After watching them against Mich I would agree but it's hard to make to much of one dual or one result.
Going into the year the thought was Bo and NATO would be in the NC conversation and both have looked like making the semis might be tough. McKenna also hasn't progressed as hoped.
If OhSt can't get big points at 125,149,157,and 165 it won't matter that Nolf is out and Hall and Joeseph might not repeat.
My assessment of watching MI v tOSU was that Michigan wrestled very tough and got some upsets as a result. Think they could've/should've won the dual as Abounader had a couple "danger" situations on Martin which looked like could've got 2 backpoints or result in Martin bailing out if the ref had been up to speed with the match. I didn't see the dual as diminishing what Oh St is likely to do in the tournament.
However, if OSU is really going to have a chance the next two years 19 & 20 to make a run at the title, they really need to show this year that they've got guys (like MI did) who can upset some folks. It can't all just wait till next season. It needs to come this year from the experienced guys. I think Picc can, Brock's only upset would be Gross, but the other experienced guys Rogers, Weigel, & White need to show they can knock off a higher seeded wrestler to get to that next level it'll take to win a team title. IMO we haven't yet seen that in duals, hopefully they are peaking for it tourney time. To beat an Oh St or Penn St will have to directly knock off a couple of their higher seeded wrestlers.