OT: Stock and Investment Thread

RutgersLifeR

All-Conference
Sep 23, 2007
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Where are my PLTR people at???
The Office Party Hard GIF
 

Jtung230

Heisman
Jun 30, 2005
19,319
12,449
82
Really surprised that Bezos is selling $4 billion worth of stocks. Does that mean IS government will get a $2 billion payday? Somehow, I’m sure he’ll figure out a way to pay like 20% instead of 37%.
 

Scarletnut

All-Conference
Jul 27, 2001
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The market is certainly ripping. Movement seems to follow a comment here or there or a tweet on X or Truth Social or AI agents, algos, earnings, etc. I'm not a bear, I've jumped on momentum stocks like any of you guys. Just be careful out there (an old Hill Street Blues line). Watch out for the greed factor and any directional consensus. At my age I've seen it all, new paradigms, new metrics, "things are different this time", etc. Cover your asses whenever possible and don't get too greedy. Its ok to take profits, pigs get slaughtered.
 

gmay8

All-Conference
Nov 29, 2005
2,673
2,736
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The market is certainly ripping. Movement seems to follow a comment here or there or a tweet on X or Truth Social or AI agents, algos, earnings, etc. I'm not a bear, I've jumped on momentum stocks like any of you guys. Just be careful out there (an old Hill Street Blues line). Watch out for the greed factor and any directional consensus. At my age I've seen it all, new paradigms, new metrics, "things are different this time", etc. Cover your asses whenever possible and don't get too greedy. Its ok to take profits, pigs get slaughtered.

Or pick a stock/fixed income asset allocation that you can live with.

I'm 70% equities / 30% fixed income. Definitely conservative for someone my age but it helps me sleep at night and i can ride the highs and not get blasted too bad with the pull backs
 
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Caliknight

Hall of Famer
Sep 21, 2001
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RUAldo

All-Conference
Sep 11, 2008
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Burry. One hit wonder.
 

RUAldo

All-Conference
Sep 11, 2008
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This article lays out the trading strategy including the “pods” - this **** is crazy. It’s sort of a hedge fund Roaring Kitty scheme.
 
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RU05

All-American
Jun 25, 2015
15,108
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I’m not a Burry guy but this is spot on and explains the volatility. The market is being taken over by AI agents, algos, savages

"On the flip side, markets are also much faster to recover after experiencing bouts of chaotic selling"

If you keep your wits about you, or even just ignore it, you'll come out fine on the other side.

Though it is an argument for not having a stop loss in place. And it could even be said that stop losses play into the downside volatility as well.
 
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T2Kplus20

Heisman
May 1, 2007
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"On the flip side, markets are also much faster to recover after experiencing bouts of chaotic selling"

If you keep your wits about you, or even just ignore it, you'll come out fine on the other side.

Though it is an argument for not having a stop loss in place. And it could even be said that stop losses play into the downside volatility as well.
Very true. Great post! I've been doing alerts instead of formal stops.
 

RU05

All-American
Jun 25, 2015
15,108
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If guidance was good, definitely another buy the dip lay-up.
The only commentary ive heard was from The Compound. They really liked the earnings due to big rev growth. They didn’t comment on guidance.

They did think the stock would get below $100

first unlock tomorrow. Ill have the eye on that. If its down big im in.

currently at $111 so still above recent lows.
 
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RU05

All-American
Jun 25, 2015
15,108
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Very true. Great post! I've been doing alerts instead of formal stops.
I just feel unless someone is a committed full time trader I think it’s just better to be an investor. Thats where im at at least.

Though my portfolio does suffer from overcrowding. I either need to stop buying new stuff or be better at selling.
 
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T2Kplus20

Heisman
May 1, 2007
32,312
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I just feel unless someone is a committed full time trader I think it’s just better to be an investor. Thats where im at at least.

Though my portfolio does suffer from overcrowding. I either need to stop buying new stuff or be better at selling.
I would routinely sell some losers when you want to buy new names. Pull the weeds and make room for new flowers! Taking a loss is fine if you think the capital can be allocated in a better way.
 
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RU05

All-American
Jun 25, 2015
15,108
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Sold some 6.5% SPG bonds.

Going to split the proceeds 3 ways. SPY, QQQ, TQQQ.

Im not usually an ETF, or index guy, but it's in a seperate account, so I'm just going to watch to see how they perform relative to each other, and relative to my main portfolio.
 

T2Kplus20

Heisman
May 1, 2007
32,312
20,216
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Sold some 6.5% SPG bonds.

Going to split the proceeds 3 ways. SPY, QQQ, TQQQ.

Im not usually an ETF, or index guy, but it's in a seperate account, so I'm just going to watch to see how they perform relative to each other, and relative to my main portfolio.
Bonds? Index funds?
You = Old Man in Rocking Chair!
 

RU05

All-American
Jun 25, 2015
15,108
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Listening to last nights Fast Money and Guy but especially Nathan are beyond annoyingly bearish.
 

RUAldo

All-Conference
Sep 11, 2008
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After months of consolidation, gold is looking very strong. I'm in a GLD bull call spread.....betting it will recapture ATHs by the end of Trump's term (so Dec 2028).
Here we go again…I guess citadel is redeploying their windfall to drive up gold and precious metal prices before they pull the rug out again LOL. AI/chips…Precious metals…rare earth…quantum…space exploration…AI/chips…just rinse and repeat. Rare earth was down like 40% in 3 months now up 12% in 5 days. Silver up almost 9% in 5 days. If there is one lesson I learned lately is you either trade this **** and cash out in the green or just buckle up for a bumpy ride.
 

T2Kplus20

Heisman
May 1, 2007
32,312
20,216
113
Here we go again…I guess citadel is redeploying their windfall to drive up gold and precious metal prices before they pull the rug out again LOL. AI/chips…Precious metals…rare earth…quantum…space exploration…AI/chips…just rinse and repeat. Rare earth was down like 40% in 3 months now up 12% in 5 days. Silver up almost 9% in 5 days. If there is one lesson I learned lately is you either trade this **** and cash out in the green or just buckle up for a bumpy ride.
Gold and other precious metals were seriously impacted by Iran (not exactly sure why, but that's what happened). Something like other nations had to stop buying gold to protect their currencies against a strong dollar.
 

RUAldo

All-Conference
Sep 11, 2008
5,173
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I just feel unless someone is a committed full time trader I think it’s just better to be an investor. Thats where im at at least.

Though my portfolio does suffer from overcrowding. I either need to stop buying new stuff or be better at selling.
Same boat. I felt like a genius this year until I got caught in the recent reset and situational awareness BS. Some of my positions were up 130%+ and within days got crushed - scrambled to get out with 30% gains. Then some newer positions got stopped out for losses only to rebound like 15%+ in 2 days. I do spend a fair amount of time on this stuff but can’t react or interpret the news quick enough to make good decisions. Plus I think the volatility is completely artificial and being driven by coordinated trading and machines running the same algos on same positions. I think Burry is right and the hedge funds realized they can play the roaring kitty game on a much grander scale.
 

RU05

All-American
Jun 25, 2015
15,108
9,392
113
Here we go again…I guess citadel is redeploying their windfall to drive up gold and precious metal prices before they pull the rug out again LOL. AI/chips…Precious metals…rare earth…quantum…space exploration…AI/chips…just rinse and repeat. Rare earth was down like 40% in 3 months now up 12% in 5 days. Silver up almost 9% in 5 days. If there is one lesson I learned lately is you either trade this **** and cash out in the green or just buckle up for a bumpy ride.
You are way too busy looking for a boogeyman.
 

RUAldo

All-Conference
Sep 11, 2008
5,173
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I’m looking at junior copper miners down 63% in 1 year that are now up 18% in 5 days. I have no clue how to make sense of this other than we could have another precious metals run.
 

RUAldo

All-Conference
Sep 11, 2008
5,173
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You are way too busy looking for a boogeyman.
Yeah until you remember BS like Citadel and PFOF from HOOD. Or talk to the commodities traders back in the day that used to front run trades and made a fortune. Or the CDOs that crashed the market. These pod shops are real. It’s the only way to explain the current volatility - together with the fact that computers are making trading decision and not humans. But I hear you. I’m not sour I just need to adapt and def got greedy. I should have taken more profits along the way. Lesson learned.
 
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T2Kplus20

Heisman
May 1, 2007
32,312
20,216
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Yeah until you remember BS like Citadel and PFOF from HOOD. Or talk to the commodities traders back in the day that used to front run trades and made a fortune. Or the CDOs that crashed the market. These pod shops are real. It’s the only way to explain the current volatility - together with the fact that computers are making trading decision and not humans. But I hear you. I’m not sour I just need to adapt and def got greedy. I should have taken more profits along the way. Lesson learned.
Even with all the shady BS, the market still goes up 75% of the time. So.....does it really matter?
 
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