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Bracket Projection 10-17-2022 - GrizzlyDevil

GrizzlyDevil

GrizzlyDevil

All-American
Nov 22, 2011
4,173
7,947
113
WESTEAST
1 EASTERN RANDOLPH1 TARBORO
32 SOUTH STANLY32 CHATHAM CENTRAL
16 SOUTH STOKES16 SOUTHEAST HALIFAX
17 WINSTON SALEM PREP17 BEAR GRASS
9 HAYESVILLE9 HOBBTON
24 SOUTH DAVIDSON24 EAST COLUMBUS
8 ROBBINSVILLE8 NORTH EDGECOMBE
25 CHERRYVILLE25 PAMLICO COUNTY
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4 CHRIST THE KING4 NORTHAMPTON CO
29 AVERY COUNTY29 UNION
13 NORTH ROWAN13 WEST COLUMBUS
20 CARVER20 WELDON
12 MITCHELL12 WARREN COUNTY
21 ALLEGHANY21 WASHINGTON CO
5 THOMASVILLE5 SOUTHSIDE
28 ALBEMARLE28 SOUTH CREEK
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------------------------------
2 ANDREWS2 NORTH MOORE
31 HIGHLAND TECH31 LEJEUNE
15 SWAIN COUNTY15 NORTH DUPLIN
18 MOUNTAIN HERITAGE18 BERTIE
10 EAST WILKES10 WILSON PREP
23 THOMAS JEFFERSON23 PERQUIMANS
7 MURPHY7 RIVERSIDE-MARTIN
26 BISHOP MCGUINNESS26 NW HALIFAX
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3 MOUNT AIRY3 ROSEWOOD
30 NORTH STOKES30 JONES
14 MOUNTAIN ISLAND14 NORTHSIDE-PINETOWN
19 BESSEMER CITY19 LAKEWOOD
11 STARMOUNT11 GATES COUNTY
22 UNION ACADEMY22 KIPP
6 DRAUGHN6 PENDER
27 CHEROKEE27 ROCKY MOUNT PREP
------------------------------
Looking InNot Enough Games to Qualify
ELKINCOLUMBIA
ROSMAN

**Edited to reflect @mbdfan post below. I don't know how I left Draughn out of the CC.
 
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GrizzlyDevil

GrizzlyDevil

All-American
Nov 22, 2011
4,173
7,947
113
mbdfan said:
Question, why is Mitchell projected as your WHC champion? If Mitchell isn't the conference champion where would they be seed wise, #12?
Click to expand...
WEST
1 EASTERN RANDOLPH
32 SOUTH STANLY
16 SOUTH STOKES
17 WINSTON SALEM PREP
9 HAYESVILLE
24 SOUTH DAVIDSON
8 ROBBINSVILLE
25 CHERRYVILLE
---------------
4 CHRIST THE KING
29 AVERY COUNTY
13 NORTH ROWAN
20 CARVER
12 MITCHELL
21 ALLEGHANY
5 THOMASVILLE
28 ALBEMARLE
---------------
---------------
2 ANDREWS
31 HIGHLAND TECH
15 SWAIN COUNTY
18 MOUNTAIN HERITAGE
10 EAST WILKES
23 THOMAS JEFFERSON
7 MURPHY
26 BISHOP MCGUINNESS
---------------
3 MOUNT AIRY
30 NORTH STOKES
14 MOUNTAIN ISLAND
19 BESSEMER CITY
11 STARMOUNT
22 UNION ACADEMY
6 DRAUGHN
27 CHEROKEE
---------------
Looking In
ELKIN
ROSMAN

updated: you are right...I was wrong. for some reason on this week's edit I had Draughn marked as a 2A school when I went through conference standings but still had them making it as a WC? ...don't know how I did that.
 
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Old Mountaineer

Old Mountaineer

All-American
Nov 4, 2018
4,006
5,702
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I've been thinking after after all games are played that Thomasville may pass CTK as #4 but looking at this doesn't look like there's much difference between being #4 or #5.
I originally thought if Startmount doesn't beat East Wilkes that they and Mitchell would probably switch places but looking at what their owp probably be in the end doesn't look like Mitchell can catch up and will probably stay at #12. While if Startmount beats East Wilkes will pass them up with one less win but a higher owp and with in striking distance of Robinnsville but though will have a higher owp their oowp will probably keep them from passing them.
 
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Old Mountaineer

Old Mountaineer

All-American
Nov 4, 2018
4,006
5,702
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DaBluePrint1 said:
Starmount beating EW will not be considered an upset. Matter of fact i expect it....If EW doesn't match Starmount's physicality and intensity, which will be very tough.
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Yeah I used upset because of overall record and ranking but just looking at their schedules probably shouldn't have used that word Startmount played two undefeated teams that would have beaten EW as well which is why they have a higher owp. I'll edit that.
 
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ocdavis31

All-American
Nov 9, 2013
4,468
5,625
0
Old Mountaineer said:
I've been thinking after after all games are played that Thomasville may pass CTK as #4 but looking at this doesn't look like there's much difference between being #4 or #5.
I originally thought if Startmount doesn't beat East Wilkes that they and Mitchell would probably switch places but looking at what their owp probably be in the end doesn't look like Mitchell can catch up and will probably stay at #12. While if Startmount beats East Wilkes will pass them up with one less win but a higher owp and with in striking distance of Robinnsville but though will have a higher owp their oowp will probably keep them from passing them.
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The difference in 4 and 5 is the difference in a third round home game. Of course, that’s assuming that the higher seeds continue to win, which we all know isn’t likely.
It’s my opinion that home games are important, especially as the travel becomes more distant.
 
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Old Mountaineer

Old Mountaineer

All-American
Nov 4, 2018
4,006
5,702
113
ocdavis31 said:
The difference in 4 and 5 is the difference in a third round home game. Of course, that’s assuming that the higher seeds continue to win, which we all know isn’t likely.
It’s my opinion that home games are important, especially as the travel becomes more distant.
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True. As far as distance only about an hour between CTK and Thomasville if they get that far but of course you do want to play home.
 
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Old Mountaineer

Old Mountaineer

All-American
Nov 4, 2018
4,006
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ocdavis31 said:
For sure. The trip to the far western part of the state is more critical.
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Everyone east of Asheville usually wants to avoid having to drive to a SMC school lol.
On this current possible bracket some of longest possible journeys I see would be in the second round if East Wilkes went to Murphy 4 hrs 8 min and in a possible 3rd round Robinnsville going to Eastern Randolph 4 hrs 40 min.
In the first round Bishop McGuinness to Murphy 4 hrs 26 min if a 1 or 2 win team wants to bother and South Davidson to Hayesville 4 hrs 28 min.
 
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TarVikes

All-Conference
Nov 23, 2017
2,137
4,303
0
Someone better at math than me can probably figure it out but is there any chance North Moore could jump Tarboro in the RPI if they both win out?
 
Old Mountaineer

Old Mountaineer

All-American
Nov 4, 2018
4,006
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113
TarVikes said:
Someone better at math than me can probably figure it out but is there any chance North Moore could jump Tarboro in the RPI if they both win out?
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Looking at their current RPI I don't see how with Tarboro having just one game left and Riverside & NM with two I don't see them even jumping Riverside ether.
NM problem is their owp is 0.39583 and looking at their and their pass opponents remaining games I doubt it will get above at best 0.3999 or very low .04000 depending on how they round it up and how some conference games go. While NM opw is 0.51563 and Tarboro's 0.56746 plus their oowp is lower and probably won't catch up with NM and definitely not with Tarboro's.
 
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