Rank Team PTS
1 Penn St. 205
2 OK State 157
3 Nebraska 125
4 Ohio St. 109
5 Virginia Tech 89
6 Iowa 87
7 Stanford 83
8 Missouri 62
Willie's Mid Summer Crystal Ball
- Thread starter Acacia
- Start date
Rank Team PTS
1 Penn St. 205
2 OK State 157
3 Nebraska 125
4 Ohio St. 109
5 Virginia Tech 89
6 Iowa 87
7 Stanford 83
8 Missouri 62
those are some impressive 2nd and 3rd place scores, let alone the 200+ at the top.
It’s particularly satisfying to see Stanford ranked among the top ten teams when they almost cut their program a few years ago.
Clearly, Willie has joined the ranks of the haters
Where can I bet the under?
He is predicting a new scoring record for each of the top 4 places, a tie for the record at fifth, and new records for sixth and seventh.
KalshiWhere can I bet the under?
He is predicting a new scoring record for each of the top 4 places, a tie for the record at fifth, and new records for sixth and seventh.
Where can I bet the under?
He is predicting a new scoring record for each of the top 4 places, a tie for the record at fifth, and new records for sixth and seventh.
NIL is going to make the gap between the haves and have nots continue to widen so it wouldn't be surprising if fewer teams score well at NCAAs. Realistically there's less than a dozen teams that will spend to be competetive.
5 in 5 is going to crush the Ivys as they only allow four years of eligibility so that's going take Cornell out of the equation in the near future plus probably lessen the chances of a Penn or Princeton high AA.
It all serves to concentrate the scores.
Those Ivy degrees still mean a lot.
That is absolutely plausible, just not in one off season.
Wonder if Iowa fans know that their team has a chance to break a scoring record this yearWhere can I bet the under?
He is predicting a new scoring record for each of the top 4 places, a tie for the record at fifth, and new records for sixth and seventh.
I'm not sure it will have that much of a negative impact on the Ivies. It actually might be a selling point. Instead of being done with wrestling after 4 years at an Ivy, they can go to another school of their choosing for a 5th year. Get your $ making degree then go to your "dream school".
And Ivies DO have NIL. But its the real deal stuff. Not rev share and not "pay for play."
Interesting that his scoring includes an estimated bonus...
Penn State projected bonus = 34 points (we had 40 last year with 2 less AAs)
Oklahoma State bonus = 29 points (they had 15 last year)
Penn State projected bonus = 34 points (we had 40 last year with 2 less AAs)
Oklahoma State bonus = 29 points (they had 15 last year)
Agree wholeheartedly. It’s also Revenue share, expanded scholarship limits, transfer rules. It wasn’t long ago 130 would almost guarantee a championship. 8-10 AAs are going to be the norm for the top 2-3 teams. The old scoring records are from a prehistoric time.
Exactly guys will go 4 there and do a 5th elsewhere. 5 for 5 won't crush the ivy league. Might be time to put him on ignore. Guys clueless and then hides after he writes checks he can't cash
This assumes Levi being back. That isn't a done deal is it? Love Levi but the talent behind him is undeniably promising to put it mildly.
The NCAA filed a stay Tuesday and it's back in court Aug 17
NCAA has no plans to surrender, as eligibility lawsuits for 2022 class turn into an all-out legal war
The NCAA announced it will not grant a blanket waiver for the 2022 class, vowing to fight lawsuits over its age-based eligibility rule in court.
www.foxnews.com
Next year's recruiting classes are going to tell the tale. 5 in 5 was late to really effect this year's class.
i gave a detailed answer to this on the show today.Where can I bet the under?
He is predicting a new scoring record for each of the top 4 places, a tie for the record at fifth, and new records for sixth and seventh.
it takes a combination of common sense and current trends to understand that while the scores are high and not likely there's 1) a reason for it 2) to critique it, you have to get granular.
the team scores are best on all 10 weight points. to say they'll be lower you have to predict which individuals are going to crash and burn.
i stand by the placings i gave all the individuals. however odds are that not everything goes perfect for every team.
as a blanket prediction devoid of any real analysis and based completely upon odds and precedent, i would not predict 205 for PSU (or the high scores for any of the Top 4).
that being said, top teams are going to start producing unprecedented totals with the advent of NIL and Portal.
@backdrft76-1 POTY nomination
I don't see both Blaze and Ono finishing 3rd. At least one of the two stands at the top. And I don't think there is any way on God's green earth that Duke loses a rematch with Rope-a-dope.
Willie’s crystal ball has been really accurate for us the last few years - predicting new scoring records when others were more gun shy.
205 is ludicrous on its face, but I could see it. We probably should have been over 190 last year as we left more than a few points out there.
205 is ludicrous on its face, but I could see it. We probably should have been over 190 last year as we left more than a few points out there.
0:00 - Taylor Wants PSU Date
06:15 - Oklahoma State’s Roster
11:00 - Clinton Shepherd Foregoing Senior Year
15:15 - Crystal Ball Updates! Looking at Teams
30:55 - 125 and 133 Didn’t Change Much
34:30 - 141 is Loaded
45:55 - 149 & 157
53:20 - 165 & 174
01:30:00 - 184 & 197
01:11:50 - Heavyweight
01:15:50 - Crystal Ball
01:20:00 - After Show (Jayden Daniels & Meat Talk)
Yeah, there are only so many placement ad advancement points available. The number without bonus points is around 890 so those scores would mean that all of the rest of teams would be tied with zero points. Not going to happen,. Just MHO.Where can I bet the under?
He is predicting a new scoring record for each of the top 4 places, a tie for the record at fifth, and new records for sixth and seventh.
overall for PSU my only individual pick that could raise eyebrows is Cole at 285 taking 3rd but the weight is really young and wide open.
Will you be comparing your prediction model using Willie's placement as presumed seed, as a frame of reference for how far over the top Willie's point totals are from what your model would predict?Where can I bet the under?
He is predicting a new scoring record for each of the top 4 places, a tie for the record at fifth, and new records for sixth and seventh.
There is a way to do this without predicting who will crash and burn. Expected points rather than max possible points. Of course, I must point out that PSU has an annoying habit of outperforming expected points, so adjustments are warranted.
I do not have the individual positions. Maybe if I can find 45 minutes to listen to that part of the podcast.
But how did you not have Rutgers in the top ten?
I doubt that absent a Rokfin account you can see the full crystal ball. They pretty much skim around only the top eight during the Baschmania show.
Maybe @WillieTheBrain would share some electronic form of his placement predictions (and maybe even their infrequent updates). This would also support the annual who ranked them best analysis.
You can sign an NDI for the detailed data, as needed.
all you need to do to refute is say what individual predictions are wrong. which you won't.
i admit that my projects totals probably won't hit because it requires no injures, not coming out on top in every close call, being perfect, etc.
however they are a product of the individual projections, which are sound.
i can send you the sheets. would be fun.
but idk that much will come from it given the inherent differences in our models.
unless you do individual predictions. (maybe you do, idk)
We look at the world differently. I am making allowance for "what if I am wrong?" statistically. You are just saying "prove me wrong", which of course no one can because it is your opinion.
i'm saying 'prove me wrong' on 10 guys per team.
and of course it can be proven. it is every year in march.
the reality is that my team totals aren't really my predictions, but a product of my individual predictions.
i wouldn't predict PSU to have 205pts. doing so would be betting that my IND predictions would go 10 for 10. even I'm not that arrogant
and of course it can be proven. it is every year in march.
the reality is that my team totals aren't really my predictions, but a product of my individual predictions.
i wouldn't predict PSU to have 205pts. doing so would be betting that my IND predictions would go 10 for 10. even I'm not that arrogant
Didn't get an explanation from you on the podcast on projecting Robideau over PJ in a rematch. I think it'll go more like PJ v Antrell round 2 than PJ getting suckered in to SV again.
You spelled Connor wrong
i wouldn't predict PSU to have 205pts. doing so would be betting that my IND predictions would go 10 for 10. even I'm not that arrogant
PSU set the scoring record in 2016....Where can I bet the under?
He is predicting a new scoring record for each of the top 4 places, a tie for the record at fifth, and new records for sixth and seventh.
I thought it was my recent.
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