Greg has one of the lowest win percentages of any active coach

Fat Koko

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But that’s an opex vs capex issue. Hahaha

Coach salaries are operating expenses, not capital expenses. Adding bathrooms to the RAC and buying chairs for court side seats there would be capital expenses.
 

PSAL_Hoops

Heisman
Feb 18, 2008
13,771
13,014
78
Nice article.

Greg's current buyout is slightly below $21 mlliion currently and $17 million after this season.

The buyout expense of approximately $6 million per year over 3 years could be offset by normalizing the cost of Rutgers football's support staff. Replacing Greg could be a positive for the bottom line as other bloat would be removed from the program and ticket sales, which have stagnated under 2.0, would likely increase as the tired fanbase is energized by a new era for Rutgers football.

Johansen is on a 3 year contract for $4.2M. I think Kirk’s contract runs through 2027 too? Jim Turner was just signed a 2 year deal. And so on. Now some of these guys might find other jobs immediately to offset the cost, but you still have to figure we’d be looking at a very big number to wipe the slate clean after 2026. Of course it also depends on how the offense and defense perform individually and how marketable these guys are in terms of them finding other homes quickly.
 

RUTGERS95

Heisman
Sep 28, 2005
33,525
49,076
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The biggest cost problem for Rutgers football is Greg.

Staff spending was +$7 million last year, +6 million the previous year. Rutgers is currently paying 3 of Greg's defensive coordinators. Greg gets a $500,000 raise after this season.

Cost is not an obstacle for replacing Greg. Just the opposite - replacing Greg is a way to control costs.

View attachment 1334842
Nice article.

Greg's current buyout is slightly below $21 mlliion currently and $17 million after this season.

The buyout expense of approximately $6 million per year over 3 years could be offset by normalizing the cost of Rutgers football's support staff. Replacing Greg could be a positive for the bottom line as other bloat would be removed from the program and ticket sales, which have stagnated under 2.0, would likely increase as the tired fanbase is energized by a new era for Rutgers football.

Step away from the gummies dude. I’m not asking to compete with the names you mentioned immediately . But would like to be able to compete with 5-10 (middle of the pack)of the B1G and place higher than 80-120 in the final standings of d1. I would love to sit in a budget meeting with you at work. Because if you’re outspending the median in your profession by 30-50% you better be blowing away the competition. If not it’s time to go. How exactly do you grow spending by 128% in the NIL timeframe and not think maybe I should scale back my spending to allow for allocation somewhere else? You know “fungible” Funds brought up by you and others in another thread discusssing Indiana football. Again it’s not a spending problem it’s an allocation problem.
cheers GIF
 

PSAL_Hoops

Heisman
Feb 18, 2008
13,771
13,014
78
Coach salaries are operating expenses, not capital expenses. Adding bathrooms to the RAC and buying chairs for court side seats there would be capital expenses.

Money is fungible to an extent though, anyway. But regardless, the upfront cost of turning over the entire staff is going to be a factor unless we’re awful next season. If we only win 4 the decision is easy because there’s basically nowhere to go but up. Zinn isn’t going to want to make wholesale changes after next season if she doesn’t have the 2027 budget to buy a replacement roster. Retention is still probably cheaper than buying talent in the portal. There are a lot of moving parts now that weren’t there in the past. Not just at Rutgers.
 

Fat Koko

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Johansen is on a 3 year contract for $4.2M. I think Kirk’s contract runs through 2027 too? Jim Turner was just signed a 2 year deal. And so on. Now some of these guys might find other jobs immediately to offset the cost, but you still have to figure we’d be looking at a very big number to wipe the slate clean after 2026. Of course it also depends on how the offense and defense perform individually and how marketable these guys are in terms of them finding other homes quickly.
These contracts are not so obscene they should be used as a reason to keep Greg. The vast majority of the staff is on one year contracts so would be little cost to firing them all if the season is not a big improvement. Most football coach contracts expire at the end of February so firing people in December costs two or three months of pay.
 

kupuna133

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Coach salaries are operating expenses, not capital expenses. Adding bathrooms to the RAC and buying chairs for court side seats there would be capital expenses.
Yea I know the difference. Was referencing an above post.
 

e5fdny

Heisman
Nov 11, 2002
114,778
54,000
102
Come on, man. They aren’t saying the next level is playoff contention. Without that icing the kicker decision, we have an 8-4 season right there with a chance to go 9-4. Even last season a 5-7 could’ve been better but for some questionable calls. Having 8-9 win seasons mixed in is not impossible without some huge bump in contributions the way you keep claiming.

Greg has to own that when evaluating his performance. But then, the glimmer of hope at the same time is that we did come close to breaking through but not for a handful of questionable game day decisions
. The more he delegates x and o responsibility down to coordinators, the bigger the reason to hope that we could turn that next corner in a year or so time.

He doesn’t deserve an extension after next season regardless of what our record is. But if we have to shell out a massive amount of money to wipe the slate clean, the new guy that would be brought in would likely be handicapped in his portal budget - which is why if it seems like the program makes progress this coming season, wholesale changes will figure to be a major risk.

The only way I see it happening at 6-6 is if Duff alone (or someone headed to the draft) carries is there and the D doesn’t make notable progress. The big picture is going to be the direction we’re headed overall IMO.

Billy Dee Williams Applause GIF


Almost verbatim to what many are saying around here.

Whether it finally registers remains to be seen.
 

PSAL_Hoops

Heisman
Feb 18, 2008
13,771
13,014
78
These contracts are not so obscene they should be used as a reason to keep Greg. The vast majority of the staff is on one year contracts so would be little cost to firing them all if the season is not a big improvement. Most football coach contracts expire at the end of February so firing people in December costs two or three months of pay.

It all depends what we actually have to spend overall. It’s not only the coaches we’re getting rid of, we have to pay the coaches coming here, and assume we’ll be buying, for the most part, a new roster in the portal which usually costs more than retaining what you have. If Zinn doesn’t feel she has enough resources to expect a a new coach to come in and elevate the program in 2027 more than giving Kirk/Johansen/Greg that year she’s probably not going to pull the plug following a bowl season of any kind.
 

Fat Koko

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It all depends what we actually have to spend overall. It’s not only the coaches we’re getting rid of, we have to pay the coaches coming here, and assume we’ll be buying, for the most part, a new roster in the portal which usually costs more than retaining what you have. If Zinn doesn’t feel she has enough resources to expect a a new coach to come in and elevate the program in 2027 more than giving Kirk/Johansen/Greg that year she’s probably not going to pull the plug following a bowl season of any kind.
Rutgers finds an additional $6 million per year to spend on this football coach staff. Total football program spending has been rising at more than $10 million per year. Results are not improving despite the enormous growth in spending.

If Rutgers is going to spend money on football, don't spend it growing the existing staff, instead spend it on a replacement staff and players that gives Rutgers a chance for winning more football games.
 
Jun 7, 2001
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Come on, man. They aren’t saying the next level is playoff contention. Without that icing the kicker decision, we have an 8-4 season right there with a chance to go 9-4. Even last season a 5-7 could’ve been better but for some questionable calls. Having 8-9 win seasons mixed in is not impossible without some huge bump in contributions the way you keep claiming.

Greg has to own that when evaluating his performance. But then, the glimmer of hope at the same time is that we did come close to breaking through but not for a handful of questionable game day decisions. The more he delegates x and o responsibility down to coordinators, the bigger the reason to hope that we could turn that next corner in a year or so time.

He doesn’t deserve an extension after next season regardless of what our record is. But if we have to shell out a massive amount of money to wipe the slate clean, the new guy that would be brought in would likely be handicapped in his portal budget - which is why if it seems like the program makes progress this coming season, wholesale changes will figure to be a major risk.

The only way I see it happening at 6-6 is if Duff alone (or someone headed to the draft) carries is there and the D doesn’t make notable progress. The big picture is going to be the direction we’re headed overall IMO.
What you and the rest need to understand is that 8-9 win seasons is possible, not probable. No one can sit here and say we have an 8-9 win roster because talent is severely lacking on the defensive front, due to lack of NIL. Front 7 is a mess. This is why it was hard for us to recruit a new DC. Lower conference kids are going to play the bulk of the snaps at Defensive End. Last year the defensive ends we recruited just didn’t get the job done, which is why teams ran all over us. The new kids start with a clean slate, but it’s hard for me to understand how a Tulsa End is going to succeed in the Big Ten, yet here we are. If he somehow coaxes this team to 6-6, it would be a huge accomplishment, and the extension would be well deserved.
 

yesrutgers01

Heisman
Nov 9, 2008
122,566
38,326
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Yeah - we’ve certainly wasted our share of money and unfortunately we’re stuck eating any contract decision made to this point. Many of those decisions were probably made before pay for play blew up to what it now is (Greg’s in particular but also the assistants, and now a whole new collection of defensive staff contracts were put in place). Can we afford to eat all of those to wipe the slate clean and still have money in the portal tank to give a new hire a fair chance to raise the bar past mediocre? I don’t know the answer to that question but it has to be a factor.

In terms of the metrics, career win percentage applied as a stand alone proxy (basically what 95 did in the OP - paralleling a career Ken Pom analysis) is flawed because of what yesrutgers01 said. Any coach who takes on a ground zero rebuild will have some early years of ugly records.

Is there a better metric? Probably not a quantitative one. While a natty is always the “goal” in first 3 or so), a new coach is usually judged by how he does relative to where the program was in the 3-5 prior seasons. I think yesrutgers01 put it very well. Greg did his job in this sense. he was brought here to clean up the Ash train wreck. He did that. After that early period - yesrutgers01 is right again that the expection then becomes taking the next step forward from your own initial progress which Greg hasn’t done and last year the defense was inexcusably bad. But a decision was made to let him try to fix that from ground zero.

So I don’t have a great answer, and never was I suggesting Greg has been “good”. Cali posted it somewhere else (similar to yesrutgers01) - he’s the guy you bring in to clean up a mess - not to take the step to the next level. But at the same time, you want to start over at a time when you are financially ready to set the successor up for success and for the reasons above - there’s a good chance we’re not there yet and won’t be until closer to 2030 when the costs come down.
I would almost guess that a high % of the extra 100 or so staff are not guaranteed and we would only be paying unemployment.
the thing is- I don’t think is AD/Pres are so short sighted that paying out on contracts will deter them. I do think, they want to see how Greg does with their full support. If he can’t get it done this year- changes will be made
 

e5fdny

Heisman
Nov 11, 2002
114,778
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+ What you and the rest need to understand is that 8-9 win seasons is possible, not probable. No one can sit here and say we have an 8-9 win roster because talent is severely lacking on the defensive front, due to lack of NIL. Front 7 is a mess. This is why it was hard for us to recruit a new DC. Lower conference kids are going to play the bulk of the snaps at Defensive End. Last year the defensive ends we recruited just didn’t get the job done, which is why teams ran all over us. The new kids start with a clean slate, but it’s hard for me to understand how a Tulsa End is going to succeed in the Big Ten, yet here we are. If he somehow coaxes this team to 6-6, it would be a huge accomplishment, * and the extension would be well deserved.
+ Again, that’s all we are saying.

The probable part? Even with the extra $$$, it’s probable we still get the same execution mistakes on the sideline and field.

* It would not. Olympic swimmers don’t get medals for treading water.
 
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Caliknight

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The funny part of all this negative Schiano stuff was that Hobbs was dead set not to hire Schiano. Many of the same guys who love to fire coaches because in their simple minds that's the answer to everything were screaming we had to hire him.
Some of us knew hiring Schiano wouldn’t be great. It was time for a complete overhaul, but he wasn’t the guy. Good news is Keli won’t allow herself to be boxed in like Hobbs did. I’d love to see her shortlist which you know she carries around like it’s the nuclear football.
 
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Caliknight

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Going by his Wisconsin record
"Bret Bielema is a far superior coach."
Going by his Arkansas record, that statement very debatable
Going by Greg 2 RU record and what Bert has done at Illinois, Bielema seems to be the one Hobbs should have chosen
.Hobbs really didn't want Schiano, so I can only surmise Bert didn't like what Rutgers was offering and wasn't going to settle for it and Hobbs wouldn't come close to what he wanted so he walked away not wanting to risk his future
by taking a job he felt not enough support was there to help him build winning program.

Schiano walked away from negotiations with Hobbs in Nov, of 2019 seemingly ending any hope for a return , knowing he didn't have any HC options and being a DC somewhere was the best he could hope for .
The only reason he came to an agreement with Hobbs was because the Rutgers fanbase pressured Hobbs to make a deal and Schiano knowing Rutgers was his only hope to be a HC again compromised on some of his demands of what must be dome to improve the program if he would take the job.

Some people feel Bielema should have been hired, I feel he would have taken the job if Hobbs promised him the Rutgers football program would get the support it needed to become a winning program and he didn't want to
be part of a program not committed to doing that

Why Illinois in 2020 and not RU in 2019?
( from a google search)
>Illinois convinced native son Bret Bielema to take the head coaching job in December 2020 by offering a strong financial package—starting at $4.2 million annually on a six-year contract—and a massive $5 million assistant coaching salary pool to build an elite staff. The school also heavily leveraged Bielema's deep Illinois roots, his lifelong fandom for the team, and the promise of complete organizational support to rebuild the program<

In my opinion , if Hobbs offered this to Bert
( google found)
>To lure Greg Schiano back in 2019, Rutgers promised an eight-year, $32 million contract, a $7.7 million annual pool for assistant coaches, construction of a new football facility and indoor practice field, and perks including private jet use for recruiting and a country club members

Why did Greg get that and it wasn't offered to Bert??
Hobbs was between a rock and a hard place with the fanbase making noise like withholding donations and booster demanding he hire Schiano . So while he refused to offer Bielema the support Bert felt he needed to turn the program around Hobbs ,under the immense pressure to hire Greg ,did what it took to start the G2 era .
If the fanbase did the same for Bert,Bielema might be the one we;re complaining about now
The country club thing is always confusing. What if a club doesn’t offer him membership? School could always say hey, you tried and couldn’t get in, I guess.
 
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Caliknight

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What you and the rest need to understand is that 8-9 win seasons is possible, not probable. No one can sit here and say we have an 8-9 win roster because talent is severely lacking on the defensive front, due to lack of NIL. Front 7 is a mess. This is why it was hard for us to recruit a new DC. Lower conference kids are going to play the bulk of the snaps at Defensive End. Last year the defensive ends we recruited just didn’t get the job done, which is why teams ran all over us. The new kids start with a clean slate, but it’s hard for me to understand how a Tulsa End is going to succeed in the Big Ten, yet here we are. If he somehow coaxes this team to 6-6, it would be a huge accomplishment, and the extension would be well deserved.
No chance he gets extended at 6-6.
 

MADHAT1

Heisman
Apr 1, 2003
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No chance he gets extended at 6-6.
only way he would deserve an extension is if he wins 9 games in 2026 (including bowl game)and that would just be adding 1 year and the chance of another 1 year rollover if he wins 9 in 2027.
Rutgers can't afford to set a low bar when it comes to committing to years added to a coacj's contract just because the team didn't fall flat on its face and embarrass the fanbase
 

e5fdny

Heisman
Nov 11, 2002
114,778
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No chance he gets extended at 6-6.

I hope you are right about this and your interactions with her
You two had a conversation in a thread the other day where @Caliknight mentioned the Big East type mentality was still around.

This is very concerning if true. Because I figured just by attrition alone, this element would be gone or small enough where they don’t matter….decision making or input.
 
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LotusAggressor_rivals

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Not happening. There wasn’t enough NIL to recruit an 8 win transfer class. Maybe next year.

and those teams have invested a hell of a lot more money in their football programs than Rutgers has.

better coaches aren’t coming to this place without significant investments.
Many of the losses in the last 2 seasons had little to do with how much money was spent relative to the opponents. They had everything to do with inadequate coaching.
 

jsol_05

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People have already decided if they like Greg or not so I realize this is a waste of time but....

The immediate predecessor to GS 1 was Terry Shea - whose 5 year record was 11-44 at .200 winning %. (4-18 in the last 2 years)
The immediate predecessor to GS was Chris Ash - whose 4 year record was 8-32. a .200 winning % (3-21 in the last 2 years).

I personally think that it is amazing what GS 1 and GS 2 did with a cupboard that was completely bare, a program with no positive history whatsoever, extremely limited facilities, money, fan support, etc.

I'd love to see him carry this thing forward over the next decade. I think that he can help this team to build on its recent achievements like beating Miami, Washington, Minnesota (none ever done before), establishing dominance over old BE rivals like Boston College, Va Tech and Syracuse, and building us into a respected, .500 level team. I think he can take us higher now that we have some semblance of facilities, positive recent history and financial support (although a lot less than many of our competitors).

I'd prefer not to return to the Terry Shea and Chris Ash years and the embarrassment that was Rutgers football.

Given what GS has done versus what others have done, I'll take my chances with GS.

what a f***ing moron the OP is. All he knows how to do is piss all over the RU football program no matter what it is. What percentage of those losses should be attributable to the teams brought in by his predecessor. I'd say at least a third
Your record is what it is, no excuses. Either you win or lose and based on his record GS has done more winning then losing. He cant keep living on 2006 for 30 years. Their was one big win (LVille) but he lost to Cincinnatti (8-5) the next week. He has never beaten West Virginia (11 losses in a row to WV. He talks a good game (build a wall around NJ, keep chopping, Rutgers men talk. talk talk along with getting out coached on Saturdays) Need to get her done this year or more on and I am not talking about 6 wins.
 

Rutgers Chris

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This should be good. Which of the losses had to do with coaching?
2025- Penn State, Minnesota, Iowa.
2024- Kansas State, Illinois, UCLA, Nebraska.

No one is asking for him to win every toss up, but we weren’t losing any of those games because of talent. Seven out of seven we had the lead or were tied at the half, the other teams make adjustments and we never do.
 

RUTGERS95

Heisman
Sep 28, 2005
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You two had a conversation in a thread the other day where @Caliknight mentioned the Big East type mentality was still around.

This is very concerning if true. Because I figured just by attrition alone, this element would be gone or small enough where they don’t matter….decision making or input.
it's why I've advocated getting rid of everyone associated with the athletic department so that culture is changed overnight. I'd do the same for the teams responsible for marketing and strategic direction. To this day, not hiring the cat from Wisconsin, in favor of Julie, was detrimental that we are still reeling from. Delaney himself told Barchi that Frazier was the man we needed.
 

kupuna133

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2025- Penn State, Minnesota, Iowa.
2024- Kansas State, Illinois, UCLA, Nebraska.

No one is asking for him to win every toss up, but we weren’t losing any of those games because of talent. Seven out of seven we had the lead or were tied at the half, the other teams make adjustments and we never do.
It’s scary that people that go to games and watch on tv do not know what they are looking at. You could probably add a couple more games in there. But those are the games where coaching deficiencies directly lead to defeat. UCLA Nebraska Illinois and Penn state were some of the most egregious coaching errors I have ever witnessed.
 

Shelby65

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Some of us knew hiring Schiano wouldn’t be great. It was time for a complete overhaul, but he wasn’t the guy. Good news is Keli won’t allow herself to be boxed in like Hobbs did. I’d love to see her shortlist which you know she carries around like it’s the nuclear football.
Actions speak louder than words. All ADs say the right things. Fans eat that up for every AD and here the words have proved hollow. Let’s not anoint Zinn our savior until she does something about the Grifter and his paid legions.
 

Rutgers Chris

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It’s scary that people that go to games and watch on tv do not know what they are looking at. You could probably add a couple more games in there. But those are the games where coaching deficiencies directly lead to defeat. UCLA Nebraska Illinois and Penn state were some of the most egregious coaching errors I have ever witnessed.
UCLA might be the best example. No one can possibly claim it was talent there. They ran the same swing pass to a running back several times for huge gains. Some will come and say we need more money to get better linebackers. Others will say there’s pretty simple coaching fixes to not let your inexperienced linebackers get exposed over and over.
 
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2025- Penn State, Minnesota, Iowa.
2024- Kansas State, Illinois, UCLA, Nebraska.

No one is asking for him to win every toss up, but we weren’t losing any of those games because of talent. Seven out of seven we had the lead or were tied at the half, the other teams make adjustments and we never do.
The aforementioned programs haven’t outspent us by a little, they outspent us by a lot, and have more NIL which provides more talent. It is a tribute to Schiano’s coaching that we were competitive with them. The Minnesota game was lost when Athan didn’t expect the snap. The UCLA and Nebraska games were lost because we did not have adequate LB depth to replace those lost to injury. Penn State and Iowa have been out recruiting us forever. Penn State in particular spent $80M to improve their football operations center and $700M to improve their football stadium. They are well above us. Below is the key Minnesota play and their facilities.



 
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Knight Shift

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UCLA might be the best example. No one can possibly claim it was talent there. They ran the same swing pass to a running back several times for huge gains. Some will come and say we need more money to get better linebackers. Others will say there’s pretty simple coaching fixes to not let your inexperienced linebackers get exposed over and over.
Must have been the fieldhouse.
 

Knight Shift

Heisman
May 19, 2011
89,479
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2025- Penn State, Minnesota, Iowa.
2024- Kansas State, Illinois, UCLA, Nebraska.

No one is asking for him to win every toss up, but we weren’t losing any of those games because of talent. Seven out of seven we had the lead or were tied at the half, the other teams make adjustments and we never do.
May we add 2024 a 42-7 loss at home to a horrible Wisconsin team that was 3-6 in conference ? No reason this is a loss or the blowout it was.
 

kupuna133

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May we add 2024 a 42-7 loss at home to a horrible Wisconsin team that was 3-6 in conference ? No reason this is a loss or the blowout it was.
That was definitely due to the money they spent in the late 90’s under Alvarez. I heard they installed a Gatorade dispenser in the locker room that provided 4 flavors. Amazing the foresight they had.
 

Rutgers Chris

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The aforementioned programs haven’t outspent us by a little, they outspent us by a lot, and have more NIL which provides more talent. It is a tribute to Schiano’s coaching that we were competitive with them. The Minnesota game was lost when Athan didn’t expect the snap. The UCLA and Nebraska games were lost because we did not have adequate LB depth to replace those lost to injury. Penn State and Iowa have been out recruiting us forever. Penn State in particular spent $80M to improve their football operations center and $700M to improve their football stadium. They are well above us. Below is the key Minnesota play and their facilities.




Right on queue…
UCLA might be the best example. No one can possibly claim it was talent there. They ran the same swing pass to a running back several times for huge gains. Some will come and say we need more money to get better linebackers. Others will say there’s pretty simple coaching fixes to not let your inexperienced linebackers get exposed over and over.
 

RUTGERS95

Heisman
Sep 28, 2005
33,525
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UCLA might be the best example. No one can possibly claim it was talent there. They ran the same swing pass to a running back several times for huge gains. Some will come and say we need more money to get better linebackers. Others will say there’s pretty simple coaching fixes to not let your inexperienced linebackers get exposed over and over.
was gross negligence on his part!
 

RUTGERS95

Heisman
Sep 28, 2005
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I know, I know. I’ve done it to others so I’ll do it to myself…
Listen To Me Brick Wall GIF by Respective
me too, 100%

but he's off the reservation with this out of touch lunacy

him, the old man ru66 and rufanforlife are just not worth it. ignore button and proceed