Bye Bye COVID

TuesdayJ

Heisman
Jan 4, 2011
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i hope he's right too. after reading the article linked

 
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ChicagoTiger85

Hall of Famer
Dec 6, 2004
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If we can get to 3 million vaccinated per day, he'll be right. We've already hit 2 million per day on some days, and that's without the J&J vaccine that will be approved at the end of the month, and which only requires one dose. There could be other vaccines approved in March, too.

We also need to keep developing effective therapeutics, because then it won't matter that much how many people are vaccinated.
 

ChicagoTiger85

Hall of Famer
Dec 6, 2004
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The man will never let this happen. If cases are underreported by 6.5 times....then the virus is 6.5 times less deadly than we've been told.
Haven't they been saying that? That's what an IFR is for. Otherwise, the case fatality rate is 1.74%.

I think state leaders really want to be able to completely open up their economies. It doesn't benefit them to keep things closed.
 

ChicagoTiger85

Hall of Famer
Dec 6, 2004
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I agree...but what's stopping them?

There's another segment of the economy that doesn't want the economy to open up at all.
The ones who don't want the economy to open up are the ones who are really risk averse. They think it's currently too dangerous for things to be open. They'll cautiously open things up as the pandemic dies down, just like they have in most places that had harsher public health measures. I do think there's some incentive for government leaders to make things appear to be worse than they are so that people won't go out and spread the virus, but once we really get going with vaccination they won't have the excuse of either high case numbers or the potential for people to increase the spread of the virus.

It seems like some people are just being overly cautious about telling the public when they can expect enough people to be inoculated, because they don't want people to think they can disregard public health measures when we get to that date and not enough people are vaccinated. I can't really say exactly why they're making that their strategy, because I don't think it's effective except for people who are among the most risk averse anyway.
 

white5203

All-Conference
Dec 6, 2007
361
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The man will never let this happen. If cases are underreported by 6.5 times....then the virus is 6.5 times less deadly than we've been told.
Ah, you’re seeing that wrong. Let me help...The virus is 6.5 times more contagious than originally thought. Thus, we must take even more drastic measures to minimize the spread. Stay home, wear 2-3 masks, close schools/businesses, etc etc etc.
 

AustinTiger77

All-Conference
Aug 27, 2007
1,922
2,899
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15% of the population gets vaccinated, and 77% decrease in that time. I'm not a math major, but I'm calling BS


The decrease is largely due to the crest of the post holiday wave. This is exactly what the modeling my hospital uses predicted. When people feel like this wave is over and decide to get together (especially indoors) hospitals will fill up again, especially as the new more catchy variant become more prevalent.