Big 10 locks for the NCAA tourney

RUfinal4

All-Conference
Apr 24, 2006
15,759
1,931
0
currently I think Maryland is the only lock with 22 wins and 12 conference wins.

PSU may need 1 more win to be a lock. They have 10 conference wins and 20 overall. If they lose out they will be overall 20-12 and 10-10 in conference (10-11 incl B10 tourney).

My rationale for a lock is that a team is in a position where if they lose out they still make the tourney.

About 8 or so teams in the conference are locks for at least an NIT bid right now.

Locks to miss all tourneys
Nebraska, Northwestern - both can't get to 10 conference wins or an overall winning record

12-12 Minny and 14-13 Purdue are the next 2 that can be eliminated if they get to a point where they will finish under 500 which would mean no NIT consideration. Minny probably can't make the NCAA unless they win the conf tourney (or make a huge run) since winning out gets them to 18-12 overall and 12-8 in conference for the regular season. With 2 B10 tourney wins they can potentially get to 20-13 which may get them consideration.
 

fluoxetine

Heisman
Nov 11, 2012
23,529
16,898
0
Locks
Maryland
Penn St.
Michigan St.
Ohio St.
Iowa

>99%
Michigan
Illinois

>95%
Wisconsin
Rutgers

35-50% (0-2 of this group makes it, most likely 1)
Indiana
Purdue
Minnesota

0%
Northwestern
Nebraska
 

kcg88

Heisman
Aug 11, 2017
10,862
17,230
0
Penn State is in even if they lose out and finish 10-10. They have an addition Quad 1 and three Quad 2 wins in the non-conference and would only have one Q3 loss (at Northwestern, if it were to happen).
 
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