2027 NCAA for RU?

bigbirdru

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Not disrespecting you, however could you provide a link to where you are getting these #'s ?
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"As was outlined during the search, Iowa’s ability to pay players, both with revenue-sharing and NIL dollars (the latter via the Iowa SWARM Collective), will be the biggest key in what type of roster McCollum can initially put together. If Iowa can be in the $4.5 million range, which I'm told is a realistic expectation when combined with revenue sharing, that's a decent starting point."
 
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bigbirdru

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Or Stirtz was a great player and McCollum got lucky. And yes, everyone knows Stritz story. People love to use the anomalies for reason their team can do better. It’s the exception not the rule. I can guarantee that McCollum will get a lot more NIL money from Iowa or he will be looking for a new home (like Willard). playing without NIL is a recipe for disaster.
Before NIL there was always the debate about coaches who could or couldn't recruit, and did more with less, or vice versa. Randy Edsall at UCONN football- many on this board loved him for doing "more with less". Dave Wannestadt- Pitt football coach- always had great recruiting classes but did "less with more".

Does your coach make the whole greater than the sum of its parts? Some places, like UNC, Kentucky, Kansas, they don't have to ask that question. they are so loaded with players that it raises their floor. Of course still not to their fanbases satisfaction- see Calipari at Kentucky. But Iowa, Nebraska, and yes Rutgers- you need someone who can create a whole greater than the sum of its parts.
 

bac2therac

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Bob Chaewsky_rivals

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We def aren’t the level of these teams. I also don’t think the final version of our team was that terrible, they clearly figured out a bunch of ther issues. We need good transfers. I don’t think we require super stars though, and I believe Pike can get a group of 7-8 B1G quality players to a decent level. And I bring up the fact we played MSU close to showcase how we don’t need to be an extremely good team to steal a few games off the top of the pack, and need to avoid losing much to the teams we have the ability to compete against and beat. It’ll take a few hits in the portal, improvement, and some good results to get to the tourney. But it’s not impossible.
Being all ISO Pike needs some outstanding players, not just good.
 

Bob Chaewsky_rivals

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Everyone is a superior coach when you have better players or the money to find them.....AND have the money to replace the mistakes or misses.

Keep in mind, Gavin Griffiths was a Top 50 recruit....and so was Pryce Sandfort who was also at Iowa under Fran McCaffery.

Hoiberg got Gavin Griffiths out of the portal after he left RU....better offense suited for that type of player is allegedly what was expected.....he would have better shots, screens set.....only problem was Griffiths never put the work in on defense and other areas....so he transfered down another level or 2 to Temple

Hoiberg isnt locked into developing a Griffiths, he just goes to the Nebraska donors and gets more money to fix the mistakes.....and then McCaffery gets fired and Sandfort, who is miles better than Griffiths, but fits the Hoiberg catch and shoot, playmaking system, is available.

If Sandfort doesnt land at Nebraska, they're not a 4 seed....maybe Hoiberg would have landed another similar player instead of Sandfort, but you have to have the money and ability to fix mistakes immediately, in order to win.

RU is in a place where we are deciding or hoping on who to retain, which is different than saying we are replacing Lino Mark with an upgrade OR we are getting a guard to play along side our upgraded backcourt, so Tariq Francis is properly used as a 6th man, not a 32 minutes a game starter.

On any other NCAA tournament team, Francis is the 6th man off the bench, playing 22 to 24 minutes, mixing and matchups against teams.

We are in agreement on Hoiberg being a more skilled coach than Pike, but it also took him 7 years to figure out that you have to find skilled big men in the B1G AND play some defense......otherwise. he becomes the same thing that Fran McCaffery ran into at Iowa.....lots of 3 and offense and no wins of relevance in the NCAAs.

It's one thing to hope to retain players and hope they develop (Mark, Powers, Grant, Nwuli) and another to just flat out go into the 2026 HS class and land a 5* or 4* to start or come off the bench, like USC or UCLA just did.
Pike is terrible, but Hoiberg isn't any better.
 

needmorecowbell

Heisman
Oct 28, 2007
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????

1.5-1.7 million isnt 50% of 4-5 million

Iowa also couldnt keep rising star Josh Dix who transferred out to Creighton for $1.5 mil
Thought you ment Iowa’s NIL was 3-3.5M for 2025-26 and it was 5M for 2026-27. I guess you ment 2024-25 and 2025-26. Got it now. Seems fair. Still 20-30% more than RU and they got major discounts with the Drake players. Going to be hard to replicate that again. They should have a lot more NIL next season.
 
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bac2therac

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Thought you ment Iowa’s NIL was 3-3.5M for 2025-26 and it was 5M for 2026-27. I guess you ment 2024-25 and 2025-26. Got it now. Seems fair. Still 20-30% more than RU and they got major discounts with the Drake players. Going to be hard to replicate that again. They should have a lot more NIL next season.
Yes..not talking about 26-27 because its total speculation for all schools

Yes both schools increased from 24 to 25 and now will likely get much more but McCullum isnt just about paying..he wants fit
 

Scarlet Shack

Heisman
Feb 3, 2004
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Just being honest, if we spend a lot of our money on retaining our own players and maybe buy a C and another player can we really hope to run with some of the teams I e witnessed these first three days? Especially today, this is some high level ball and I don’t think that’s going to be enough. Watching this barn burner of NEB Vandy and we’re just not at this level of talent, ball movement, defense etc. I also believe there is a Rutgers tax. Why would a good C want to come here? No recent history of playing in the ncaa. Potential lame duck coach that couldn’t win with lottery picks. Surrounded by the same team as last year. Maybe we over pay for a low to mid major C with flaws. That’s just not going to cut it. Add in the posters telling me we’re still going to be $4-5M short of a competitive roster and I’m losing excitement about next years team already. Time will tell us for certain, and I hope I’m wrong, but I just don’t see it. I also hope it’s not another 25 years to make it back to the NCAAs.
I appreciate that perspective ….

My big concern is that we continue to NOT fix the foundation of the problem…recrutong high school pkayers that are good enoohh that yoh have to retain them

We only have 2 kids from the class of 2024 and we only recruited one in the class of 2026

we need to recruit 3-5 kids every year so 2 stick …and we keep NOT doing that !!!
 

dark_check

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I appreciate that perspective ….

My big concern is that we continue to NOT fix the foundation of the problem…recrutong high school pkayers that are good enoohh that yoh have to retain them

We only have 2 kids from the class of 2024 and we only recruited one in the class of 2026

we need to recruit 3-5 kids every year so 2 stick …and we keep NOT doing that !!!
I understand and respect what you are saying but when all we hear as a major excuse for why we failed is that you can’t win with freshmen. even of Ace and Dylan’s caliber, why would increase our efforts into HS recruiting when they can still demand hundreds of thousands of dollars before ever stepping foot on a college court?
 

NickRU714

Heisman
Aug 18, 2009
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I appreciate that perspective ….

My big concern is that we continue to NOT fix the foundation of the problem…recrutong high school pkayers that are good enoohh that yoh have to retain them

We only have 2 kids from the class of 2024 and we only recruited one in the class of 2026

we need to recruit 3-5 kids every year so 2 stick …and we keep NOT doing that !!!

This year we had:
2 recruits from 2023: Davis and Ogbole
2 recruits from 2024: Dortch and Grant
7 recruits from 2025: Mark, Powers, Zrno, Badalau, Ware, Nwuli, Jones

What are you talking about?
The main problem has been Pike’s poor freshman recruiting and that the ones who "stick" dont develop.
 

PSAL_Hoops

Heisman
Feb 18, 2008
13,096
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This year we had:
2 recruits from 2023: Davis and Ogbole
2 recruits from 2024: Dortch and Grant
7 recruits from 2025: Mark, Powers, Zrno, Badalau, Ware, Nwuli, Jones

What are you talking about?
The main problem has been Pike’s poor freshman recruiting and that the ones who "stick" dont develop.

Seems like we’re destined to have at least 6 returning “system” kids next season for better or worse (which ones TBD).

At the end of the day, the trajectory of next season (from an off season outlook perspective) will depend largely on a combination of who we bring in from the portal and Tariq Francis. Whichever 5 or so returning guys come back they will project to be complementary. We can hope for growth but certainly can’t bank on it.

We must add 3 players who would play more than half the game on this year’s team (2 of the 3 would ideally be clear and away good enough to warrant 30 mpg over the options on the current roster - foul trouble permitting). One of them must be a center.

This is what needs to happen to make us a lot more competitive. This would translate into a significant talent upgrade to 40% of our overall court minutes (80 of 200) and hopefully improvement from year over year development from the other 120 returning minutes. Obviously this doesn’t account for frosh coming in and beating guys out, etc. But at face value, this is what we should be hoping for.

No matter what we do - 2 prove power conference level starters is the hard maximum number we’re going to be realistically buying on the portal. So if we wiped out our entire roster and went on a shopping spree, we’d be reeling in mostly a collection of Jordan Dercack types and hoping a bunch of them pan out. We might get one Tariq, but the problem is we’d more than likely get far more guys who come in at way worse starting points than our returners in acclimating to our system. This method would have no chance of working for Pike. Someone else maybe but not him.
 

Scarlet Shack

Heisman
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This year we had:
2 recruits from 2023: Davis and Ogbole
2 recruits from 2024: Dortch and Grant
7 recruits from 2025: Mark, Powers, Zrno, Badalau, Ware, Nwuli, Jones

What are you talking about?
The main problem has been Pike’s poor freshman recruiting and that the ones who "stick" dont develop.
WTF???

class of 2022 -nothing
Class of 2023 -Jmike
class of 2024- grant and Dortch

that suppsed to be your uoerclasamwn for this year …and we have four players …

When everyone was celebrating the class of 2024, I kept saying , where is the other guard for after dylan and Ace leave next year ????
 

Scarlet Shack

Heisman
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I understand and respect what you are saying but when all we hear as a major excuse for why we failed is that you can’t win with freshmen. even of Ace and Dylan’s caliber, why would increase our efforts into HS recruiting when they can still demand hundreds of thousands of dollars before ever stepping foot on a college court?
Please go look at what the big ten is recrutong as frosh for next year

they are recrutiing frosh at a high level and using the portal to fix mistakes

even Michigan for next year …
 

dark_check

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Please go look at what the big ten is recrutong as frosh for next year

they are recrutiing frosh at a high level and using the portal to fix mistakes

even Michigan for next year …
But they’re getting and can afford top frosh you can build off of. We get three star projects that don’t work out under Pike for the last 5+ years.
 

Scarlet Shack

Heisman
Feb 3, 2004
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But they’re getting and can afford top frosh you can build off of. We get three star projects that don’t work out under Pike for the last 5+ years.
Let’s dig into that statement …that’s not entirely true

class of 2023
Griffths -High 4

Class of 2024
Dylan -5
Ace-5
Sommwrville -4
Grant 4
Dortch high 3

class of 2025
Nuwuki -4 star
Jones -4 star
Mark high 3/low 4 (depending on whose rankings you like )

Class of 2026
Wooten -3

Our issue right now comes still from the class of 2021-2023 run of Getting nothing drom

it didn’t help that we didn’t keep Latham and we didn’t get another guard in that class ….

and we don’t know what we retaib

Now, if you want to say that we aren’t getting the right 4 star kids ….right now , that’s a fair statement based on track record ….

but we have been getting them

part of the reason I’m bewildered was that we needed a good class for next year …and only got Wooten. We badly needed to recruit front court help and we didn’t have a plan B for Adkins or Spurlock……I can’t for the life of me undersrand why we didn’t give out two ships for the front court for next year ….and backfill the portal with upperclassmen
 

dark_check

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Let’s dig into that statement …that’s not entirely true

class of 2023
Griffths -High 4

Class of 2024
Dylan -5
Ace-5
Sommwrville -4
Grant 4
Dortch high 3

class of 2025
Nuwuki -4 star
Jones -4 star
Mark high 3/low 4 (depending on whose rankings you like )

Class of 2026
Wooten -3

Our issue right now comes still from the class of 2021-2023 run of Getting nothing drom

it didn’t help that we didn’t keep Latham and we didn’t get another guard in that class ….

and we don’t know what we retaib

Now, if you want to say that we aren’t getting the right 4 star kids ….right now , that’s a fair statement based on track record ….

but we have been getting them

part of the reason I’m bewildered was that we needed a good class for next year …and only got Wooten. We badly needed to recruit front court help and we didn’t have a plan B for Adkins or Spurlock……I can’t for the life of me undersrand why we didn’t give out two ships for the front court for next year ….and backfill the portal with upperclassmen
When I say 5 years that includes 2021-23. You cherry picked the years to make my statement look false. Also no chance Ace and Dylan were sticking around for a second year as your plan calls for. As for the “right” 4 stars, either than or we get them and don’t know what to do with them. Case in point Gavin was not given the chance to develop. He rode a lot of pine.
 
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NickRU714

Heisman
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WTF???

class of 2022 -nothing
Class of 2023 -Jmike
class of 2024- grant and Dortch

that suppsed to be your uoerclasamwn for this year …and we have four players …

When everyone was celebrating the class of 2024, I kept saying , where is the other guard for after dylan and Ace leave next year ????

Class of 2022: Chol, Woolfolk, Simpson
Class of 2023: Griffiths, Davis, Ogbole
Class of 2024: Lathan, Dortch, Grant (not including Ace/Dylan because they were never returning)

You said we arent recruiting HS.
We are. Pike has just been poor at it.

Not one of those players was mourned when they left. Nobody was "poached" by a better team.
Maybe Lathan but losing his lack of defense was generally seen as a good thing.

And of the players retained(Davis, Dortch, Grant, Ogbole?) - not one is wanted in a key role next year. Most wouldn't be bothered of they were all off the team entirely next year.

Literally 0-12.
And you say Pike needs more HS recruits?
 
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bigbirdru

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Let’s dig into that statement …that’s not entirely true

class of 2023
Griffths -High 4

Class of 2024
Dylan -5
Ace-5
Sommwrville -4
Grant 4
Dortch high 3

class of 2025
Nuwuki -4 star
Jones -4 star
Mark high 3/low 4 (depending on whose rankings you like )

Class of 2026
Wooten -3

Our issue right now comes still from the class of 2021-2023 run of Getting nothing drom

it didn’t help that we didn’t keep Latham and we didn’t get another guard in that class ….

and we don’t know what we retaib

Now, if you want to say that we aren’t getting the right 4 star kids ….right now , that’s a fair statement based on track record ….

but we have been getting them

part of the reason I’m bewildered was that we needed a good class for next year …and only got Wooten. We badly needed to recruit front court help and we didn’t have a plan B for Adkins or Spurlock……I can’t for the life of me undersrand why we didn’t give out two ships for the front court for next year ….and backfill the portal with upperclassmen
Exactly, 21-23 is the problem. There was an air pocket in our recruiting and we have been trying to make wholesale changes to the roster ever since, failing each year.
 

Bob Chaewsky_rivals

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Everyone is a superior coach when you have better players or the money to find them.....AND have the money to replace the mistakes or misses.

Keep in mind, Gavin Griffiths was a Top 50 recruit....and so was Pryce Sandfort who was also at Iowa under Fran McCaffery.

Hoiberg got Gavin Griffiths out of the portal after he left RU....better offense suited for that type of player is allegedly what was expected.....he would have better shots, screens set.....only problem was Griffiths never put the work in on defense and other areas....so he transfered down another level or 2 to Temple

Hoiberg isnt locked into developing a Griffiths, he just goes to the Nebraska donors and gets more money to fix the mistakes.....and then McCaffery gets fired and Sandfort, who is miles better than Griffiths, but fits the Hoiberg catch and shoot, playmaking system, is available.

If Sandfort doesnt land at Nebraska, they're not a 4 seed....maybe Hoiberg would have landed another similar player instead of Sandfort, but you have to have the money and ability to fix mistakes immediately, in order to win.

RU is in a place where we are deciding or hoping on who to retain, which is different than saying we are replacing Lino Mark with an upgrade OR we are getting a guard to play along side our upgraded backcourt, so Tariq Francis is properly used as a 6th man, not a 32 minutes a game starter.

On any other NCAA tournament team, Francis is the 6th man off the bench, playing 22 to 24 minutes, mixing and matchups against teams.

We are in agreement on Hoiberg being a more skilled coach than Pike, but it also took him 7 years to figure out that you have to find skilled big men in the B1G AND play some defense......otherwise. he becomes the same thing that Fran McCaffery ran into at Iowa.....lots of 3 and offense and no wins of relevance in the NCAAs.

It's one thing to hope to retain players and hope they develop (Mark, Powers, Grant, Nwuli) and another to just flat out go into the 2026 HS class and land a 5* or 4* to start or come off the bench, like USC or UCLA just did.
So I guess we should hire eitherJamie Dimon or Elon Musk as our next head coach.
 

Bob Chaewsky_rivals

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There is literally no chance that Pike is gone after next year, based on 1 year of NIL, that is still last in the B1G or bottom 3 in the B1G.

You dont assess coaches after 1 season.....

If that was the case, Schiano would have been gone after an atrocious defensive roster and barely making 2 wins in the B1G..

RU fans are not listening to the AD or President Tate. They have never said anything other than the coaches will have more resources than past years to compete in the portal......that is not saying RU in football or basketball will be able to revamp the entire roster in the portal.

If you have an 8M to 10M budget and expect Pike to make the NCAAs or consider it a huge year for Pike......then fans need to determine what a huge year is.....

Is it 18 wins, 15 losses.....8 wins in the B1G regular season, 12 B1G losses and 1-1 in the B1G tournament??

If its more than that, it means RU has 19 total wins, 9 B1G wins and would be on the bubble.

I don't see 8M to 10M as a real budget to leapfrog Indiana, USC, Washington, Minnesota, who all finished AHEAD of RU ih the standings.......AND staying ahead or equal to Oregon, Maryland.

I think a fair expectation is that RU finishes ahead of Northwestern and Penn State, although both had metrics that were better than RU, other than the B1G standings.

RU is 17th in metrics like NET and Kenpom out of the 18 schools and Maryland has a 5* freshman coming in. Does RU have high 4* or 5* kids incoming as freshman ON TOP of being active in the portal?? As of today the answer is NO.

Zinn said essentially the same thing about the football program less than 90 days ago, that she raised money for Schiano to be more competitive in the portal......what happened this winter??

RU football has the last place rated portal class, 18th out of 18 teams in the B1G....if you are basing the ratings of TOS.

Why would a last place B1G ranked portal class be considered a success or something along those lines for football......BUT we expect something completely different for basketball and the portal??

Do fans actually know what's going on in our conference?? Or are we blindly listening to generic comments from an AD, who is essentially starting from scratch on infrastructure, revenue generating and everything else??

It is an odd or weird stance that isn't in reality. All anyone has to do is pull up the rankings of the recruiting classes.....or are we ignoring that now and magically think Pike pulls rabbits out of hats and instantly things change overnight with 8M or maybe 10M, when most of the league is closer to 12M to 15 or 20M on rosters???
Rutgers last in the Big 10 in NIL money? I guess you never pay attention to anything the mods have to say.
 

ScarletDave

Heisman
Oct 7, 2010
34,595
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NC State and SMU were absolutely horrible the entire second half of the season and made the tournament. NC State lost what 9 in a row to end the year? And in the ACC not the Big Ten. RU would have smoked them. Part of it is the conference we are in it’s hard to stack wins. We played 5 of the elite 8 teams on this year’s schedule. Difficult to get enough to make the tournament
 
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mikeyoc

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Hoiberg is in year 7 made the tournament in year 5 and 7 basically what pike did

difference is you can see they are ascending and not plateauing

he is also a superior coach to pike
And he doesn't recruit players who can't shoot
 

Bob Chaewsky_rivals

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Hoiberg isn’t any better? He has coached circles around pike from a resume stand point

Iowa state was a dead stick when he took that job… he was the foundation for what they’ve done since so much so he got a crack at the NBA from it
You can't just use wins and losses as the only measuring stick of a coach. I look for such things as the way teams execute fundamentals on the court, their offensive execution, their defensive positioning and block out - how they play the post and the passing lanes. Last year I said Rutgers should pursue Shaheen Holloway because of the way his teams did those things. Almost everyone to a T here said there is no way. He's terrible. He's only got 7 wins. The next year he's Big East Coach of The Year ahead of both Pitino and Hurley, two of the best coaches in the history of the game, and after a fourth place finish no less. Hoiberg is not that great.
 
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Mholinko

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You can't just use wins and losses as the only measuring stick of a coach. I look for such things as the way teams execute fundamentals on the court, their offensive execution, their defensive positioning and block out - how they play the post and the passing lanes. Last year I said Rutgers should pursue Shaheen Holloway because of the way his teams did those things. Almost everyone to a T here said there is no way. He's terrible. He's only got 7 wins. The next year he's Big East Coach of The Year ahead of both Pitino and Hurley, two of the best coaches in the history of the game, and after a fourth place finish no less. Hoiberg is not that great.
It’s not the only measuring stick

he has successfully rebuilt two power conference programs and DOES run excellent offense

Also a better recruiter

I would take him here over shaheen for reference