Listing by weight classes are my guesses. Some wrestlers who are not likely to wrestle may stay up a weight class, rather than cutting weight during a season they are not wrestling, and others I may simply guess wrong on their weight direction. Most can easily compete in at least 2 weight classes, aside from the heavyweights.
125 – Branden McCrone (8), Cam Stinson (81), and Dunia Sibomana (16). McCrone was clearly brought in to start, and it is likely the reason Hickey transferred to improve his chances of starting after this addition. Stinson is the likely backup, unless Sibomana is able to beat him out as a true freshman.
133 – Matt Botello (19), Derek Guanajuato (28), Marco Tocci (119), and Lukas Littleton-Mascaro (192 at 141). I would love to be able to watch the wrestle-off for this spot, as I believe both Botello and Guanajuato are very good wrestlers at this weight. Botello is currently ranked about where Guanajuato was ranked at his peak, before his absence from any wrestling events last season began to drop his ranking. Tocci is probably better than a 119 ranked wrestler, but likely not a significant challenger to start. Littleton-Mascaro is ranked by WS at 141, but as he finished high school wrestling 126 I think they are off here. He will likely wrestle this year as a 133 pounder, unless something happens to McCrone and there is a possibility to challenge for a starting spot.
141 – Luke Simcox (16), Nick O’Neill (13), and Elias Navida (53). Although O’Neill has the higher WS ranking currently, Simcox clearly won the spot last season. My personal hope is that O’Neill will put on some weight and challenge for the 149 spot, as Navida and Botello/Guanajuato could easily provide an appropriate level of backup for this weight.
149 – Nate Askew (85) and Mitchell Younger (264). If memory serves me correctly Askew beat Younger by a single point early in the season last fall, and did not wrestle much after that. This suggests that the gap between their rankings is largely based on recorded matches for Askew that were not there for Younger. Regardless, I expect these 2 along with O’Neill and Navida to compete for this spot. Note that the traditional thinking would be to redshirt Askew this year if the competition is close for this spot. That may, or may not be impacted by the potential adoption of the 5 for 5 rule (depending on grandfathering, etc.).
157 – Laird Root (31), Joey Showalter (33), and Cullen Kane (136). Coming off a solid redshirt freshman season, Root seem likely to be the starter again. Showalter is a quality wrestler, however, and his ranking suggests that he could potentially challenge for the starting spot.
165 – Bryce Hepner (10), Collin Nugent (119), and Nadav Nafshi (170 at 174). Coming off an AA finish, there is little doubt that Hepner is the odd on favorite to be the starter here. Nugent would likely fall behind Showalter as a back up option for this weight. Not sure if Alvarez, Carrigan, or any of the others that bumped up looking to chase a starting spot last year could make it back down to this weight, but if a backup is needed at least 1 or 2 of them would likely consider dropping. Nafshi wrestled his senior season in high school at 175, and may not attempt to drop back down, but I am guessing he could still make this weight (started the 2025-2026 season at 165 I believe).
174 – Joshua Ogunsanya (15), Collin Carrigan (34), Marcus Murabito (83), Sabino Potella (90), Omaury Alvarez (110), Brody Kelly (157 at 184), and Ronin Gault (170). Carolina will welcome the return of Ogunsanya if he is healthy, though Carrigan finished really strong at the weight last year. Murabito appeared to have won the spot before getting hurt, so if he is healthy he could compete here. Kelly is an intriguing freshman here, though WS has him listed at 184 (up from his high school weight of 175).
184 – Christian Hansen (16), Nolan O’Boyle (92 at 174), and Aiden Schlett (133). Hansen was clearly brought in to start as a replacement for Dailey when he transferred. He is ranked a few spots ahead of Dailey, though this might be an interesting match to watch next January. The big difference, however, is that Dailey has 3 more years of eligibility left. O’Boyle did not wrestle at all this year, as far as I can tell, and his ranking is down as a result. If we need a backup here, it has already been proven that several 174 pounders will also jump up to compete.
197 – Robert Platt (29), Michael Calcagno (38), and Lincoln Jipp (157 at 184). Platt would seem to have this spot, based on the past season, but Calcagno is ranked very similarly and could compete here. Jipp bumped up to wrestle 215 in high school, and WS has him listed at 184. I expect him to wrestle 197 this year. After that we will see what he does.
285 – Nolan Neves (23), Jacob Levy (43), and Cristian Alvarez (159). Getting a healthy Neves back could be huge for the team, as Levy is still developing. Adding Alvarez (after football season) will be a great addition to the wrestling room. It remains to be seen what this arrangement will look like and how much wrestling Alvarez will be able to do, but having a 3rd workout partner that is a legitimate heavyweight can only help.
In the above listing we have 2 top 10 wrestlers. There are 6 more wrestlers that are ranked between 10 and 20. An additional 6 wrestlers are in the top 35, and therefore likely capable of being ncaat qualifiers. One other wrestler is ranked 38, so just outside of this group. That is a total of 14 wrestlers that are currently ranked to be likely ncaat qualifiers, meaning that we have a good shot of sending at least 8 back to the ncaat again next season. With the addition of Jipp and Alvarez to 197 and heavyweight respectively, we have at least 3 wrestlers at each weight which strengthens the workout room. There are no guarantees, but we have a team that is built to compete, with young wrestlers positioned to step in and compete at a high level should there be injuries. Where there were obvious holes in the lineup, we upgraded through the transfer portal. The fact that we did not bring in a transfer at 149 leads me to believe either we are set there, or we ran out of money (there are still options in the portal to take ncaat qualifiers from Cornell and Columbia).
So how do we stack up against the acc opponents? Dual team rankings from WS show Tech leading the way ranked #5, followed by Stanford at #8. As I have mentioned, UNC is ranked #10 as a dual team. Pitt and state are ranked #13 and #15 respectively. Virginia is ranked #33, and dook still lags behind coming in at #69. Having 5 top 15 teams suggests that the acc is getting better in wrestling. We still appear to be in 3rd place, which is very consistent with our positioning in the conference over the past several years. We should be competitive with everyone, with the possible exception of Tech. They may be tough to beat for the next few years.
The transfer portal was relatively good for us, though we lost 4 wrestlers we brought in 2 quality replacements for our graduation/portal losses. Tech lost 5 wrestlers via the portal. Although some of their losses were very good wrestlers, none have significantly impacted their predicted success. Stanford had 4 excellent wrestlers enter the portal, but 3 of the 4 have since committed to coming back. Pitt broke even in terms of numbers, and state may have been the biggest portal loser in the conference based on losing a national champion wrestler. A key reason why Hickey transferred to state may have been that they were in need of a 125 pounder after Robinson left for Nebraska.
The bottom line is that I am excited about the prospects for next year. Key challenges will be for all the wrestlers to keep improving and take a step forward. For some that is simply becoming more consistent, and not making freshmen mistakes. For others that may be getting more aggressive, and getting take downs in the OT period against high quality wrestlers. Are we where we want to be? Not yet, but we are moving the right direction. The challenge for us is to get wrestlers challenging for national championships, rather than being fringe AAs. If our 2 wrestlers that are ranked in the top 10 make AA, then next year will be a better finish than last year. If any of our top 16 wrestlers can also make AA, then we have a very good year for UNC. If none of that pans out due to injury or bad luck, then we are back to where we were a year ago as far as our tournament finish. We should all be excited about next season, but I am trying to be realistic as well. We always finished higher when we had at least 1 wrestler that was pretty much guaranteed to finish in the top 4.