Crystal Ball -Tennessee

Wessew

Redshirt
Aug 10, 2018
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0
September 2, 2018,
Head Coach Dana Holgersen stated the obvious late Saturday night, " I think we have a chance to score alot of points this year, i mean, alot of points"
Holgersen stopped short of saying this was the best offense he has coached in his career, but did insinuate they could be by saying " you know, i have had opportunity to coach some powerful offenses through the years and yeah, this one could be, well probably should end up on top of the list"
WVU had its share of hype offensively in the preseason and after only 1:34 of game action into the 2018 season it quickly lived up to the billing. QB Will Grier launched his Heisman campaign and SR season by hitting TJ Simmons on a 17 yard slant in middle of endzone to put the Mountaineers on the board. The play capped a four play 83 yard drive, highlighted by a Grier to David Sills 55 yard bomb on the games opening play .Evan Staleys extra point gave #20 WVU a 7-0 lead over the Volunteers .
The WVU defense gave up a couple first down runs on its first action of the season but forced a Tennessee punt that gave the EERS the ball back at thier own 26 yard line with just under 10 minutes to go, first quarter .Grier once again found Simmons, this time on a 13 yard strike. A false start pentalty made it first and 15 on the 34 yard line before Kennedy McCoy took a delayed handoff 53 yards to the Tenn 13 yard line. A quick dive by Martell Petteway took ball to 11 yard line before Grier and Sills hooked up again in corner of endzone, capping four play 74 yard drive in just 1:28 of action.
This was just the beginning of a record day for WVU as they would add 5 more first half TDs before a healthy flock of loyal fans and a national TV audience. Tennessee could muster only a kickoff return TD in 2nd quarter before heading to lockeroom down 49-6.
All told the WVU offense racked up 468 yards of total offense in first half with Grier completing 16 of 19 passes for 313 yards and 5 TDs before intermission. The ground game was efficient as well rolling up 155 yards on 17 carries, led by McCoys 10 carries for 106 yards and a score . The long awaited debut of Alec Sinkfield didnt dissapoint as the Freshman carried 4 times for 38 yards including a 22 yard sweep that set up a Grier to Gary Jennings 19 yard score .
Lost in the offensive onslaught was a dominant first half by the defensive unit as well .WVU surrendered just 109 yards to Tenn and just five first downs . The 2nd half proved just as entertaining as Grier would find Marcus Simms and David Sills on matching 58 yard scores before retiring to the bench with 2:58 to go in 3rd quarter .For the game Grier completed 23 of 30 passes for 469 yards and 7 TDs with no interceptions .
Jack Allison played final quarter plus at QB, completing 7 of 11 passes for 64 yards but did throw ill advised interception late in game .
The ground game continued to pound as game went on, finally churning out 256 yards on ground to give EERS 789 yards of total offense while possesing the ball just over 24 minutes in game .
McCoy finished with 14 totes for 125 yards while Sinkfield added 113 on just 7 carries .In total, 11 players caught at least one pass on the day, led by Jennings and Simmons with 7 catches each and one TD .All-American David Sills hauled in 6 passes for 189 yards and three TDs .
The defense continued its dominance in 2nd half giving up just 299 yards of total offense and keeping Tenn out of endzone until mass substitution patterns allowed a couple late scores by Tenn. David Long led the squad with 15 tackles, Kenny Robinson added 10 and a interception .The Stills brothers, Darrius and Dante combined for back to back sacks in third quarter, part of WVUs 8 sacks on the day .
Though coach H acknowledged the teams play " i didnt see a whole lot that went wrong tonight" he cautioned fans to maintain thier composure because there is 12 games to go, but added " i am just as excited as any fan to see where this team can go"
With a 77- 20 win over Tenn, it seems the sky may not be the limit.
WVU hosts Youngstown State, Saturday in Morgantown while Tenn has week off .Coach Jeremy Pruitt, while obviously disappointed, added this " we are young, but will get better each week" and about his opponent today " what you were watching today was a team that barring major injury, may run the table and set records that most people dont know exist
 

TheTruthof2018

Redshirt
Jul 28, 2018
314
47
0
Football is a game of percentages so anything can happen.

I don't think Tennessee will abandon the run unless they get down 28-0 and that will be hard.

This game will be all about situational football something that lacked last year.

Third down conversions on offense and defense

Red zone TD percentage


If I was a WVU fan I would worry about WVU getting inside the ten and not punching it in and because of how UT wants to play they can cash in on less chances.

If WVU goes 3-7 inside the red zone with 3 TDs 2 FGs 1 Turnover on Downs and 1 Turnover all Tennessee has to do is go 4-4 to win the game.


Like I said anything can happen but even down 17-0 Tennessee is a team because of who they have on staff and Pruitt learning under Saban that will not abandon the run.


Most important stat
1. Holding Tennessee under 200 yards rushing
2. WVU rushing for 100 yards
 

WVUALLEN

All-American
Aug 4, 2009
72,655
5,451
113
Football is a game of percentages so anything can happen.

I don't think Tennessee will abandon the run unless they get down 28-0 and that will be hard.

This game will be all about situational football something that lacked last year.

Third down conversions on offense and defense

Red zone TD percentage


If I was a WVU fan I would worry about WVU getting inside the ten and not punching it in and because of how UT wants to play they can cash in on less chances.

If WVU goes 3-7 inside the red zone with 3 TDs 2 FGs 1 Turnover on Downs and 1 Turnover all Tennessee has to do is go 4-4 to win the game.


Like I said anything can happen but even down 17-0 Tennessee is a team because of who they have on staff and Pruitt learning under Saban that will not abandon the run.


Most important stat
1. Holding Tennessee under 200 yards rushing
2. WVU rushing for 100 yards

I would say WVU needs to rush for 150 plus. With no more than 1 turnover. Tennessee can run for 200 it won't kill us. Now give them 275 or more and we are dead.

In the red zone WVU needs to utilize the TE. Plus mix up run and pass. Slant pass is always huge in red zone.

I don't think Tennessee will go 4 for 4 in red zone.

Thing is will Tennessee be successful with a grind it out offense? Will they be capable of making big plays to score. Cause if they fall behind 21-0 with this WVU offense then they will need some big plays.
 

TheTruthof2018

Redshirt
Jul 28, 2018
314
47
0
I would say WVU needs to rush for 150 plus. With no more than 1 turnover. Tennessee can run for 200 it won't kill us. Now give them 275 or more and we are dead.

In the red zone WVU needs to utilize the TE. Plus mix up run and pass. Slant pass is always huge in red zone.

I don't think Tennessee will go 4 for 4 in red zone.

Thing is will Tennessee be successful with a grind it out offense? Will they be capable of making big plays to score. Cause if they fall behind 21-0 with this WVU offense then they will need some big plays.


Not truthfully.
The common belief is when down big open up the offense.
Especially in the first half that is not smart

Watch the Baylor/WV game last year.
Baylor was able to almost come back because they stuck to their game plan.

Point is in the red zone teams who live off the big play struggle while teams who control the line of scrimmage score TDs.
If WVU can neutralize Tennessee's strength on the lines they will win big
If not then Tennessee has a great chance to win a close game.
 

WVUALLEN

All-American
Aug 4, 2009
72,655
5,451
113
Not truthfully.
The common belief is when down big open up the offense.
Especially in the first half that is not smart

Watch the Baylor/WV game last year.
Baylor was able to almost come back because they stuck to their game plan.

Point is in the red zone teams who live off the big play struggle while teams who control the line of scrimmage score TDs.
If WVU can neutralize Tennessee's strength on the lines they will win big
If not then Tennessee has a great chance to win a close game.

Baylor avg 3.0 yards a carry. WVU averaged 4.1 Baylor had 82 offensive plays. Baylor no longer uses a speed up type game. WVU pass coverage is avg or worse. Baylor only had 50 more yards rushing than WVU.

Baylor 4th quarter was big plays not big drives or red zone. They scored 23 in 4th. They had 52 yard TD pass a run of 40 yards for TD. They had big plays to get back in it. Had nothing to do with sticking to game plan. WVU had a couple injuries and Baylor exposed that.

WVU offense failed in the 4th by not getting 1st downs. Thus making a defense with no depth even weaker.

Baylor net yards rushing was 127 and WVU 117