted Average
67.59%
70.76%

Here I get a weighted 67.59% at Rutgers and 70.76% elsewhere. This actually looks significant.
Don't have time to look at it, but curious the FT performance for guys who transferred in vs guys who transferred out .. that is, do players just improve at the line over their careers, agnostic of environment.
 
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bethlehemfan

Heisman
Sep 6, 2003
15,148
16,481
113
Don't have time to look at it, but curious the FT performance for guys who transferred in vs guys who transferred out .. that is, do players just improve at the line over their careers, agnostic of environment.
Looks to me like a few high volume guys maybe skewed the numbers. Not sure how fluox accounted for that.
 

fluoxetine

Heisman
Nov 11, 2012
23,529
16,898
0
Looks to me like a few high volume guys maybe skewed the numbers. Not sure how fluox accounted for that.
I'm not sure how to account for it or if it should be accounted for, though even if you remove, say, Eugene Omoruyi and Montez Mathis (the two highest weight guys who were better after transferring) you still get 68.84% Rut, 70.77% other.

If I take a simple average of the percentages with no weighting you get Rutgers 66.2% and Other 70.1%

If you just take the total FT% without adjusting for a different mix of attempts you get Rutgers 65.2%, Other 72.9%.
 

RUsojo

Heisman
Dec 17, 2010
29,573
28,773
113
Would be interesting to see each players change in 3PA per 100 and 3PA rate.

Is it virtually the same percentage on virtually the same 3PA per 100 or 3PA rate, or are guys shooting more 3s at RU or elsewhere.
 
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bethlehemfan

Heisman
Sep 6, 2003
15,148
16,481
113
I'm not sure how to account for it or if it should be accounted for, though even if you remove, say, Eugene Omoruyi and Montez Mathis (the two highest weight guys who were better after transferring) you still get 68.84% Rut, 70.77% other.

If I take a simple average of the percentages with no weighting you get Rutgers 66.2% and Other 70.1%

If you just take the total FT% without adjusting for a different mix of attempts you get Rutgers 65.2%, Other 72.9%.
Just fix it so it looks better. That’s all I’m looking for lol.
 

fluoxetine

Heisman
Nov 11, 2012
23,529
16,898
0
Would be interesting to see each players change in 3PA per 100 and 3PA rate.

Is it virtually the same percentage on virtually the same 3PA per 100 or 3PA rate, or are guys shooting more 3s at RU or elsewhere.

I’ll see if I can do this too.
 
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NBKnight

Heisman
Jul 8, 2008
24,687
15,598
61
I'm not sure how to account for it or if it should be accounted for, though even if you remove, say, Eugene Omoruyi and Montez Mathis (the two highest weight guys who were better after transferring) you still get 68.84% Rut, 70.77% other.

If I take a simple average of the percentages with no weighting you get Rutgers 66.2% and Other 70.1%

If you just take the total FT% without adjusting for a different mix of attempts you get Rutgers 65.2%, Other 72.9%.
With Eugene his FT shooting was improving during his time at RU.
Y1 63%
Y2 54%
Y3 71%

Then he sat out a year and then shot 77% his one year at Oregon.
 

Simce91

All-Conference
Dec 2, 2024
1,620
2,150
113
Davis seems to have improved quite a bit as a shooter under this coaching staff.

I would suggest you could insert "player" for "shooter"

I truly hope that JMike stays for his Jr and Sr years, many of us will be very happy he did