FB: OKLAHOMA GAME WEEK - BY THE NUMBERS
- Thread starter TheResistance
- Start date
I think our rushing defense is going to be a huge difference maker in this game. Mateer is 8/4 td/int ratio and OU is dead last in the league in turnover margin at -4, keep them in third and long and I think we’ll force some mistakes.
They are #3 in 3rd down defense. We are 135th out of 138 teams in 3rd down conversion rate at 26.9%.
Recipe for disaster. But we got this...right?
Recipe for disaster. But we got this...right?
I always think this, the margin for error for us against a good, he even good'ish team, is extremely slim. I think we've been extremely fortunate, but often times good fortune is born from great execution and decision-making. I don't, by any means, think this is an easy W. I do think it's a very winnable game though. There's something to be said for a team and staff just finding ways to win games, and this group certainly seems to have that.
I got UK winning this game and I am not going to be nervouse at the start of the game, like I was at the start of the LSU game. I like our Oline and Dline match ups vs OU.
I think Kentucky has been fortunate but they haven’t played their best. Finding a way against LSU and Carolina while not playing perfect tells me a lot. Go CATS!
We gotta pressure Mateer. He’s prone to boneheaded plays. Can’t give him all day to pick us apart.
Definitely need to keep it 3rd and short so Venables can't dial it up. He and that defense are elite. Our defense needs to be able to keep Matear in the pocket. If they let him run, he's a whole different player.
I'm more concerned about being able to defend 3rd down. We average 5 more first downs per game than OU, despite our struggles on 3rd down. So we're getting more quick first downs or more opportunities.
Keys:
Turnovers - Minchey keep making good decisions, backs and returners protect the ball, and opportunistic defense ... if all of these work out and we're +2 or better in turnover margin, that's a big boost to our chances of winning
Big Plays - Kentucky needs probably three explosive scoring drives (a defensive score would serve the same purpose).
Running game - we don't have to dominate here (though breaking off a couple of big plays won't hurt) modest positive gains on early downs will help us keep to our game plan (physical, downhill grind interspersed with some big shock plays). Concerned if Baxter is out.
Turnovers - Minchey keep making good decisions, backs and returners protect the ball, and opportunistic defense ... if all of these work out and we're +2 or better in turnover margin, that's a big boost to our chances of winning
Big Plays - Kentucky needs probably three explosive scoring drives (a defensive score would serve the same purpose).
Running game - we don't have to dominate here (though breaking off a couple of big plays won't hurt) modest positive gains on early downs will help us keep to our game plan (physical, downhill grind interspersed with some big shock plays). Concerned if Baxter is out.
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