The Athletic ranks all 138 teams for 2026

QuaoarsKing

All-Conference
Mar 11, 2008
6,228
2,967
113

Relevant to us:
6 @ Texas
8 @ LSU
10 Oklahoma
12 @ Ole Miss
15 Alabama
32 @ South Carolina
35 Missouri
36 Auburn
39 @ Minnesota
51 Vanderbilt
68 Mississippi State

I definitely disagree with this and think we should be somewhere around 40 or maybe a bit better. But it hurts the narrative that people around the country respect Lebby and our program more than our own fans do. For example, I don't know any fans, anti-Lebby or otherwise, who are expecting less than a comfortable win at Minnesota.
 
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patdog

Heisman
May 28, 2007
59,761
30,479
113
Several of those are questionable to say the least. Too high, LSU at #8, OU at #10, MS at #12, SC ad #32, Aub at #36. Too low, MSU at #68, TX at #6.
 
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leeinator

All-Conference
Feb 24, 2014
2,705
1,955
113

Relevant to us:
6 @ Texas
8 @ LSU
10 Oklahoma
12 @ Ole Miss
15 Alabama
32 @ South Carolina
35 Missouri
36 Auburn
39 @ Minnesota
51 Vanderbilt
68 Mississippi State

I definitely disagree with this and think we should be somewhere around 40 or maybe a bit better. But it hurts the narrative that people around the country respect Lebby and our program more than our own fans do. For example, I don't know any fans, anti-Lebby or otherwise, who are expecting less than a comfortable win at Minnesota.
I've got Minnesota as a close loss. Probably less than 10 pts. Can we win?....yes, but an on the road game at a B10 middle of the pack school would be a very tough pull for a near-to-bottom SEC team. We'll have to have them make 2-3 critical mistakes to give us a chance. If they play a clean ball control game........oh well. Next!
 
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L4Dawg

All-American
Oct 27, 2016
11,568
7,961
113

Relevant to us:
6 @ Texas
8 @ LSU
10 Oklahoma
12 @ Ole Miss
15 Alabama
32 @ South Carolina
35 Missouri
36 Auburn
39 @ Minnesota
51 Vanderbilt
68 Mississippi State

I definitely disagree with this and think we should be somewhere around 40 or maybe a bit better. But it hurts the narrative that people around the country respect Lebby and our program more than our own fans do. For example, I don't know any fans, anti-Lebby or otherwise, who are expecting less than a comfortable win at Minnesota.
I think we lose at Minnesota.
 

85Bears

All-American
Aug 31, 2019
5,395
5,509
108
Considering NIL, And the Portal, My hat is off to anyone that can really come anywhere close on these preseason projections. Me..., I still have to wait until the third game cough up a reasonable opinion.

Never know how these guys will mesh together, or not.
That’s true for a lot of teams, especially when wagering with roster turnover. There are some teams you can spot and say they got better or they return everybody. Others you stay away from for a couple of weeks. One team that went from horrible to top 25 in the offseason is Oklahoma State, as per many rankings I’ve seen.
 

downwarddawg

Redshirt
Mar 3, 2008
430
17
18

Relevant to us:
6 @ Texas
8 @ LSU
10 Oklahoma
12 @ Ole Miss
15 Alabama
32 @ South Carolina
35 Missouri
36 Auburn
39 @ Minnesota
51 Vanderbilt
68 Mississippi State

I definitely disagree with this and think we should be somewhere around 40 or maybe a bit better. But it hurts the narrative that people around the country respect Lebby and our program more than our own fans do. For example, I don't know any fans, anti-Lebby or otherwise, who are expecting less than a comfortable win at Minnesota.
Most people I've talked to expect a close loss to Minnesota. But all agree it's almost a must win.
I think we beat them. Our defense makes them make mistakes and our offense capitalizes which puts them in a bad spot due to their offensive game plan.
 
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QuaoarsKing

All-Conference
Mar 11, 2008
6,228
2,967
113
I think we're seeing some game theory in the "expectations game" here and across the fanbase.
  • Lebby supporters are talking up the Minnesota game for being a really tough one that we'll probably lose, so that if we do lose, he doesn't get much blowback, and if we win, they can use it to argue that he's gotten a signature, program-changing win.
  • Lebby opposers are talking up the Minnesota game as one that is an absolute must-win, the weakest opponent of the ten P4 teams on our schedule. That way, if we do win, it's not a big deal because we damn well better beat the 10th best team on the schedule, and if we lose, it's time to start making calls for his replacement.
I don't really consider myself a "Lebby Opposer" and I'm not trying to set him up to fail, but I'm generally far more sympathetic to the argument that if we lose to the 3rd easiest team on our schedule (maybe 4th if Vanderbilt reverts to normal), that's a really bad sign for the rest of the season.

I won't quite call the Minnesota game a must win, but we absolutely can't lose to both Minnesota and South Carolina (ranked by The Athletic as 29 and 36 spots better than us, and both on the road). We've got to find a way to AT A MINIMUM go 1-1 against them. There's just no realistic path to 6-6 if we go 0-2.
 
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85Bears

All-American
Aug 31, 2019
5,395
5,509
108
According to CFN preview, they are strong on both lines of scrimmage, especially D line
 

85Bears

All-American
Aug 31, 2019
5,395
5,509
108
I think we're seeing some game theory in the "expectations game" here and across the fanbase.
  • Lebby supporters are talking up the Minnesota game for being a really tough one that we'll probably lose, so that if we do lose, he doesn't get much blowback, and if we win, they can use it to argue that he's gotten a signature, program-changing win.
  • Lebby opposers are talking up the Minnesota game as one that is an absolute must-win, the weakest opponent of the ten P4 teams on our schedule. That way, if we do win, it's not a big deal because we damn well better beat the 10th best team on the schedule, and if we lose, it's time to start making calls for his replacement.
I don't really consider myself a "Lebby Opposer" and I'm not trying to set him up to fail, but I'm generally far more sympathetic to the argument that if we lose to the 3rd easiest team on our schedule (maybe 4th if Vanderbilt reverts to normal), that's a really bad sign for the rest of the season.

I won't quite call the Minnesota game a must win, but we absolutely can't lose to both Minnesota and South Carolina (ranked by The Athletic as 29 and 36 spots better than us, and both on the road). We've got to find a way to AT A MINIMUM go 1-1 against them. There's just no realistic path to 6-6 if we go 0-2.
I think Sellers is terribly overrated but the reason for the optimism surrounding South Carolina is supposedly Beamer really improved the O line.
 

patdog

Heisman
May 28, 2007
59,761
30,479
113
Most people I've talked to expect a close loss to Minnesota. But all agree it's almost a must win.
I think we beat them. Our defense makes them make mistakes and our offense capitalizes which puts them in a bad spot due to their offensive game plan.
I don’t think it’s a must win. It’s a very big game. But win or lose, Carolina, Vandy & Auburn are all winnable games. And who knows we might upset someone. But zero room for any slip ups if we lose that one.
 
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dickiedawg

All-Conference
Feb 22, 2008
4,518
1,428
113

Relevant to us:
6 @ Texas
8 @ LSU
10 Oklahoma
12 @ Ole Miss
15 Alabama
32 @ South Carolina
35 Missouri
36 Auburn
39 @ Minnesota
51 Vanderbilt
68 Mississippi State

I definitely disagree with this and think we should be somewhere around 40 or maybe a bit better. But it hurts the narrative that people around the country respect Lebby and our program more than our own fans do. For example, I don't know any fans, anti-Lebby or otherwise, who are expecting less than a comfortable win at Minnesota.
I doubt fairly seriously that this guy knows anything more about Mississippi State than the name of the quarterback.
 

85Bears

All-American
Aug 31, 2019
5,395
5,509
108
I don’t think it’s a must win. It’s a very big game. But win or lose, Carolina, Vandy & Auburn are all winnable games. And who knows we might upset someone. But zero room for any slip ups if we lose that one.
I think Auburn is going to improved quite a bit. Golesh is a good coach and Byrum Brown is going to be productive. I have no idea about Vandy , S Carolina depends on their O line rebuild.
 

leeinator

All-Conference
Feb 24, 2014
2,705
1,955
113
Most people I've talked to expect a close loss to Minnesota. But all agree it's almost a must win.
I think we beat them. Our defense makes them make mistakes and our offense capitalizes which puts them in a bad spot due to their offensive game plan.
Not a must win. If we played them late in the season, we have a great chance to win. This early is gonna be difficult. I have Oklahoma as a win because I think by then, our team will have improved that much. Now, I would say S. Carolina is more of a must win than Minnesota.
 
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patdog

Heisman
May 28, 2007
59,761
30,479
113
I think Auburn is going to improved quite a bit. Golesh is a good coach and Byrum Brown is going to be productive. I have no idea about Vandy , S Carolina depends on their O line rebuild.
I think Auburn is overrated. G5 coached coming into the sec is very hit & miss with more misses than hits. This hire looks no different than Sunbelt Billy at Florida to me. But who knows? I think Vsndy will take a pretty big step back but still be a decent team. We get both of those at home so I’m predicting we win both. On the road I’d predict losses. Carolina I’m predicting a loss because it’s on the road. All 3 could easily go either way.
 

aTotal360

Heisman
Nov 12, 2009
22,382
15,908
113
For example, I don't know any fans, anti-Lebby or otherwise, who are expecting less than a comfortable win at Minnesota.
Dave Chapelle GIF by MOODMAN
 

85Bears

All-American
Aug 31, 2019
5,395
5,509
108
I think Auburn is overrated. G5 coached coming into the sec is very hit & miss with more misses than hits. This hire looks no different than Sunbelt Billy at Florida to me. But who knows? I think Vsndy will take a pretty big step back but still be a decent team. We get both of those at home so I’m predicting we win both. On the road I’d predict losses. Carolina I’m predicting a loss because it’s on the road. All 3 could easily go either way.
Auburn was 5-7/1-7 last year, they will finish better than that. USF had the #3 offense last year and Golesh is a better coach than Lebby. he brought Brown and 11 players with him. Durkin returns most of the defense.
 

patdog

Heisman
May 28, 2007
59,761
30,479
113
Golesh is a better coach than Lebby.
Well that goes without saying. Seriously I could be completely wrong about Auburn. But I’m just not sold on them like everyone else seems to be. Golesh has 1 good season. He looks like just another 1-year mid major wonder to me until he backed it up. And I know USF was bad before he got there. But that’s an easy league and they have more resources than just about anyone else in that league.
 

Walkthedawg

All-Conference
Oct 3, 2022
1,114
1,987
113
I don't know any fans, anti-Lebby or otherwise, who are expecting less than a comfortable win at Minnesota.
I fully expect to beat MN... but comfortably? At their house? I don't see that being the narrative at all.

Remember that this team squeaked out a win against a pathetic Arkansas on the road last year. And needed some bounces our way to do that.
 

patdog

Heisman
May 28, 2007
59,761
30,479
113
Auburn was 5-7/1-7 last year, they will finish better than that. USF had the #3 offense last year and Golesh is a better coach than Lebby. he brought Brown and 11 players with him. Durkin returns most of the defense.
One other thing I’m not sold on. Is it really a good idea to bring 12 players from one G5 team into the SEC?
 

DT4248

Senior
Apr 22, 2025
656
782
93
just curious...why?
i said lower in the thread.

i'm very low on minnesota. i live in wisconsin. i'm biased.

lebby has won one sec game in two years and oklahoma was all too happy to get rid of him as OC.

places get better after he leaves in the sec. i'm excited to see us get a post-lebby bump.

but maybe im wrong and we rattle off 8+ wins.
 

Drebin

Heisman
Aug 22, 2012
22,147
26,371
113
I've got Minnesota as a close loss. Probably less than 10 pts. Can we win?....yes, but an on the road game at a B10 middle of the pack school would be a very tough pull for a near-to-bottom SEC team. We'll have to have them make 2-3 critical mistakes to give us a chance. If they play a clean ball control game........oh well. Next!
If we lose that game, we are legitimately looking at 2-10. It's an absolute must win.
 

johnson86-1

All-American
Aug 22, 2012
15,045
5,576
113
I've got Minnesota as a close loss. Probably less than 10 pts. Can we win?....yes, but an on the road game at a B10 middle of the pack school would be a very tough pull for a near-to-bottom SEC team. We'll have to have them make 2-3 critical mistakes to give us a chance. If they play a clean ball control game........oh well. Next!
I'm just going by how they performed last year, and how we performed, which may not be relevant with what each team has done in the off season, but it seems like that is conceding that we suck and possibly worse than last year. If anything, we just have to not 17 it up and we should win. We showed a pulse against some good teams. We were just really poorly coached and had atrocious OL play to go along with a subpar DC. They got destroyed by teams with a pulse and snuck out some wins against 6 and 7 win teams.

It's certainly possible that we do suck worse than last year. I think this game will tell the tale pretty early for us. If Arnett has our defense average, and our OLine has improved to be average, we should win. Even if we just lose because of players not having gelled yet, I just don't think there are enough winnable games on our schedule for us to have a decent season if we lose this one. Would need somebody else to be surprisingly bad, or would need the loss to look inexplicable in hindsight.
 
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