Aggie Analytics with an interesting tweet thread (lengthy)

[Maroon Eagle]

As my first tweet storm from this account, I want to show something I’ve been working on. pic.twitter.com/bM1cpL61l7— Aggie Analytics (@Aggie_Analytics) September 25, 2019

This is kind of my fill in while I wait for @ESPN_BillC to release his adjusted Success Rate, IsoPPP, and other goodies. The Yards/Play, Success Rates, and Exp. Plays should exclude garbage time, kneel downs, etc. but are obvious unadjusted for opponents.— Aggie Analytics (@Aggie_Analytics) September 25, 2019

The Points/Drive comes from @bcfremeau so they exclude FCS games and follow all his rules.— Aggie Analytics (@Aggie_Analytics) September 25, 2019

The Explosive plays % is just “What % of your successful plays are big ones?” If that makes sense. Using Bill C’s rules of 15+ yards for runs and 20+ yards for passes.— Aggie Analytics (@Aggie_Analytics) September 25, 2019

And here’s the SEC East pic.twitter.com/6EmsSwljUx— Aggie Analytics (@Aggie_Analytics) September 25, 2019

All the per/play data comes from @CFB_Data, who does an incredible job of making it super easy for big dumb idiots like me to play around with stats.— Aggie Analytics (@Aggie_Analytics) September 25, 2019

 

[Shmuley]

Waiting for executive summary.

 

[missouridawg]

Waiting for executive summary.

We are really good at explosive plays
We struggle defending the run
Auburn stats show they are average at running (but this is misleading cause they’ve played two solid defenses so far)

TLDR: Bet AU -6.5 in 1H and -12 in the game.

 

[Maroon Eagle]

My interpretation: Expect Auburn to run the ball with some success against us. State will struggle offensively but will get a long play or two making us wonder why we can't string some good drives together.

 

[Maroon Eagle]

^^Agreed.

 

[RiverCityDawg]

One takeaway I have from this is it would be a waste to play Willie and/or Autry against UT or Arkansas. Their offenses are abysmal. Ole miss too, but I think you go against the numbers on that because you absolutely can't lose it and never know about injuries at that point.

 

[philduckworth]

One takeaway I have from this is it would be a waste to play Willie and/or Autry against UT or Arkansas. Their offenses are abysmal. Ole miss too, but I think you go against the numbers on that because you absolutely can't lose it and never know about injuries at that point.

If was in charge, Autry would not have played against USM-obviously.

I would have played Autry and Gay together vs UK, AU, A&M, and LSU.

 

[TheStateUofMS]

My interpretation: Expect Auburn to run the ball with some success against us. State will struggle offensively but will get a long play or two making us wonder why we can't string some good drives together.

If this comes to fruition, it would be exactly like the UK game, except Auburn will stick with the run whereas Stoops was an idiot and quit running the ball.

 

[Diggin Out Yo Wife]

If was in charge, Autry would not have played against USM-obviously.

I would have played Autry and Gay together vs UK, AU, A&M, and LSU.

One thing you have to remember (if the Autry and Gay 4 game stuff is true) is that by the end of the year, Lovett, Crumedy and Jackson should be much better players than in the beginning of September.

 

[forestdepth]

Waiting for executive summary.

Or as I’ve heard a CEO say, “Son, just show me the baby. I don’t want to be there for the birth”

 

[Shamoan]

 

[IBleedMaroonDawg]

One takeaway I have from this is it would be a waste to play Willie and/or Autry against UT or Arkansas. Their offenses are abysmal. Ole miss too, but I think you go against the numbers on that because you absolutely can't lose it and never know about injuries at that point.

It really doesn't matter which games they play in, half the board will be happy and the other half will ***** whichever game they play.

 

[Nunya.sixpack]

View attachment 14118

 

[Rupert Jenkins]

I can't imagine we will struggle against UT or Arky. We very well may lose to Auburn but I don't see a reason not to try with everything we have. Nobody picked us to win last year and we flat out dominated them

 

[maroonmania]

If was in charge, Autry would not have played against USM-obviously.

I would have played Autry and Gay together vs UK, AU, A&M, and LSU.

Seems nobody can really understand why Autry was even in an entry level course like what was involved with Tutorgate given he was an upperclassmen. I thought I saw where he had already graduated but maybe I'm wrong.

 

[Diggin Out Yo Wife]

Seems nobody can really understand why Autry was even in an entry level course like what was involved with Tutorgate given he was an upperclassmen. I thought I saw where he had already graduated but maybe I'm wrong.

We still don't really know this, I'm guessing. I am assuming that if Autry doesn't play this weekend then he was involved in Tutorgate.

 

[VegasDawg13]

Seems nobody can really understand why Autry was even in an entry level course like what was involved with Tutorgate given he was an upperclassmen. I thought I saw where he had already graduated but maybe I'm wrong.

It's not that hard for me to believe that a senior would choose as an elective a class where he knew he could get an A without doing any work. Why are others so hung up on this?

 

[missouridawg]

I can't imagine we will struggle against UT or Arky. We very well may lose to Auburn but I don't see a reason not to try with everything we have. Nobody picked us to win last year and we flat out dominated them

Arkansas certainly looks like a pushover, but I'm just not going to count Tennessee as a sure win until the clock hits zeroes. And here's why.... Just 3 years ago, we lost to South Alabama as a 30 point favorite, at home. 7 days later we beat USCe by double digits. The TN loss to GaState was awful... but it took a miracle by BYU to beat them the next weekend. The Florida team that beat TN is just way better than them (and us).

The one thing we have going for TN, is that we are in the middle of murderer's row for them. FL, UGA, MSU, and Bama all in a row.

I think we win, but I certainly think Pruitt is probably circling this game to unload his bag of tricks, because it's his only hope of winning a game until late October.

 

[philduckworth]

he took an easy A elective. It's pretty easy to understand.

 

[philduckworth]

Arkansas is an easy win. I agree UT can beat us. UT is a tougher game than Ole Miss.

 

[Go Budaw]

I think we win, but I certainly think Pruitt is probably circling this game to unload his bag of tricks, because it's his only hope of winning a game until late October.

I think its going pretty far out on a limb to assume Pruitt even knows how to draw a circle at this point.

 

[SirBarksalot]

It really doesn't matter which games they play in, half the board will be happy and the other half will ***** whichever game they play.

lets just hope the anger is directed at the dumbass players who cheated not our ****** Yankee head coach.

 

[Maroon Eagle]

I think I would play Autry and Gay against Ole Miss and Tennessee and I'm halfway considering playing both against Arkansas though I'm tempted to at least play one against aTm.

 

[forestdepth]

I would be tempted to play Willie against Auburn, Tenn, and A&M and not against UMiss thinking that leaving him without that final egg bowl taste in his mouth it would bring him back for next year...

 

[Bulldogg31]

On Tennessee, I think it’s interesting that Georgia State is now 2-2 with a close win over Furman followed by getting blown out 57-10 by Western Michigan and losing 37-34 to Texas State. That’s not a good football team.

Tennessee is horrible. We don’t need the suspended players to beat them.